Hammarby v Värnamo
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Sunday 31st July – 2:00PM KO
Two teams at opposite ends of the table with a home team scoring for fun and an away side much too defensively frail, this should be a spectacle.
Hammarby have been inspired recently, winning three consecutive matches by the same 3-0 scoreline and look as cohesive as ever. After some shaky form prior, they now look poised to go on a run to push Häcken and Stockholm rivals Djurgården in a close-fought title race. The third highest goals tally combined with the best defence in the league make their aspirations credible, and new signings have settled in remarkably well. Saidi looks very comfortable in the left-wing role and Pinas impressed in his first start last week, needed with star Mohanad Jeahze reportedly refusing to warm up to push through a transfer, and subsequently being suspended by the club. Norwegian international Veton Berisha’s arrival is a real statement of intent; he’s been lethal in Eliteserien and could make his debut here, but Ludwigson’s red-hot form in front of goal means it’s possible we’ll see him coming off the bench.
After a solid start to the season, visitors IFK Värnamo have hit a patch of miserable form, not winning in their last five and conceding 14 goals in the process. Meanwhile, they’ve only scored three – their inefficiency in front of goal has been a thorn in the side all year. Only 14 goals scored in 15 matches, with half of those by star man Marcus Antonsson, shows some serious offensive issues. New signing Zeljkovic hasn’t found his feet yet – despite being tricky in the 3-2 loss last weekend against AIK – and needs to do so quickly to help his team improve.
Värnamo are dismal away from home while Hammarby look set to continue dismantling weaker opponents. Home win likely, but odds are more favourable on goals markets.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.57 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Elfsborg v Häcken
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Sunday 31st July – 2:00PM KO
Another match where goals are expected, Häcken look to bounce back from a big game defeat while Elfsborg need to shape up to save some dignity this season.
The home side, fresh off getting handily beaten over two legs and knocked out by Molde in the UECL qualifiers, is on a slippery downhill trajectory. After a solid run of five matches without defeat, they have now lost four in a row in all competitions and are in danger of dropping out of the top half in Allsvenskan. Jimmy Thelin, often lauded for his work at the club over the past five seasons, is facing some disgruntlement and rightly so. His team has looked uninspired over the past month, both stale in attack and too open in transition. Important target man Per Frick injured his thigh last weekend in the 1-0 defeat at Kalmar and misses at least a couple of league games. Replacement Sveinn Aron Gudjohnsen (yes, one of Eidar’s sons) has rarely impressed since arriving last season, Frick will certainly be missed.
BK Häcken, meanwhile, suffered a bump in the road with their first defeat in 12 matches last game against fellow title contenders Djurgården. A deserved 2-1 loss in a match where Häcken were clearly second best, this presents a perfect opportunity to bounce back. They score plenty (33 in total) and their offensive prowess is backed up by underlying numbers, creating the highest xG in the league (31.7). Alexander Jeremejeff is a big part of this, netting 15 goals this campaign, 7 more than any other player.
The away team isn’t the best defensively without a clean sheet all season, however Elfsborg’s meagre attacking return recently means it might not matter too much. Surprisingly, Elfsborg are favourites – Häcken haven’t beaten them away since 2018 but that could change here. Should get at least a draw.
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Prediction: Häcken Double Chance, 1.67 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
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