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Plymouth v Liverpool
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Kick Off: Sunday 9th February at 15:00
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Competition: FA Cup
Liverpool go in search of a 2nd cup victory of the week after progressing to the Carabao Cup final on Thursday after defeating Tottenham Hotspur. This was their 5th victory over their last 6 in all competitions, the other being a defeat to PSV in their final Champions League group game when they had already qualified.
Plymouth are the side tasked with trying to inflict a rare meaningful defeat on their top-of-the-Premier League opponents. Argyle sit bottom of their respective league, however, they at least won their last game when beating West Brom at home. 1 big issue for them has been not securing back-to-back wins all season. This will be the 1st meeting between the 2 teams since they last met, which was also an FA Cup tie back in 2017. Liverpool edged a 3rd-round replay 1-0 after the initial clash at Anfield ended 0-0. Things have been a lot different for both teams since those days. The Reds are still fighting it out on 4 fronts this season. For Argyle, 1 suspects the priority is very much to avoid relegation to League One.
⭐ Plymouth v Liverpool Best Bet
A fair amount of rotation is expected from Liverpool here considering they played a Carabao Cup game on Thursday (dismantling Tottenham 4-0 to reach Wembley) and have the Merseyside derby to come on Wednesday. It is likely to be a case of the ‘big-hitters’ being on the bench and utilised just in case. The fact is they should be able to beat bottom-of-the-Championship Plymouth playing their second-choice XI.
Plymouth have failed to score in all 4 of their season meetings v the current Championship top-3, which indicates they find it tough against much stronger teams, and Liverpool certainly fit that bill. It is also very hard to ignore the fact that Argyle have the worst xG in the Championship, alongside being the second-lowest scorers and having the worst defensive record at the level.
🟢 Plymouth v Liverpool #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Liverpool will look to continue the momentum they currently have with a fast start. Doing so gives them the best chance of making this cup tie as stress-free as possible. They are clearly the stronger of the 2 teams and will aim to showcase this from the off.
Argyle are not a team to be trusted defensively or really offensively either, especially against this level of opposition. They will find it hard to create chances over the 90 minutes. The visitors shouldn’t be put into too many situations where they have to make a noteworthy foul, and risk a card. The last thing Arne Slot wants is getting players banned during this hectic schedule. Plymouth will be the side doing the vast majority of defending and chasing against their superior opponents, so rate as the more likely to be amongst the cards.
👕 Plymouth v Liverpool Predicted XI
🔍 Plymouth v Liverpool Player to Watch
🔴 Diogo Jota
Diogo Jota has been a sub in the 2 games since he returned from injury. The feeling is Arne Slot probably highlighted this Plymouth match as a good opportunity to get some extended minutes to ease him back into action. Also, this is an ideal match given it is against a Plymouth team bottom of their league and with the worst defensive record in the Championship. They’ve conceded an average of 2.10 league goals per game this season.
Prior to his injury, the ex-Wolves man scored in back-to-back games, so he’ll be even more eager to impress his manager and win back his spot in the team. After all, there are many games still to come this season and he was a major reason for their early season success.
📂 Plymouth v Liverpool Cheat Sheet
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💻 Plymouth v Liverpool Form and Tactics
Plymouth might sit bottom of the Championship table but they claimed a 5th league victory of the campaign last time out when coming from behind to beat West Brom 2-1. Although that was the case, they lost the xG on the day 1.97-1.68 to the play-off chasing opponents. It was the 4th consecutive game where they have been outshot by the opposition. In this period, Argyle conceded an average of 13.00 shots, which has to be a concern knowing the top-of-the-table Premier League club is to come.
It has clearly been a season of struggle for Plymouth. No team has kept fewer Championship clean sheets this season, with them achieving only 2 in 30 league matches. They’ve had issues in attack, too, as Miron Muslić’s side are also bottom of their league based on xG (25.00). In addition to this, they are in last place for touches in the opposition box (460) and accurate crosses per match (2.4). Therefore, they’ll likely target other routes to try and break Liverpool down.
Liverpool have suffered only 3 defeats all season in all competitions. 2 of those were 1-0 setbacks and they remain the only 2 encounters they’ve failed to score in all season. They top the Premier League xG chart (54.7), the league average shots on target count (6.9) and are positioned 2nd based upon a number of touches in the opposition box (889). Quite simply, they are a devastating team in attack and should present many, many problems for Argyle to contend with.
Along with this, Slot’s side are excellent at protecting their goalkeeper. Unsurprisingly, they possess the strongest xGA in the English top-flight (21.0) and their glovesman is only having to make an average of 2.70 saves per league encounter, 1 of the lowest for any side in the division. Also, the fact only 3 other teams have made fewer average Premier League clearances than the Anfield club (16.7) highlights how little defending they generally have to do.
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🏁 Plymouth v Liverpool Ref Watch
- Referee: Sam Barrott
- This referee is interestingly yet to utilise his red card across the campaign. In fact, the last red he did hand out was in December 2023 during a Premier League match between Newcastle and Fulham.
- Barrott has given 3 penalties this season, 2 being in the same game, which was Southampton v Liverpool in the Premier League in November. However, he also gave a spot-kick in the last match he refereed, which was another Southampton game, in their league defeat to Newcastle on January 25th.
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.56 / 0.00 |
| Fouls Given | 21.11 |
| Penalties | 0.17 |
📺 How to Watch Plymouth v Liverpool in the FA Cup
📅 When is Plymouth v Liverpool? / Sunday, 9 February 2025, 15:00
🏟 Where is Plymouth v Liverpool? / Home Park Stadium (Plymouth)
📺 What TV Channel is Plymouth v Liverpool on? / ITV1
🟨 …And who is the referee for Plymouth v Liverpool / Sam Barrott 🏴
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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