I picked this gem out for the initial league meeting between these sides back in December, and it landed just after half-time, with Fernandes taking on an effort from just outside the box.

I’m willing to take it again at this price given how impressive Mateus Fernandes has been for West Ham this season. Fernandes has played nearly every minute of the Premier League campaign for West Ham, taking 21 shots across his 26 starts in the Premier League.

This works out to an average of 0.85 shots per 90, with this tally seeing Fernandes score three goals in the Premier League. 16 of his 21 shots have come from outside of the box, so it may be worth looking into Fernandes to have an effort from distance here, which is available at 2.1.

Fernandes is willing to get forward, as displayed by his shot numbers for Southampton in the Premier League last season. Fernandes took 41 shots across his 34 starts in the Premier League (1.29 per 90), showing a consistency to his shot output which can help him get at least one shot on target in this clash.

There is strong value with this selection when backing with bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.44 with other major bookmakers, including Paddy Power and Betfair.