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Across the site there are a huge range of football tips and betting predictions to go along with this Rotherham v Leeds bet builder. We’re not only here to provide you with some insight but also to win you some money, so if you are planning on having a bet this weekend, make sure you’re getting the most for your money by checking out our selection of free bet offers and new bookmaker offers.
The footballing weekend starts here, with a Friday night EFL tie between Rotherham and Leeds. We have plenty more coverage of the Football League on site, so why not check out our EFL accumulator and EFL bet builder tips. Let’s dive into Friday’s game!
Rotherham v Leeds
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Kick Off: Friday 24th November at 20:00
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
There is a big task ahead for whoever the Rotherham decision-makers appoint as their next head coach.
This match obviously comes too quickly for a new person to be in the New York Stadium home dugout, but the South Yorkshire club are well inside the relegation zone already and without many plus points in their performances to shout about.
Things are quite different 30 miles up the M1. Despite a sticky start, Daniel Farke has Leeds in position, stalking the top two and hopeful of an automatic promotion spot.
Of course, it has been seen a number of times over the decades of the game that current form, and sometimes, genuine quality, can be overridden in a derby game.
Over the years there has been surprisingly little between the clubs in terms of their head-to-head record, 17 Leeds wins and 14 Rotherham wins. However, they haven’t faced off since 2019, which was Marcelo Bielsa’s first season at Elland Road.
Leeds are the undoubted favourites ahead of this clash, and their spectrum of attacking talent means that Rotherham really do have to be organised and prepared to repel Leeds from all kinds of different positions. The biggest concern has to be on transition though as the Leeds forwards have a massive edge, in terms of speed, over the Rotherham defence.
Rotherham v Leeds Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
The research in this piece has been pulled together using the Rotherham v Leeds Cheat Sheet. There’s a wide range of stats to choose from, be it player passes or team corners. There are also referee statistics in the middle of the sheet.
You’re encouraged to use the Cheat Sheet in any way that you want, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Rotherham v Leeds stats on my Bet Builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
Now for our breakdown and match preview with some recommended bets…
🔴⚪ Match stats: Millers struggling, whilst Farke’s Leeds rising to the top
Despite the fact this is a Yorkshire derby, there is a big difference in ability between these two sides.
There is some unpredictability around Rotherham in terms of how they might set up and play, and they have avoided defeat in six of their eight home matches, but they have been fortunate to earn some of those draws, and they haven’t played teams of the quality of Leeds in those matches.
Leeds are in very good shape, with a pretty much full strength squad to choose from, and their attacking players are in great form.
The Rotherham attack underwent a big overhaul in January. Tarique Fosu and Jordan Hugill came in to play alongside Chiedozie Ogbene and that seemed to give the Millers a real lift at the time.
Fosu and Ogbene are no longer at the club of course, but Hugill remains. The idea was to build an attack around him as the central pillar, and that does seem like a cogent, coherent plan. The problem has become the lack of goals, or even opportunities coming Hugill’s way.
The former Preston, West Ham, and multiple other clubs, man, has three goals this season, which is, indeed, Rotherham’s highest individual total. However, this has been achieved over 1000 minutes, and when listing Rotherham’s players by xG per 90 minutes, i,e, their chances to score in each match, Hugill appears a lowly 11th in that list at an absolutely shocking 0.08xG per 90, a 1 in 12 rate.
In terms of other forward options, Rotherham do have some alternatives. Georgie Kelly has looked pretty dangerous when on the pitch, the Irishman’s problem has been availability. He has amassed only 181 minutes so far this season. Sam Nombe arrived as Rotherham’s record signing from Exeter, but, again, has struggled initially with injury. Nombe now looks to be ready to try and claim a place in the starting XI for Rotherham.
Whatever is decided, it is clear that Rotherham need to score more goals if they have aspirations of staying in the Championship for a third year in a row.
Whilst the odds of a Leeds win are decent value at 1.36, considering the likelihood that Daniel Farke’s side do win this game, there may be better value to be found in the handicap markets. Leeds have covered this handicap against Millwall, as well as notching four at Ipswich and three at Norwich, both more difficult assignments than this one.
They also won away at Leicester recently and though that didn’t cover the -1 handicap, it was a very impressive away performance and result.
Predictions:
🏆 Leeds to win @ 1.36
🏆 Leeds (-1 handicap) @ 2.00
🎯 Shooting stats: Joe Rodon is surprisingly trigger-happy
Rodon may not have scored for a long time, but he is certainly still trying.
Leeds are expected to dominate the play and therefore the chances of them getting enough corners and free-kicks for Rodon to have a shot seem quite high.
The Welsh international is averaging 0.7 shots per 90 minutes, but with the expected advantage of more set pieces in the opposition final third, that makes Rodon’s price quite a decent option here, and taking him to have two or more shots looks to be a very solid longshot option for any high-odds bet builders.
Rodon has shot twice in two matches this season, and as a player who usually tends to play the full 90 minutes he has a great chance of getting onto the end of at least a couple of set pieces.
Predictions:
🚀 Joe Rodon to have 1+ shots @ 1.67
🚀 Joe Rodon to have 2+ shots @ 4.50
🛑 Fouls stats: Watch out for Cafu
Cafu doesn’t have a consistent record in terms of fouls, but if there is such thing as ‘fouling form’ then the playmaker is in it now.
The former Nottingham Forest player has committed fouls in his last two matches, including a yellow card in his last match.
The reason that the price is worth taking though is more to do with the opposition. The midfielders of Leeds have consistently drawn fouls in every match that they have played, and the most fouled Leeds player is Georginio Rutter, who drops into midfield to pick up the ball regularly.
There will be a lot to handle in there for Rathbone, Tiehi, and Cafu. The other two midfielders are very short for a foul and extremely poor value, but Cafu’s price is much more appealing, and at 3.75 to commit two fouls, could be another solid option for a longshot.
One has to go back to the opening day of the season for the last time that Cafu made two fouls, an occasion on which he was sent off against Stoke, but his numbers are back trending towards him being more involved in that side of the game, and the added interest of being something of a derby may add a bit of ferocity to the challenges on both sides, bumping up foul numbers across the board.
Predictions:
🛑 Cafu to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.61
🛑 Cafu to commit 2+ fouls @ 3.75
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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