Spurs v Burnley

After an emphatic North London derby victory on Thursday, Spurs will look to build pressure on rivals Arsenal by leapfrogging them in the top 4 with another victory here. At the other end of the table, visitors Burnley will also be looking to put pressure on their rivals as they seek Premier League safety.

A Harry Kane brace followed by Son’s goal meant Spurs’ dynamic duo lifted them to another 3 points at home. The pair now have 36 goals between them in the league this season while the rest of the squad have 27. With Burnley and Norwich to play, Spurs fans and Conte will be expecting 6 points from these fixtures, therefore, putting the pressure on Arsenal to do the same. Conte has proved time and time again to be a winner building sides with a strong mentality and difficult to break down. With Burnley’s front two isolated in a 4-4-2, it’s difficult to see them nicking a goal when Spurs have 3 centre backs + Hojberg to block service into them.

Under Mike Jackson, Burnley had won 3 of 4 before Villa came to town and tore them apart at Turf Moor with goals from Ings, Buendia and Watkins. Having won against Watford, Wolves and Saints before this, they struggled in the face of real quality, something Spurs possess in depth. I don’t expect Burnley to try and target this game for 3 points with Villa and Newcastle slightly easier prospects to come but with the margin so narrow at the bottom they will try and nick a point.

Yet again, Spurs showed how difficult they are to stop going forward even before Rob Holding’s red card on Thursday. Although Burnley will put up some resilience, I expect a routine and comfortable Spurs win today. Spurs have won to nil 7 times this season, a number only bettered by the top two which I wouldn’t bet against today.

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Aston Villa v Crystal Palace

Aston Villa will look to complete the double over Crystal Palace and leapfrog them in the table on Sunday in an enticing mid table tussle. After back to back wins, Villa fell to defeat against title chasing Liverpool, while Palace’s last outing came over a week ago in a comprehensive victory over relegated Watford.

Despite losing to Liverpool, there were plenty of positives for Gerrard’s Villa to take out the performance, racking up an xG of 1.36 against a Liverpool side who average under 1 xGA per game. Douglas Luiz  had Villa Park bouncing for all of 3 minutes before a defensive disaster let Liverpool in. Although keeping Liverpool out is no easy task, it showed Villa’s weaknesses defensively which have led to them conceding 49 goals this season and derailing a run at European football.

In a similar position to Villa, Crystal Palace can solidify hopes of a top half finish with victory today. Recently, despite their depth in attacking talent, Palace have excelled defensively with 5 clean sheets in 8 with the form of Joachim Andersen at the heart of these performances. The Dane won 100% of his defensive and aerial duels in his last outing, a key stat considering Villa’s corner  goal in the reverse fixture which earned them the 3 points when Andersen wasn’t playing.

The possible loss of Marc Guehi would usually provide an advantage to any opposing attack but with injuries to Leon Bailey and now Ollie Watkins, I don’t see an attacking threat with enough pace and talent to exploit this weakness. Palace have struggled to turn draws into wins this season but with just 11 losses, the same as both Arsenal and Spurs, I expect them to pick up at least a point at Villa Park.

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Leeds v Brighton

Just a few weeks ago, with both Everton and Burnley struggling to find points, Leeds looked locked in for a Premier League spot next year. Fast forward to Sunday and they are in the bottom 3, with a significantly worse goal difference than both sides having played a game more. Their two remaining fixtures are Brighton and Brentford, both having highly successful seasons and aiming for top half finishes.

For the second game in a row, Leeds discipline let them down yet again in a pivotal game for Marsch’s men. Dan James followed Luke Ayling’s example as his horror challenge on Matteo Kovacic saw a deserved card. Already trailing 1-0 and a man down, Leeds capitulated to a 3-0 defeat without registering a SOT. The loss of James, was followed by injuries to Jack Harrison and Raphinha, meaning Leeds lost 3 key attackers in just one game.

Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 games, including 3 wins out of 4 on the road only losing to champions elect, Manchester City. Wins at Arsenal, Spurs and Wolves have shown just how capable Potter’s men can be on the road before they demolished a lacklustre United side 4-0 at The Amex last week. Brighton’s attractive 3 back system allows them to maintain possession and frustrate opposition sides who are used to having the ball. For example, having 53% possession in the 1-0 win at Spurs and allowing 0 shots on target.

If Leeds lose both their remaining games, they will be returning to Championship football after just a two year stay in the Prem. Possibly losing Raphinha in addition to Harrison, James, Dallas, Bamford and Ayling really limits Leeds’ creative spark to break down a resilient Brighton unit. The Seagulls are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 against Leeds and have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 against them too. Considering their contrasting form, this should be a walkover for Brighton.

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Watford v Leicester

It has been just over 9 years since Troy Deeney’s infamous goal sent Leicester packing from the playoffs but it’s safe to say they’ve had the better accomplishments of these two sides since then. Returning to Vicarage Road with little to play for Leicester will be targeting three points against a relegated side, similar to their win over Norwich in midweek.

