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Rotherham v Plymouth Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Rotherham v Plymouth Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 4 April, 20243 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Rotherham v Plymouth

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Kick Off: Friday 5th April at 20:00
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event

As ever, our football coverage this weekend goes beyond just these Rotherham v Plymouth bet builder tips, with a variety of EFL betting predictions and EFL accumulator tips sitting alongside our collection of expert football tips and our brand new both teams to score acca tips from the Premier League, Scotland and the rest of Europe.

Before you place your bets though, make sure you browse our carefully curated selection of free bets and all of the best bet builder bookmaker sites to make your money work for you. We don't just provide tips either, as we try to help our readers bet smarter on their own too, and those of you who enjoy placing a bet builder may also want to check out our handy guide to player fouls betting to help you do just that.

This match could be the one to spell the end of Rotherham’s two-year stint in the Championship and continue their yo-yo existence between the second and third tiers.

The Millers have had a poor season, even for a club that was expected to be fighting relegation. Leam Richardson was appointed in mid December when the writing was already on the wall. The former Wigan manager has certainly not overseen an improvement though, and it would be fair to say that the jury is still out amongst the Rotherham fan base.

Of course, Plymouth are no strangers to managerial turmoil themselves. After Steven Schumacher left for Stoke, the decision-makers at Home Park appointed Ian Foster, but he lasted just 14 Championship matches and he was dismissed after the damaging defeat to Bristol City on Monday.

In an unusual move, Director of Football Neil Dewsnip will take over in the dugout for the remainder of the season in an attempt to keep Argyle in the Championship and to hopefully give a new head coach a chance at a new season in the second tier.

An instant impact at the New York Stadium would be just the tonic for the Pilgrims though and would arrest the slide that sees them only three points above the drop zone.

With new management in charge, and indeed, someone who has never managed in the professional game before it is tricky to map out exactly. However, we can use the data and analysis from the season so far to help find some angles for a bet builder.

Rotherham v Plymouth Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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You can find Rotherham v Plymouth match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

🏆 Match stats: Recent Rotherham home results a challenge for Plymouth 

Unsurprisingly, Rotherham’s overall home form is down amongst the worst in the division. However, there are some small rays of hope in their recent displays. In comparable fixtures against Huddersfield and Millwall recently, Rotherham have picked up four points. When one digs into the performance data in those matches however, Rotherham lost the xG battle convincingly in both, conceding 39 shots to their 12, and allowing six big chances. On these grounds it is likely that Plymouth will get chances. The personnel that Argyle carry in their forward ranks should be able to capitalise on this. Plymouth are 13th in the league for xG, 7th for shots on target, and 13th for big chances missed, all of which are impressive attacking numbers for a team in relegation trouble. This also illustrates the source of Plymouth’s main problem, defensive solidity. It was the decline of the attack under Foster, possibly in an effort to find a greater balance, which was the biggest problem, if Dewsnip and the coaching staff can return to the sharp attacking play that got the best out of Morgan Whittaker and Ryan Hardie, then Plymouth should live up to their favourites tag here.

Predictions:

⚽ Plymouth to win @ 2.0

⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.75

🎯 Shooting stats: Back the forwards to hit the target

As suggested above, a return to a good level of attacking output should be expected for Plymouth. If that is the case then one can expect Morgan Whittaker to be the main man to turn to. Indeed, Whittaker continues to lead the charts in the Championship for shots, 20 ahead of Conor Chaplin, and for shots on target, seven ahead of Sammie Szmodics. He unleashed seven shots last time out against Bristol City, and he should be added to the bet builder for at least one shot on target here. From a Rotherham perspective, not one of their players approaches a shot on target per 90 on average. Sam Nombe does demonstrate some potential though and had a shot on target in their last match.

Predictions:

⚽ Morgan Whittaker to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.25

⚽ Morgan Whittaker to have 2+ shots on target @ 2.30

⚽ Sam Nombe to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.80

🚩 Corners stats: Really poor recent home corner record stands out against Rotherham 

While Plymouth aren’t a strong corners team away from home, they are playing a side who are routinely dominated in terms of the corner count. Even in matches which seem fairly evenly matched on paper, eg the Millwall home match, the Millers lost the corner count 11-2. Against Huddersfield at home, a 0-0 draw, they won only one corner and conceded six. Plymouth are likely to come on to Rotherham and force the issue. They have good wide attackers and decent wing backs/full backs to provide width depending on how Dewsnip wants to play. Rotherham win 3.68 corners on average at the New York Stadium, and they concede 7.63. Plymouth’s away differential isn’t great at 4.63-7.32, but is still better than the hosts and with reason to believe that they could exploit this tactically.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 5.5 Plymouth corners @ 1.55

⚽ Plymouth corner match bet @ 1.53

🛑 Fouls stats: The midfield battle the place to go for fouls

There is a surprisingly good price on Jordan Houghton here that is a good one for a bet builder. The Plymouth midfielder has been a regular since his return from a long term injury and has a high fouls rate of well over one per game in that time as well. With the three-man Rotherham midfield also looking to be strong in the challenge it is going to be a big game for Houghton to make his own physicality tell. He has played 90 minutes in the last three games and made seven fouls across them, so backing him for 2+ would’ve hit in each of those. Sticking with the midfield battle it should be worth having Ollie Rathbone onside here as well. A regular in the Rotherham team, Rathbone plays the all-action box-to-box role more often than not, and this leads to regular fouls being committed. Rathbone’s fouls record in his last six starts reads 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1 so he is a consistent fouler, even if he only plays 60-70 minutes as he often seems to at the moment. The other Rotherham player who is perhaps worth adding in is the forward Sam Nombe. He is a short price, but he could justify a place in the bet builder with fouls in each of his last four appearances, including three at home to Huddersfield.

Predictions:

⚽ Jordan Houghton to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.33

⚽ Jordan Houghton to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.60

⚽ Ollie Rathbone to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.27

⚽ Ollie Rathbone to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.38

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