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Southampton v Brentford
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Kick Off: Saturday 4th January at 15:00
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Competition: Premier League
Southampton’s struggles continue to deepen, with their dismal form extending through the Christmas period. Consecutive defeats to West Ham and Crystal Palace have left them without a win in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
As a result, the Saints find themselves firmly rooted to the bottom of the Premier League table with just 6 points and 8 points adrift of Leicester in 19th place. They host Brentford who head into this game on the back of a 3-1 home defeat to Arsenal that left the Bee’s in 12th place in the Premier League table.
⭐ Southampton v Brentford Best Bet
Kyle Walker-Peters has been a standout player for Southampton when it comes to drawing fouls from opponents. Averaging 1.94 fouls won per 90 minutes, the full-back has consistently caused trouble for defenders with his attacking intent and skill on the ball.
Over his last 7 appearances, he has been fouled at least twice in 5 matches, a testament to his ability to engage and frustrate opponents. Brentford’s physical approach aligns perfectly with this betting market, as they often rely on aggressive challenges to disrupt play.
Walker-Peters’ forward runs down the flank will be crucial for Southampton’s offence, making him a likely target for tactical fouls. At odds of 2.0, betting on Walker-Peters to be fouled at least twice represents excellent value.
🟢 Southampton v Brentford #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Southampton’s woeful form continues to drag them deeper into trouble, with the Saints now without a win in 10 matches across all competitions. Brentford, on the other hand, have been a well-drilled and consistent unit, boasting the quality to take all three points in this encounter.
The Bees have been particularly strong in creating opportunities, averaging 4.77 corners per game compared to Southampton’s 4.48. Brentford have also shown superior corner dominance in recent weeks, earning 9 more corners than Southampton in their last 5 matches.
Additionally, Southampton’s lack of discipline has been a recurring issue this season. They average 2.78 cards per game, significantly higher than Brentford’s 1.50. With Brentford in good form, Southampton’s defensive struggles, and their tendency to pick up cards, this combination bet offers excellent value at odds of 13/1.
👕 Southampton v Brentford Predicted XI
🔍 Southampton v Brentford Players to Watch
⚫ Bryan Mbeumo
Bryan Mbeumo has been pivotal for Brentford this season, stepping up admirably in Ivan Toney’s departure. The French forward has been in scintillating form, registering 6 shots on target in his last 5 matches and averaging 1.03 shots on target per 90 minutes.
Mbeumo has been a key figure in Brentford’s attack, contributing 11 goals and 2 assists this season. His sharp movement and ability to exploit defensive weaknesses make him a constant threat. Against a struggling Southampton defence that has conceded 30 shots on target in their last 5 matches, Mbeumo is poised to thrive.
🔴 Tyler Dibling
Tyler Dibling averages 1.70 fouls per 90 minutes, with the young attacker has committed a foul in each of his last 7 matches, tallying 12 fouls during this period. His willingness to engage defensively makes him a reliable pick in this market.
Against Brentford, a team known for their combative and direct style, Dibling is likely to commit tactical fouls to disrupt Brentford’s counter-attacking rhythm. Southampton’s need to apply pressure and break up play heightens the likelihood of Dibling committing at least one foul.
📂 Southampton v Brentford Cheat Sheet
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💻 Southampton v Brentford Form and Tactics
Brentford’s superiority is clear when comparing team statistics. They average more goals per game (1.73 to Southampton’s 0.96), take more shots (10.73 to 9.61), and win more corner kicks (4.77 to 4.48).
While both sides have similar possession stats, Southampton’s defensive issues are highlighted by their high foul count (11.39 per game compared to Brentford’s 8.32) and disciplinary problems, receiving 2.78 cards per game to Brentford’s 1.50.
Southampton’s tendency to play out from the back has often led to costly mistakes, contributing to their poor form. Expect Brentford to capitalise on these vulnerabilities with their well-drilled and direct style of play.
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🏁 Southampton v Brentford Ref Watch
- Referee: Stuart Attwell
- Averages 18.4 Fouls per game across his last 10.
- He hasn’t shown a penalty in his last 10 matches.
- distributed 17 cards in his last 5 Premier League matches, an average of 3.4 cards per game.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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