After 11 home losses on the spin, Watford finally put an end to this run with a point in a dull goalless draw with struggling Everton. Already looking towards next season, Watford announced the appointment of Rob Edwards to take the reins in the second tier, albeit with plenty of backlash from Dale Vince and Forest Green. They need a change of mentality, having registered one shot on target and 0 goals across their last two games.

Leicester needed to end their 7 game winless run and did it in fashion against bottom placed Norwich with a brace from Vardy the highlight of their 3-0 win. Vardy thrives against lower teams, scoring a brace against Watford in the reverse fixture as well. Leicester have already put 8 past this Watford side across two games this season with a 4-1 win in the FA Cup as well. Where Everton failed to break down this Watford back line, Leicester have depth with Vardy, Maddison, Barnes and Iheanacho just a few options to call on.

Hodgson will be without multiple key players again this weekend with Louza and Cucho Hernandez ruled out, plus Dennis and Sarr doubtful. A front 3 of Kalu, Pedro and Sema were starved of service in midweek, and I don’t expect that to change on Sunday. Unlike Everton, Leicester have the ability to unlock a championship standard back 4 while allowing Rodgers to rotate, averaging 1.29 goals per game on the road and scoring in their last 4 travels.

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West Ham v Man City

The Hammers’ season has taken a major setback in recent weeks as they failed to book a place in the Europa League final and their league form has faltered, resulting in dropping out of the top 4 race and now clinging on to the hope of Europa League qualification. From being on the verge of European silverware to facing the possibility of Europa Conference League football, next season it does feel as though this season has petered out somewhat for the Hammers. Their disappointment is likely to become even bigger because in-form City are traveling to the London Stadium to all but confirm the successful defense of the title. Pep Guardiola is the master of lifting the mood within the squad after the Champions league setback they have averaged 4.4 scored goals per 90 in their last five league matches. De Bruyne’s masterclass at Molineux in midweek is another factor playing in the Spaniard’s hands ahead of the final 180 matches of the season.

The hosts will be determined to give Mark Noble a winning farewell and he will likely start in midfield which likely weakens them. Guardiola is about to lead his team into London with the intention to spoil his swansong. Despite the possibility of City having only one fit senior center-back in Aké, they will rally heavily on its attack who has been super deadly as of late. On more than one occasion, the Citizens have shown that they are incapable of defending a result and with so many injures in the backline, they are surely aware that they can’t help Ederson if they sit and defend. I expect Pep to give his attackers the responsibility of securing the win and give Declan Rice a glimpse of what he could experience if he finally decides to leave the capital in search for trophies and Champions League football.

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Wolves v Norwich

Having faced top of the league last time out, Wolves will be looking forward to playing the side at the opposite end when they welcome already relegated Norwich on Sunday.

Wolves have prided themselves this season on defensive stability but had their weaknesses exposed by one man last time out. Kevin de Bruyne buried 4 past Wolves, becoming the top scorer at Molineux this season despite playing just 90 minutes. They have suffered defeat to City and Brighton in their past two home games (1^st and 5^th best away sides) but will look to make it an 8^th home win for the season against a side who have scored just 10 times away all season.

After relegation was confirmed by a 2-0 defeat at Villa, Norwich have played two out of form sides and gifted them a combined 7 goals without reply. It appears the Canaries are already thinking about championship football and not playing with any freedom. Ings, Antonio and Vardy have all returned to goal scoring form when playing the Canaries and I’m sure Wolves’ own physical striker, Raul Jimenez will be excited by the prospect of facing Norwich. With nothing riding on this game, Wolves will just be looking to give their home crowd a return to form having not won a game in 5. Wolves have scored just 3 goals in 5 games and Norwich have scored in one of their last 7. The sides have met twice this season and shared just one goal, not good reading for the neutrals here

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Everton v Brentford

The Toffees missed a huge chance to add further distance between themselves and the relegation zone in midweek and Frank Lampard must hope they won’t regret the goalless draw against an already relegated Watford at the end of the season. However, Everton noted very important back-to-back wins as of late and their form has improved especially in defence because they have only conceded once in the last 270 minutes of action. But, the Bees are traveling to Merseyside on the back of a big win and Thomas Frank is always eager to ruin everybody’s plans. Brentford boasts the complete opposite playing style in comparison to Everton as they rely on an approach of high-intensity, direct attacking.

Everton are two points away from the relegation zone and has a game in hand and the squad will fancy the chance to continue the four-match unbeaten home run with the fans behind them at Goodison Park. Lampard has recently realized the best chance of survival is relying on being compact and relying on not conceding goals rather than scoring. Richarlison remains the only in-form striker and their attacking output very much relies on him with Dominic Calvert-Lewin miles off it. The visitors might have defeated the Saints, but are inconsistent when it comes to scoring goals as Toney & co. either score plenty or none at all. Everton have transformed into a solid outfit, and I expect this to be a tense, nervy, and ultimately pretty boring game.

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