Watford v Luton

Watford and Luton Town are set to face off in a Championship match on Sunday, a fixture known as the M1 derby in some quarters.

In their most recent encounter, Luton Town secured a convincing 3-0 victory over Watford at Kenilworth Road, but they are winless in their last 11 league games. Watford picked up an impressive 1-0 win away at Middlesbrough last weekend.

⭐ Watford v Luton Best Bet

Bottom of the table Luton have picked up 23 of their 28 points at home. The mathematicians amongst you will have worked out therefore that The Hatters have only picked up 5 points from a possible 48 away from, with 1 win and 2 draws. 4 of those points came in their first 3 away games, which means it's just 1 point picked up in their last 13 away games. 

Watford’s home form over the course of the season is strong, but recently it has dipped, with 4 defeats on the bounce at Vicarage Road. 2 of those came against the current top 2, so no shame there, and the other 2 were Norwich and Preston who are solid mid-table sides. They have generally managed to dispatch sides in the bottom third of the table, beating Oxford, Portsmouth, Derby and Stoke... They should be too strong for Luton here.

👕 Watford v Luton Predicted XI

🔍 Watford v Luton Players to Watch

🟠 Imran Louza

Moroccan midfielder Louza has 5 yellow cards to his name this season. He commits 1.9 fouls per 90 on average, and that may increase here in a derby game.

Luton new boy Thelo Aasgaard, likely to be tasked with linking midfield and attack, has been fouled 7 times in 4 appearances so far, and looks the prime candidate for a Louza ‘reducer’. He looks a nice price to go in the book at 3.50.

⚪️ Mark McGuiness

Watford have the 2nd highest total of goals conceded from set pieces per game, and the 2nd highest xG against from set pieces in the Championship. Luton have scored the most set pieces goals per game, and are second for both xG from set pieces and shots taken from set pieces. 

Centre back McGuiness has 3 goals to his name this season, all from set pieces. He averages a shot per 90, so hopefully he will get a chance to score on Sunday.

📂 Watford v Luton Cheat Sheet

We’ve got this weekend’s footballing action covered with EFL Bet Builder Tips, bookmark our Football Betting Predictions so you never miss an expert tip. Be sure to check out our Bet Builder Stats tool too, the best freely available data source for punting on football.

We have a whole host of Sunday predictions in store. Look out for our Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Bet Builder Tips, First Half Goals Acca, Goals Algorithm Accumulator, and Man City v Liverpool Bet Builder Tips.

Meanwhile, we also have an Alexis Mac Allister Bet Builder, as well as our list of the best Man City v Liverpool Free Bet Offers. Keep up to date with all of Andy Robson’s Football Tips here.

💻 Watford v Luton Form and Tactics

Watford were walloped 0-4 by Leeds the last time they played at Vicarage Road, but there is not much shame in that given that the league leaders are comfortably the best side in the division.

Tom Cleverley seems to have decided on the 4-2-3-1 formation of late, and will have leading scorer Vakoun Bayo available after suspension. They like to retain possession with a precise style, building up down each flank.

Matt Bloomfield is yet to taste victory after swapping a League One promotion race with Wycombe for a relegation battle with Luton. After initially straying away, he has gone back to the 3-5-2 which has characterised Luton over the last couple of years.

Most of their threat comes from attacking set pieces, with centre back Mark McGuiness providing an aerial threat, as well as strikers Carlton Morris and Elijah Adebayo.

🏁 Watford v Luton Ref Watch

• Referee - Andrew Kitchen

📺 How to Watch Watford Luton in the Championship

📅 When is Watford v Luton? / Sunday, 23rd February 2025, 12:00
🏟 Where is Watford v Luton? / Vicarage Road (Watford)
📺 What TV Channel is Watford v Luton on? / Sky Sports +
🟨 …And who is the referee for Watford v Luton? / Andrew Kitchen 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Our guide on How to Use a Cheat Sheet will help you spot value in the data.

We recommend the Best Betting Sites for Accumulators, Top Bet Builder Sites, and the best Free Bet Offers and Weekly Free Bet Clubs, all to ensure you bet smarter when backing our tips with the Best UK Sports Betting Sites.

Expert guides, such as this one on xG in Football, are also available to help you up your punting game.

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.