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Poland v Scotland Bet Builder Tips
Ahead of Monday night’s clash, we’ve crafted two bet builders that you can join us on. Our Level 1 bet builder is available to back at over 3/1, while our second bet builder comes in at 9/1. You can also check out our Poland v Scotland Betting Preview for our expert’s favourite data-led selections.
3/1 Poland v Scotland Bet Builder Level 1
9/1 Poland v Scotland Bet Builder Level 2
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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip
🎯 Scott McTominay to have 1+ Shots on Target
📈 Odds: 1.83
McTominay has been incredibly reliable getting shots on target for Scotland during a remarkable burst of form for the national team, during which he has become an offensive talisman.
He has had at last one shot on target in 11 of his last 18 international appearances, while he has also offered shots on target in five of his last six outings for Scotland. This includes an effort on target against Croatia on Friday, when he made a run to latch onto a pass from Ben Doak to have an effort from outside the box. It shows that he is not afraid to take on shooting positions.
Scotland likely to play this game with an attacking attitude, which should lead to the visiting side getting their key offensive players into good areas on a regular basis.
🩹 Lyndon Dykes to be Fouled 1+ Times
📈 Odds: 1.30
Having been dropped for the Croatia game on Friday, Dykes should come back into the starting XI for this encounter, when he will be asked to provide nuisance value in attack for Steve Clarke’s side.
The Australian-born striker has been drawing fouls at a rate of 2.86 per 90 in the Nations League, which includes two fouls drawn against Poland when the sides met in Glasgow back in September.
He has been fouled in 12 of his last 14 international starts for Scotland, showing that he has a strong record at winning fouls.
Poland’s centre-backs are their main criminals. Jan Bednarek and Pawel Dawidowicz have combined for 18 fouls across the competition to date, with Jakub Kiwior adding another six. This is the area of the field where the hosts give up most of their fouls.
🎯 Scotland to have 3+ Shots on Target
📈 Odds: 1.22
Scotland need to win in order to secure at least a relegation play-off spot, while a two-goal victory could potentially send them into the quarter-finals of the competition. It is a formula that means they will need to attack at some point in this match and should see them chalk up a sizeable number of shots on target.
Managed their highest shot count of the tournament to date against Poland at home, when they mustered 11 efforts on goal plus three on target at Hampden. That was a game in which they only came onto the front foot in the second half.
Poland have been weak defensively and have given up at least three shots on target in four of their five previous Nations League matches. Scotland will be disappointed if they do not continue that run on an evening they need to win.
🟨 Over 3.5 Cards
📈 Odds: 1.22
This match will be played in a full-blooded manner, with neither side wanting to be sucked down to the Nations League Group B, which is what defeat for either country would mean. As such, expect this to be a very competitive encounter.
Although both nations rank low among the card count in the Nations League, combining for just 16 cards, this works out as a combined 3.2 cards per game. Given what’s at stake in this game, this tally should be higher in this clash.
Scotland do tend to have a low card count but equally their foul count is high, both in terms of for and against. With referee Christian Dingert aware what’s on the line for both countries in this encounter, it would not be a surprise to see him take a harder-line approach than has been the case in the Nations League to date.
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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip
🎯 Nicola Zalewski to have 1+ Shots on Target
📈 Odds: 2.70
Zalewski has more shots on target than any other Poland player in this edition of the Nations League, with the Roma player mustering five in total.
He has had at least one shot in every match he has played in this competition, with four out of five games ending with him having mustered at least one shot on target. His odds to continue this trend, which imply a 38.5% probability, therefore, look very attractive indeed.
He had two shots against Scotland at Hampden, with one of these not only finding the target, but scoring.
With Roma he is typically used as a left wing-back, but with the national team he has been pushed forward into a left midfield role, which helps to explain why his offensive production is so much greater on the international stage.
⚽️ Over 2.5 Goals
📈 Odds: 2.0
Scotland’s last two games might have produced just a single goal, but they have produce 4.31xG combined. These have not been the drab fixtures the scorelines might suggest, and if anything, this game has the potential to be more exciting than either of the two that have gone before them.
Poland’s matches have almost invariably been high-scoring affairs. Four of their five fixtures have yielded at least three goals, with the weak defence of the home side a major reason for this. They have conceded at least two on four occasions.
Given the stakes on the table, there is big scope for this game to be another high-scoring affair. Both teams will need to attack to try to get the win, leaving themselves exposed to a potential counterattack. If the Poles continue their streak of conceding at least one goal, that means they will need to push to score two in order to have a hope of qualifying.
🛑 Anthony Ralston to Commit 1+ Fouls
📈 Odds: 1.50
When it comes to committing fouls, Ralston has been prolific for Scotland, with the Celtic right-back giving up 1.4 per 90 minutes of Nations League action this season.
He is in the team because of injury issues in this area and is often targeted as a weak link by opposing teams, ensuring that he sees plenty of action during games and maximising his chances of making a mistake and committing a foul.
The defender has given up seven fouls in total for Scotland, with the only occasion that he hasn’t during a start in this competition the away match in Croatia. Indeed, he has given up two fouls on three of five occasions.
Has played all but two minutes of Nations League football, and while he is coming under more pressure from Nicky Devlin for the starting berth, he is still likely to claim a starting berth here.
🧤 Scotland Goalkeeper to make 3+ Saves
📈 Odds: 1.57
Scotland goalkeeper Craig Gordon has been in excellent form since coming back into the team because of an injury to Angus Gunn. Indeed, he may well have made himself first choice for the national team aged 40 thanks to his performances.
Has saved 11 of 14 – 85.7% – of shots since coming into the team. This is a far superior ratio to Gunn, who has only stopped six of nine (66.7%) of efforts from open play and six of 11 overall.
Scotland are giving up significant numbers of shots on target, meaning that their goalkeeper is being worked on a match-by-match basis. They have given up at least three shots on target in every game and have dipped below only five twice. One of these was against Croatia at the weekend, when their opponents played more than 45 minutes with 10 men.
Poland need to win this match so should adopt an attacking attitude at some stage.
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At Andy’s Bet Club, we offer the best Football Betting Tips with a huge range of betting content available throughout the week.
We feature a variety of Nations League Betting Predictions, along with our Nations League Acca Tips for the rest of Monday’s matches. Check out our Spain v Switzerland Betting Predictions and Croatia v Portugal Betting Tips too.
You can also check out our BTTS Tips, Player Shot On Target Predictions and Nations League Foul Predictions to aid your bet builder punting – our Bet Builder Stats tool offers even more insight.
Finally, we have collected the best Free Bet Offers and Nations League Free Bet Offers for this week’s football, along with our curated lists of the Best Bet Builder Bookmakers and Best UK Betting Sites to place our tips on.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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