Alanyaspor have multiple players back from injury and Francesco Farioli can finally play his best starting XI again. They were knocked out the Turkish Cup by Galatasaray, despite playing well. The performances have also improved in the league, as they won 5-0 against Trabzonspor who won the league last year. There have been goals aplenty in their games recently, with 8 in their last two home games and a 4-1 road defeat to Kasimpasa.

Karagumruk have lost players and thus have a weaker squad, due to financial troubles. Players are receiving wages late, sometimes not even at all. 11 of their last 12 games have had over 2.5 goals. In their last 7 they have scored 2 in 6 of them and conceded 2+ in every game.

Alanyaspor and Karagumruk have little to no problem finding the back of the net. Alanyaspor are the favourites at home but over 2.5 goals should coast home.

Kayserispor has scored in the last 17 games played this season. They have certainly managed to score at least 1 goal in their last 5 defeats. On the other hand, Beşiktaş has scored in the last 12 games. Both teams are effective offensively but problematic in defence. In these conditions, I expect both teams to score in this match.

After 4 defeats on the spin, Kayserispor returned to winning ways last week with a 4-1 win against Sivasspor. Backing that up with a win in the Turkish Cup, they are starting to turn their fortunes around. With a transfer ban on the club, they are reliant on keeping hold of their current talent to help their second half of the season.

Besiktas weren’t as fortunate in the cup, bowing out to Ankaragucu on penalties. Their league form is better though, with 3 wins on the spin despite losing centre forward Wout Weghorst across this stretch. Injury to Josef is a pivotal loss for Besiktas, often protecting the back 4.

Kayserispor have scored in their last 17 games, and Besiktas in their last 12. Whether it’s a result of injuries or lack of options, both sides are weak defensively in comparison to going forward and for that reason I fancy both teams to score.

Bottom-placed Ionikos are set to host the in most in-form team in Greece, as second-placed AEK Athens have recorded four wins in a row, scoring 11 goals, keeping three clean sheets and conceding just one.

Despite Matias Almeyda resting the majority of his starters and giving opportunities to fringe players in the Greek Cup on Wednesday against Super League 2 side Panserraikos, AEK grabbed another comfortable victory (3-0) on home soil.

No Greek Super League team have scored more goals away from home than AEK (16 in 9 games) this season and only leaders Panathinaikos have conceded more goals on the road than the five that Almeyda’s side have allowed in thus far.

This is considered as AEK’s easiest away fixture until the playoffs kick off and they will be in search of an emphatic victory to pile the pressure on Panathinaikos, who will be facing fourth-placed PAOK later on Sunday. Should Panathinaikos drop points against PAOK, AEK could manage to close the gap on the leaders to one or two points.

To secure all three points, they need to go past a struggling Ionikos side, who have netted just six goals in nine home games and have yet to record a win on home soil this season.

Ionikos have lost all but one of their last seven games, having scored just one goal since early November. Only Volos have allowed in more goals on home soil than Ionikos (15 in 9 games) and the bad news for them is that they are set to face the best attack in the league, as AEK have netted 36 times in 18 duels.

AEK will not struggle to grab a comfortable victory over Ionikos, whom they beat 4-1 in a first-round game where they produced 27 goal attempts.

The least exciting game of the Greek Super League Round 19 will take place in Levadia, where third-bottom Levadiakos will face second-bottom Lamia. Neither of the two teams are heading to the duel in an ideal form, as they have registered a combined one win in their last 20 matches.

Had it not been for a dreadful Ionikos, Lamia and Levadiakos will have been considered as the main favourites to be relegated at the end of the season, having picked up just 11 and 12 points from 18 games, respectively.

Levadiakos have scored just one goal in their last four games. They couldn’t even break down Asteras Tripolis’ defence last weekend, despite the hosts playing with 10 players for more than 70 minutes. In fact, Levadiakos didn’t produce a single clear-cut chance and recorded just three shots on target throughout the game.

As for Lamia, they have celebrated just two goals in five league games after the World Cup break, being the team with the fewest goals scored on the road, as they have managed just two in nine matches.

Levadiakos have not impressed on home soil either, as only three teams have scored fewer goals than Jasminko Velic’s side (seven in nine games) thus far.

This game is of great importance for the two teams in their bid to secure safety in the playoffs. This one should be considered as a relegation six-pointer, but at this point of the season they will both prioritise avoiding a painful defeat over pushing for a win, as they are aware that they will face each other again twice in the playoffs.

