Jarrod Bowen to be fouled 2 or more times against Leicester is priced at 2.5 with Betfair, presenting extreme value compared to Sky Bet’s significantly lower odds of 1.67, which suggests a 59.9% likelihood of the bet landing. The dynamic winger, recently utilised as a striker, remains a constant nuisance for defenders, averaging 1.51 fouls drawn per 90. However, his recent form is even more compelling - he has been fouled twice or more in each of his last 6 matches and in 10 of his last 12. With Lucas Paquetá injured, Bowen is expected to operate as a lone striker, but his versatility means he could also feature as a second striker or right winger. If deployed centrally, Leicester’s centre back pairings have committed 14 fouls in their last 6 games, indicating a strong tendency to foul strikers. If stationed on the right wing, Leicester’s left-sided defenders have committed 9 fouls in their last 5 matches. Bowen’s ability to draw fouls is evident even when not heavily involved in possession. Against Arsenal, he managed just 17 touches yet won 2 fouls; v Chelsea, he had 38 touches and was fouled 3 times. Given Bowen’s foul-drawing trends and Leicester’s defensive frailties, the probability of him being fouled at least twice appears significantly higher than Paddy Power’s implied 40%, aligning more closely with Sky Bet’s pricing. We also keep Super Sub onside if he is replaced at any point before hitting the 2+ line.