This bet has landed in 50% of Newcastle's home league games this season.

They've dropped off at home this season, managing 1.64 Points Per Game (PPG), compared to the 2 PPG they posted last season.

They have lost their last three home league games to teams lower in the league than Man Utd. Losing to Everton, Brentford, and Aston Villa, conceding eight goals in that time.

They've actually conceded three goals in three of their last four home league games - as they needed a late show to beat Leeds 4-3, the home league outing before this run of losses.

Newcastle have hosted eight of the current Premier League top 10 this season in the league; they have only won two of those games, drawing one and losing the other five. So this bet has landed on six of the eight (75%) occasions they've hosted a side in the current Premier League top 10 this season.

Nick Pope has been a very busy man in the Newcastle goal this season. He’s been forced into making 67 saves across his 22 starts in the Premier League this term, working out to an average of 3.07 saves per 90 at a save percentage of 67.7%.

Aaron Ramsdale was the keeper for Newcastle the last time these sides met and was forced to make 3 saves. Pope should return as the starting keeper here, given that he’s played the last two Premier League matches against Manchester City and Everton, making seven saves across these games.

Manchester United have taken more shots than any other side in the Premier League this season, and managed 11 shots on target against Crystal Palace last time out - drawing nine saves from Dean Henderson in that clash.

I’ve been waiting for Sesko to start firing in the Premier League, and it looks like Carrick now trusts him enough, given his goals in recent games against Everton and Crystal Palace.

I love Sesko because he can score so many different types of goals. He’s got the shot power to aim for range, and he's just as effective in the air as he showed with his headed goal against Crystal Palace last time out.

Sesko has taken 49 shots across his 12 starts in the Premier League this term, working out to an average of 3.65 shots per 90. He’s scored eight goals across these starts, which is a very impressive tally for a young striker in his first season in the Premier League.

Strikers play in streaks of form based on confidence. Sesko should have plenty of that, having netted in each of his last three games for Manchester United, managing four shots against Crystal Palace last time out. He should get plenty of service with United taking more shots than any other side in the Premier League this season, and Newcastle without a clean sheet in their last 11 matches across all competitions.

This bet has landed in 10 of Mbeumo's last 12 Premier League games.

In Newcastle's last five league outings, the opposition right winger has covered this line.

- Dwight McNeil: had four shots at St James' this weekend just gone.

- Antoine Semenyo: had three shots and then Phil Foden added another as a Sub On Play On replacement.

- Wilson Odobert: came off early and was replaced by Mathys Tel, who had six shots!

- Dango Ouattara: two shots

- Mohamed Salah: two shots

Newcastle need a result more than Man Utd in this one; the dynamics of the game could play out for Michael Carrick's side to utilise their strength on the counter-attack. Mbeumo is crucial to that with his pace.

Although he loves to cut in on his left to strike, the Cameroon international is not one-dimensional. 36% of his shots this season have been with either his right foot or his head, so there are plenty of angles that Mbeumo can land this bet for us under the lights in the North East.