Only one of the last eight games between the two teams ended with more than 2.5 goals scored and we shouldn’t expect an open game here either.

After recording four straight league wins for the first time this season, Olympiacos managed a narrow victory over Aris in the Greek Cup on Wednesday. Coach Michel is aware of the importance of Sunday’s game away at Atromitos and for this reason he took the risk to rest 10 of his 11 starters in the Cup against a strong rival such as Aris.

However, Olympiacos’ fringe players managed to secure a 1-0 victory in the first leg of the cup quarter-finals and Olympiacos will be heading to Peristeri after having won five of their last six matches across all competitions. In fact, the only team they failed to beat was Atromitos, as they drew 2-2 on the road in the previous round of the Greek Cup.

Yet, Olympiacos had used second or even third-choice players in that game, as they had already practically clinched qualification to the quarter-finals with a 4-1 win in the first leg.

The fact that as many as nine goals were scored in their last two games against Atromitos doesn’t mean that we should expect something similar from Sunday’s games. Olympiacos tend to impress on home soil, as they did in the aforementioned 4-1 victory, but they rested all their starters for the return leg.

It has to be noted that an in-form Olympiacos have kept five clean sheets in their last six games, while Atromitos have scored just 11 goals in nine home games so far this season.

Meanwhile, Olympiacos have focused all their efforts on closing the gap on leaders Panathinaikos and second-placed AEK. Although Matias Almeyda’s team are expected to cruise past Ionikos earlier on Sunday, Panathinaikos may drop points against PAOK, who beat them 2-0 in the Cup on Wednesday.

This means that a win at Peristeri could potentially offer Olympiacos the opportunity to pile the pressure on the leaders, who have been struggling lately.

In their last two games against Aris, Olympiacos demonstrated that they know how to grab professional victories – something that they struggled to do before the World Cup break and they will try to do in Peristeri too.

It has to be noted that only two of their last 39 games against Atromitos ended with more than 4.5 goals scored. Hence, we shouldn’t expect this to happen twice in the last three games between the two teams.

When João Pedro Sousa returned to Famalicão a mere 20 months after receiving the axe, he took charge of a Fama side that sat 16th in the table following a third straight defeat on September 18. Slowly but surely, Famalicão have strung together some consistency and closed out the year with a 2-0 win at Chaves before beating Vizela 2-1 at home and prevailing 2-1 in extra time against Leixōes.

As a result, they will host B-SAD in the Taça de Portugal quarterfinals on October 8, currently hovering above the second tier’s relegation zone with 15 points from 16 games after finishing bottom of the 2021/22 Primeira Liga table. Fama sit three points clear of the relegation playoff spot, two points behind Estoril Praia, and three points behind Boavista, Portimonense, and Rio Ave, and they will be looking to bounce back from their 4-1 defeat to Porto with a strong result at home against Rio Ave.

Despite registering the second-lowest expected goals in the top-flight (13.3) after Santa Clara (11), and despite conceding 20 goals and scoring just 17, Rio Ave sit 10th in the table following their immediate return to the top-flight. They were able to overperform their xG at a stratospheric rate over the season’s opening months, but recent weeks have seen the well dry up.

After drawing 1-1 to 17th-placed Marítimo, Rio Ave opened 2023 with a 0-0 draw to Vitória before losing 1-0 at home to Paços de Ferreira – the first victory in all competitions for Paços since April 9 and their first away win since March 12. They have been eliminated from both cups and have generally maintained a low-scoring run of form under manager Luis Freíre – apart from a 2-1 win against 10-man Farense in the Taça de Portugal on December 13, each of their last nine matches have resulted in under 2.5 goals.

The absence of top scorer Abdul Aziz Yakubu has certainly played a role as the Ghanaian striker mulls over a move to Egyptian giants Al-Ahly, and it should result in a low-scoring affair in Famalicão. Rio Ave will be looking to compensate with their lack of goals by producing a resolute defensive display, and whilst Fama’s Spanish playmaker Iván Jaime could pose issues for them, they have yet find to a proven goal threat who can replace the scoring boots of Simon Banza, who scored 16 goals on loan for Fama before joining Braga on a permanent deal in the summer. Despite making just six league appearances – three of them starts – the diminutive Spaniard is Fama’s top scorer with three goals, followed by summer arrivals Alex Millán and Zaydou Youssef with two.

They have been held to a clean sheet on seven occasions thus far, and they could have a tough time breaking down a compact Rio Ave defence. I’m backing this one to be a low-scoring affair in Famalicão.