Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.
Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.
Joao Palhinha has committed a foul in each of his last three Premier League appearances, and is generously priced to commit another foul here against a Man City side that drew 12 fouls from Tottenham in the initial head-to-head meeting - including one from Palhinha.
Palhinha's main assignment in the middle of the park for Tottenham is to break up play. He’s not that composed when he has the ball, but is one of the best in the world when it comes to winning it back. This has led to Palhinha committing 15 fouls across his 14 Premier League starts this term (1.04 per 90).
This record is healthy enough to convince me to back this selection, though it isn’t truly reflective of how aggressive Palhinha can be. He's committed a further seven fouls across his three starts in the Champions League (1.77 per 90) - which is a record that is more in line with Palhinha’s aggressive nature.
Palhinha’s direct opponent is likely to be Phil Foden, who has won 25 fouls across his 19 starts in the Premier League this season (1.37 per 90). I can see Foden causing Palhinha plenty of problems in this clash with his ability to win fouls, as well as his willingness to drive through central areas.
There is strong value with this selection when backing with bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.17 with other major bookmakers.