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Wolves v Chelsea

After tough opening fixtures against Arsenal and Man City respectively, Wolves and Chelsea both come into Sunday’s match looking to get their first points on the board.

Wolves’ transfer window doesn’t inspire too much confidence but a realistic aim could be a top-half finish. Last season, it looked like that could be in reach before a dreadful turn of form saw them pick up just five points from their last ten games. They face a steep challenge at the start of this season having been handed an incredibly tough schedule early on, so they’ll be keen to pick up whatever they can.

The influx of new players was not enough to propel Chelsea into a top-four battle last season but Enzo Maresca will surely have his eyes set on Champions League qualification this year. That said, the Italian manager remains quite adamant that the board do not expect nor require it.

It seems the higher-ups have finally decided to back a manager for the long term, however, we’ve seen little to suggest ‘patience’  is a word Todd Boehly has previously encountered.

As expected, Chelsea go into this match as favourites but they’ll have to improve significantly on their away form of last season with just 41% of points coming away from Stanford Bridge. It’s tough to read too much into their opener given the strength of opposition but there definitely seemed significant room for improvement.

Make sure you’re all over Andy’s Bet Club for all of your football betting prediction needs. We have a constant stream of Premier League acca tips and Premier League betting tips, along with bet builder focused pieces like our foul predictions for you to sink your teeth into.

We also look far beyond the Premier League, with a range of expertly researched steers in all the most popular betting markets, such as our BTTS tips, card betting tips, and player shots on target tips.

We have plenty more exciting selections available for this fixture, including our Wolves v Chelsea bet builder tips.

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Wolves v Chelsea Best Bets

➡️ Mateus Cunha to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.53 with Paddy Power
➡️ Chelsea Goalkeeper to make 3+ saves @ 1.91 with Paddy Power
➡️ Marc Cucurella to be fouled 2+ times @ 2.5 with Paddy Power

There are some really nice betting angles in this Premier League clash and we’ve gone through them all, picking out some of the best selections across both player and team markets.

One selection that merits intrigue is Mateus Cunha to have 1+ shots on target at 1.53 with Paddy Power. The Brazillian forward averaged 1.53 shots on target per 90 last season and was devastating as he scored a hat-trick in his last match against Chelsea. Although Maresca’s men are expected to have a fair few chances, their forwards have been priced very short in this market and it’s unclear how they’ll set up following Joao Felix’s return. For these reasons, we think Cunha’s the safer bet.

You can also find the Chelsea goalkeeper to make 3+ saves at 1.91 with Paddy Power which seems pretty generous to us. As expected, this selection won in their opener against Man City but so too did it in both of Chelsea’s games against Wolves last season. On both occasions, The Blues were forced into making four saves. Their season average eventually amounted to 3.4, suggesting there’s definitely value here.

In the fouls market there are a few interesting picks; Marc Cucurella to be fouled 2+ times is 2.50 with Paddy Power, and looks a gift given that he drew three against City and averaged 1.77 last season. A more conservative approach would be to back him for just 1+ foul drawn at 1.30 with Paddy Power.

Finally, backing Cristopher Nkunku to commit 1+ foul could be sensible but it’s worth waiting to ensure he retains his starting spot given Joao Felix’s move back to London. The Frenchman sinned twice against Man City and at least once in each of his four preceding friendlies.

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📂 Wolves v Chelsea Cheat Sheet

There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.

You can find match stats for Wolves v Chelsea on our bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

We always aim to ensure our readers get the best value, through our recommendations for the best betting sites for accumulators and the top bet builder sites. Using these whilst taking advantage of our free bet offers and free Premier League bets, along with browsing our tips on the best UK sports betting sites and the best weekly free bet clubs will help you get the most out of your money.

Guides such as this one, on xg in football, are also recommended, helping you get to grips with the statistical side of the game, which will make you a better punter.

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📊 Wolves Form and Stats

It shouldn’t come as a huge surprise that Wolves struggled at the Emirates in their 2-0 loss, but there were definitely a few positive signs. They gave Arsenal a tough time early in the second half and drew two really good saves from Raya. Defensively they only conceded 1.26xG which against a side of Arsenal’s quality, is not bad at all.

Mattheus Cunha’s return was a huge boost, having suffered a hamstring injury in pre-season against West Ham. The Brazillian was not deemed fit enough to start but rather came on in the 57th minute, instantly looking sharper than all his compatriots. He could play a major role on Sunday.

His twelve league goals were more than any other Wolves player last season. He also did his bit for the team, contributing nine assists across the campaign so his return to the starting eleven is something to look forward to.

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📊 Chelsea Form and Stats

Although the scoreline wasn’t pretty, it’s fair to say it doesn’t tell the whole story and there were glimpses of promise from Enzo Maresca’s men. The underlying stats suggest Man City may have been fortunate, accumulating just 0.12xG more than Chelsea. Lavia in particular stood out, accumulating more recoveries, interceptions and xA than any of his teammates. As a whole, Chelsea’s pressing was pretty solid and it seems the foundations could be in place.

That said, they were without doubt the second-best team and it’d be tough to argue they merited much more than they got. Enzo Fernandez was nowhere to be seen as Maresca attempted to play him as a 10, while Caicedo looked a shell of his Brighton self.

Ironically, this £200 million midfield pairing was completely overrun by Kovacic, the man they tried to replace, which sums up much of their recruitment in recent years. Whichever way you look at it, there is clear room for improvement and given the excessive depth Chelsea possess, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a few personnel changes ahead of their clash with Wolves.

On a more positive note, having clocked just over half an hour against Man City, there’s a decent chance Pedro Neto may start against his ex-club Wolves on Sunday. The highly sought-after Portuguese winger had been there since 2019 before The Blues pledged just shy of £55 million for him.

It’s no wonder the 24-year-old caught their eye given his eleven goal contributions in only 1500 minutes last season, and while his talent isn’t up for debate, Neto’s challenge will be keeping fit given his extensive injury record.

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⚔️ Wolves v Chelsea Head-to-Head

The recent head-to-head form of these sides might come as a surprise to some. Wolves have reigned supreme in each of the last three clashes and have lost just one of the previous eight showings. 

Last season Wolves triumphed 2-1 in the home leg on Christmas Eve before completing the double in February with an emphatic 4-1 victory over the Blues. That said, it’s worth noting that in terms of chances created, both teams generated pretty similar xG figures in each clash, so Wolves were simply more clinical rather than dominant.

In recent times this has been a high-scoring clash with backers of over 2.5 goals being left pleased in four of the last five. This could be a sensible bet if you want to take into account the head-to-head form but are sceptical of Wolves’ chances of claiming victory.

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* We recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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