In this article…
Sheffield Wednesday v Hull
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Kick Off: Monday 1st January at 17:15
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football
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A Yorkshire derby, but not quite as we know it. The East Riding Tigers against the South Yorkshire Owls has significance at both ends of the table with Liam Rosenior and Danny Röhl knowing that kicking off 2024 with a win could be vital for retaining the momentum for their respective challenges.
Rosenior has reinvigorated the Hull team by being able to use the tools provided by the recent new ownership and organising them into a highly effective unit. They are solid all over the pitch and have that mixture of youth and experience, and domestic and foreign talent, that is putting them in a really interesting spot going into the new year.
Surely Sheffield Wednesday fans and Dejphon Chansiri must be thinking: if only Danny Röhl had been given the chance to manage the Owls in the summer. The young German coach has managed to change the momentum and show the game style that he would’ve wanted to employ, and whilst it would be over the top to suggest that results have been ideal, Wednesday have picked up points to put pressure on the teams above them.
This is going to be an interesting tactical encounter and whilst both managers will be looking to their owners and recruitment teams to give them some help in January to power them closer to their goals, both also have the ability to use their current tools really effectively.
There are lots of angles to consider when putting together a bet builder for this fixture. To do this we have the aid of our fantastic cheat sheet and with some extra analysis in certain aspects of the match, there are some excellent angles to add to a bet builder.
Sheffield Wednesday v Hull Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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You can find Sheffield Wednesday v Hull match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚽️ Match stats: Sheffield Wednesday on a Röhl but Rosenior showing consistency with Tigers
Despite the big difference in league position and points won there are some aspects of the data that are very similar between Hull and Sheffield Wednesday.
Indeed, Wednesday actually allow fewer shots on goal and a lower xG against than Hull, in fact, the Yorkshire club’s defensive record, from a performance perspective, is pretty much mid table.
Therefore, as one would expect, it is Wednesday’s attacking performance that is lacking. They are languishing down at the bottom of the Championship for shots taken, xG created, touches in the penalty area, and other attacking metrics.
This is something that has actually improved since the arrival of Röhl, the season-long data obviously takes into account Xisco Muñoz’s reign as well, so Wednesday should be considered as a decent lower mid table side under Röhl at the moment.
Hull have a top five possession rate, which gives an indication of how Hull can play, and all of their attacking metrics are top half over the season. They are top five for shots taken and shots on target, though their expected goals total is only around tenth in the league.
Some other interesting notes on Hull are that they have one of the lowest crossing rates in the league, which indicates how they construct their attacks. They are also bottom of the league for tackles and interceptions, which, again, gives a guide on their defensive style, less combative and more structured.
Predictions:
⚽ Hull double chance @ 1.30
🎯 Shooting stats: Hull amongst the top shooters in the division
Hull have four different players with 6 goals or more but none in double figures. The goalscoring responsibilities are shared around the forward unit, but, as mentioned above, Hull create a lot of shooting opportunities.
Jaden Philogene-Bidace has been missing through injury recently, but before that he had been putting in consistently threatening performances from the left. Liam Delap has improved markedly under Rosenior from his disappointing 2022/23 loan spells and is currently being deployed from the right to accommodate the goalscoring talents of Aaron Connolly.
The absence of Philogene has also allowed experienced Turkish international Ozan Tufan the chance to make an advanced midfield position his own, and it is he who fires off the most shots on average when he plays.
Wednesday’s shot threat has been few and far between, but the introduction of Bailey-Tye Cadamarteri to their attack has really helped to change the dynamic. The teenager leads Wednesday’s shot production with 2.5 per 90, the problem is that no one else comes close to that total. Marvin Johnson, at left wing-back is the next highest regular starter at 1.58 per 90.
Predictions:
⚽ Hull to have 4+ shots on target @ 1.57
⚽ Ozan Tufan to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.80
🚩 Corners stats: Low corner expectation when Sheffield Wednesday are at home and Hull away
When the Owls play at home there has been the lowest number of corners per match of any other home ground in the competition with an average of 8.83. Wednesday just about edge it in terms of earning more than their opponents, but it is not a substantial lead.
Wednesday should be slight favourites in the market though as Hull follow the usual trend of conceding more corners on their travels than they manage to earn themselves. However, again, the corner expectation is below ten in total for Hull on their travels, earning only around four.
Therefore, the corner match bet market is our port of call.
Predictions:
⚽ Sheffield Wednesday corner match bet @ 1.87
🛑 Fouls & Cards stats: Sheff Wed amongst worst offenders in the Championship
Sheffield Wednesday’s propensity for red cards has gone against them so far this season but they are also up there for fouls and yellow cards.
Wednesday have five players with five or more cautions, which can make it difficult to single out individuals as potential targets for booking bets, but an interesting player in the market is George Byers. The midfielder has 23 fouls this season, just one fewer than Wednesday’s leader Callum Paterson, but has collected only one booking so far.
Hull, despite not being quite so consistent in picking up cautions, do have a group of players who get themselves noticed by the referees more often than others. Jean-Michael Seri and Jacob Greaves have seven yellows each and Liam Delap has five, those three are Hull’s most common foulers.
However, Lewie Coyle is in fourth for fouls but so far has picked up only two yellow cards and could be a value alternative for a bet builder.
Predictions:
⚽ Lewie Coyle to be shown a card @ 3.40
⚽ Liam Delap to commit 1+ foul @ 1.36
⚽ Liam Delap to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.70
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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