Elustundo’s average of 1.86 fouls per game across all competitions implies a lot of value, and it’s a surprise to see him priced as generously as this to sin just once.

He’s slipped up in 5 of his 6 most recent appearances, totalling an impressive 13 fouls committed over the period, including at least 2 in 4 separate matches. Since the start of the season, the centre back has been penalised at least once in 9 of his 12 appearances spanning 60 minutes or more.

He’s set to have a tough run of it on Wednesday, facing Kylian Mbappe, amongst others. The Frenchman has been taken out at least once in 7 of his last 8 games.

In addition to committing a foul, there could also be value in backing Elustundo to draw 1 at 1.50.

The selection has been a winner in each of Elustundo’s last 6 matches, with the Spaniard drawing 3 fouls in his most recent clash against Leganes. Over the course of the season, he’s averaged an impressive 1.82 fouls drawn per 90 in the league.

His battle with Mbappe could once more prove fruitful here, given Mbappe has committed at least 1 foul in 6 of his last 7 and 10 of his most recent 12 in La Liga.

All indicators show that this could be a corner-intensive affair, given that both Real Sociedad and Real Madrid have averaged an impressive 5.76 corners per match in La Liga to date. This puts the pair in joint-2nd with regards to that metric, trailing only Barcelona.

Taking into account those which they’ve conceded, Real Sociedad’s clashes have averaged 10.2 corners per game, with Real Madrid’s producing an average of 9.68.

There’s also no reason to suggest that Sociedad’s corner count will decline against tougher opposition; they managed 6 in their earlier clash with Real Madrid and 7 against Barcelona, with this selection coming in comfortably in both.

No side in La Liga have forced more saves than Real Madrid, whose opponents have maintained a remarkable average of 4.12 saves per match. Their opponents have made at least 3 stops in 19 of Real Madrid’s last 21 games, including each of the most recent 8.

Real Sociedad have averaged 2.56 saves per game, which is certainly enough to imply value given the calibre of their opposition.

They made 4 last time out against Madrid, and in fact, this selection has been a winner in 6 of the previous 7 clashes between these sides. La Real have averaged a massive 4.7 saves per match across those 7 games.

There’s a massive discrepancy between the number of cards picked up by Real Madrid and Real Sociedad this season, and these odds pretty evidently fail to reflect that.

Real Madrid have averaged a mere 1.56 cards per game – the fewest of any side in La Liga by some distance. They’ve also committed the fewest fouls and drawn the 2nd-most. As such, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that their opponents have averaged 2.44 cards per match. Los Blancos have picked up fewer cards than their opposition in 16 of their last 18 league games.

La Real’s average of 2.6 cards per game is significantly more significant, with this figure further augmenting when only considering their recent games. Across their last 8 in the league, Real Sociedad have been awarded 27 cards – an average of 3.4 per game. This perhaps more accurately reflects their average of 13.5 fouls per match – the 5th-most of any team in La Liga.

Vinicius Junior has averaged 3.46 shots per 90 in La Liga this season and comes into this clash in fine form, likely to make his mark.

The Brazilian has fired off at least 3 shots in each of his last 9 matches, totalling 36 shots over the period, despite 1 of those appearances being off the bench. It’s also worth noting the calibre of opposition, given that it included 2 matches against Man City, with him hitting the mark in both.

The winger sent off 4 shots in his last clash with Real Sociedad, and given Wednesday’s hosts have averaged 11.12 shots conceded per league game, he should pass the threshold once more.

Mbappe’s maintained an incredible average of 2.37 shots on target per 90 across all competitions this season, and we’re backing him to manage at least 2 against Real Sociedad.

This selection has been a winner in each of Mbappe’s last 8 games. Meanwhile, he’s managed at least 3 in each of the previous 5.

He tested the Real Sociedad keeper twice earlier this season, and with Imanol Alguacil’s men struggling defensively against the league’s top sides, Mbappe should repeat the feat.

Real Madrid’s league games have averaged 3.08 goals; meanwhile, 17 of their last 21 games across all competitions have produced a minimum of 3 goals.

This selection has also been a winner in each of Real Sociedad’s last 5 games, with them producing an average of 3.8 goals.

Although the last clash between these sides ended 2-0 for Real Madrid, the teams created a combined xG of 3.45.