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Cardiff v Swansea
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Kick Off: Saturday 18th January at 12:30
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Competition: EFL Championship
Another mouth-watering Championship derby awaits us on Saturday lunchtime, this time in South Wales as Cardiff City host Swansea City.
Cardiff won the last derby held at their home ground, but of the last 11 since they both found themselves in the Championship they have only emerged victorious on 2 occasions.
Swansea arrive at the Cardiff City Stadium on the back of 4-0 and 3-0 defeats from their last 2 away games. They have held the upper hand over Cardiff in recent years, so will be hoping to get themselves back on track.
⭐ Cardiff v Swansea Best Bet
This is 1 to check the team news for, as Peart-Harris hasn’t started the last 4 Swans league games, but he did start in the cup at Southampton and has started 4 of their last 5 away games. We have him in our predicted XI, but it is not a sure thing.
If he does start the game, he’s priced up wrongly in our view at 4/1. He has 6 cards so far this season, more than any other Swansea player, and added to that the highest cards per 90 figure of any player to pick up more than 1 card, at 0.41 per 90. He’s the longest price of any Swansea player and that cannot be correct.
He has played in any of the 3 positions behind the striker, but if he plays on the right he’ll be in the vicinity of Callum O’Dowda, Cardiff’s biggest card drawer with 7 this season.
👕 Cardiff v Swansea Predicted XI
🔍 Cardiff v Swansea Players to Watch
🔵 Dimitrios Goutas
With nothing jumping out at a shorter price, let’s take a stab at Greek centre-back Goutas to score anytime.
The starting point for this is the possible absence of Swansea centre back pairing Harry Darling and Ben Cabango, both reportedly touch and go for the game through injury. They were replaced by Kyle Naughton and Cyrus Christie in the FA Cup at the weekend, who are primarily full backs and not known for their aerial ability. Without those 2 in the side, the Swans are at a big disadvantage in terms of aerial ability. With Cardiff the joint 4th-highest shot-takers in the league from set pieces, there may be an opportunity to exploit.
Despite not having scored yet this season, we think Goutas could be the 1 to benefit. He’s taken 18 shots in the league, for an xG of 1.12. Last season he scored 4 goals, all headers from corners. He’s had 4 shots in his last 4, including 2 last time out.
📂 Cardiff v Swansea Cheat Sheet
Andy’s Bet Club is the best place for Football Betting Predictions. We’ve got this week’s EFL slate covered with EFL Bet Builder Tips.
💻 Cardiff v Swansea Form and Tactics
Omer Riza was handed the reins at Cardiff after the sacking of Erol Bulut, who he worked under as first-team coach. Riza picked up 14 points from a possible 21 in his first 7 games but has only picked up 9 points from a possible 39 since, with just 1 league win in that time.
His side are high volume shooters, with the 7th-highest shot tally per game in the league, and the 3rd-highest tally of shots from outside the box per game. They have been operating with a 4-2-3-1 formation of late, with Calum Chambers pushed into midfield.
Swansea under Luke Williams are heavily possession-based, with their average figure of 61.5% the second-highest in the Championship after leaders Leeds. Where they struggle is turning that approach into goals, with just the 14th-highest goals per game.
Swansea’s away record is identical to Cardiff’s home record in terms of result: W4 D2 L7, so we should be in for a tight game.
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🏁 Cardiff v Swansea Ref Watch
- Referee: James Bell
- He has refereed each of these sides once this season, booking 7 Cardiff players away at Coventry, and showing 0 cards in Swansea’s trip to Luton.
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.38 / 0.23 |
| Fouls Given | 22.77 |
| Penalties | 0.15 |
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
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* We recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
