💎 Gem Bet: Xavi Simons - Over 0.5 Shots @ 1.5 (Bet365)

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We took this angle for the North London derby at the weekend with Simons having two shots after coming off the bench, two of only three attempts that Tottenham managed in the contest.

He’s generously priced to have another attempt here, I’d be amazed if he doesn’t start after Tottenham’s lifeless performance at the Emirates last time out. Simons has had a shot in three of his four appearances in the Champions League this season.

Simons has also had seven shots across his six starts in the Premier League this season (1.08 per 90). This is only a sample of Simons’ true shot output with the 22 year old averaging 2.09 shots per 90 in the Bundesliga for Leipzig last season, and 2.67 shots per 90 in the Champions League.

These metrics tell us that Simons is currently operating well below his usual shot level, and we can expect it to increase as he finds his feet in the Tottenham side. There’s also an extra layer of motivation for Simons here as he faces the side that let him go back in 2021.

There is real value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same pick is priced as low as 1.17 on other comparable bookmakers.