Gem Bet: PSG v Tottenham (UEFA Super Cup)
Harry Nye
Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.
💎 Gem Bet: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia - Over 2.5 Shots v Tottenham @ 1.67 (bet365)
- PSG v Tottenham
- UEFA Super Cup
- 20:00
A £10 bet on this Gem Bet returns £16.70 if it wins.
This Gem Bet is best price with bet365. Join here and claim a new customer offer
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European champions PSG meet Europa League winners Tottenham in Italy for the UEFA Super Cup final on Wednesday, and if last season’s form is any indication, this could end up looking like a cricket score. Yet, our attention is firmly on the individual player markets, where there’s serious value to be found.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to register three or more shots is significantly overpriced at 1.67 with bet365, especially when Paddy Power have him as low as 1.22. That disparity alone is enough to warrant interest, but the numbers from last season only strengthen the case.
After joining PSG in January, the Georgian winger:
Averaged 3.48 shots per 90
Hit 3+ shots in seven of his last nine starts for PSG
Landed this in 15 of his last 20 starts overall (75%)
On that strike rate alone, fairer odds would be closer to 1.33. Add the insurance of Super Sub, with Bradley Barcola (2.79 shots per 90), the man likely to replace him, and the value only increases.
PSG’s attacking output last season speaks for itself, averaging an extraordinary 18.75 shots per game. With such dominance, a one-sided affair is very much expected here, and Kvara is perfectly placed to be a central part of that attacking onslaught.
Given his consistency, PSG’s relentless output, and the clear market disparity, 1.67 on Kvara to register three or more shots isn’t just value, but it’s the kind you can’t ignore.
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