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West Ham v Man United
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Kick Off: Saturday 23rd December at 12:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
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An early Christmas treat for football fans on Saturday afternoon comes with West Ham taking on Manchester United at the London Stadium, where a win for either side will prove crucial in their quest for European places this season.
West Ham sit one place below the visitors by only a point, and after such a brilliant performance in their 3-0 win over Wolves last weekend, there’ll be plenty of confidence flowing through these boys. This fixture last season saw The Hammers take all three points in a fairly smash-and-grab performance having spent most the game behind the ball, but they’re a different side domestically this time around.
Manchester United will be keen to get back out onto the pitch to build on their impressive (and definitely unexpected) goalless draw away at Anfield last weekend, a result that keeps them above West Ham. Erik ten Hag’s boys showed great character and diligence in that outing and with another tough away fixture lining up again here, he’ll be hopeful they keep that spirit in a fixture which has proved fairly successful for them, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings in the Premier League with the Hammers.
West Ham v Man United Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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You can find West Ham v Man United match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
🥅 Goals stats: Ho-ho-goal
Both sides have shown defensive difficulties recently, the hosts having some slightly more long term concerns, which could add some spiciness to Saturday’s game.
Before their defensive heroics against Liverpool last week, Man Utd were without a clean sheet in their last 3 league games, conceding 5 along the way and they have shown more shakiness than recent scorelines may indicate.
The Red Devils have racked up an xGA of 31.46 this season and have conceded only 21 goals, giving them the fifth-highest xGA in the league and the defence with the largest xG overperformance. The club closest to that is Liverpool who have conceded 7 less goals than their xGA total would suggest.
A brilliant clean sheet last week against Liverpool for sure, but conceding 34 shots and allowing the Reds to generate 2.4 xG certainly indicates that they were fortunate. West Ham have shown they can be prolific in front of goal, scoring in 6 of their last 7 league games and have scored 9 more goals than Man Utd this season, so they’ll have to be tighter at the back this weekend.
It was surprising clean sheet for the Hammers, also last weekend, but it’s likely the fans will be haunted with more defensive concerns again this weekend. Prior to last weekend, West Ham had gone 9 league games without a clean sheet, giving them the fourth-worst defensive record in the top-flight, with only Sheffield United, Burnley and Luton conceding more.
West Ham’s xGA was basically identical to their goals conceded this season so at least they’ve been punished when it was deserved, unlike their Saturday opponents, but with their persistent struggles, its likely last week’s clean sheet was a slight anomaly.
We expect both teams to show defensive struggles and to be punished for it.
Predictions:
🥅 Both teams to score @ 1.50
🎯 Shooting stats: Bowen and Kudus to give out more presents this weekend
Mohammed Kudus has been on fire recently and is certainly bringing the entertainment for Hammers fans. The summer signing has 3 goals in his last 2 games and was a huge inspiration in their 3-0 win last weekend, he looks electric at the moment.
Manchester United side are conceding nearly 5 shots on target a game from 15 attempts on average, so there could be plenty of opportunities for Kudus to make an impact.
And you simply cannot look past Jarrod Bowen in any of the Hammers’ fixtures, with the England international having another season to remember. Bowen is tied-third in the Premier League top goalscorer charts with Son Heung-min and he’s a reliable bet in the shots markets.
Bowen is having 2.69 shots per 90 and averages 1.35 shots on target to the same measure, the best numbers in both categories in the West Ham squad. He has hit the target at least once in all but 2 Premier League fixtures so far this season and has had 10 efforts at goal over his last 4 league games with 7 hitting the target – he certainly has an eye for goal.
We expect the Hammers to come out fighting after a humiliating midweek result and Bowen and Kudus are their most potent goal threats.
Predictions:
🎯 Mohammad Kudus to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.73
🎯 Jarrod Bowen to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.40
🚀 Jarrod Bowen to have 2+ shots @ 1.33
⛳ Corners stats: Set pieces galore
Fixtures involving these two sides have recently seen high corner counts, with some of the highest averages in the Premier League.
Red Devils games have seen the highest average of corners in the league (13.06) with 82% of their games seeing at least 11 corners. West Ham are averaging 11.35 corners per match with 76% of their games having 9 corners or more.
West Ham are more often on the receiving end of these set pieces, as they’re conceding 6.63 corners per match in the league. This lines up perfectly with Man Utd’s tendencies for dominating corner taking as they average 6.71 corners taken per game. The Red Devils have taken the 3rd most corners this season, only narrowly behind Liverpool in second.
All of Man Utd’s games have seen at least 9 corners this season which gives solid value to the lower total corners lines, but with 88% having 10, there’s certainly value in a higher odds pick here.
Predictions:
⛳ Over 8.5 total corners @ 1.36
⛳ Over 9.5 total corners @ 1.65
⛳ Man Utd over 4.5 corners @ 1.80
🟨 Cards stats: A referee’s guide to festive fouls
Both teams have shown their teeth this year with the hosts accumulating the 7th most cards in the league (44) and Manchester Utd sit ninth for the most yellow cards (41), not too much to separate the two sides but both are finding their way into the book.
West Ham have accumulated the slightly higher card average per 90 than the visitors, 2.59 v 2.41.
The Hammers have received at least 2 cards in 7 of their last 8 league games and on 5 of those occasions have seen 3 or more. The Red Devils have picked up at least 2 bookings in four consecutive Premier League matches.
Both sides are getting consistently stuck in and fouling, West Ham commit 11.10 fouls per 90 compared to Man Utd’s 10.30, so expect plenty of fouls at the weekend and the cards should follow suit.
Predictions:
🟨 Over 1.5 West Ham cards @ 1.44
🟨 Over 1.5 Man United cards @ 1.44
🟨 Over 3.5 total cards @ 1.44
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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