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Chelsea v Wolves
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Kick Off: Monday 20th January at 20:00
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Competition: Premier League
Chelsea will be looking to get back to winning ways after their 2-2 draw against Bournemouth last time out took their winless streak in the Premier League to 5 games. Enzo Maresca will be hoping for that extra clinical edge from his side which has cost them in recent weeks.
They take on a Wolves side struggling for form themselves, Vitor Pereira’s reign started brightly with positive results against Manchester United and Tottenham but recent heavy defeats to Newcastle and Nottingham Forest leave them just outside the relegation zone, level on points with Ipswich.
⭐ Chelsea v Wolves Best Bet
Wolves’ position in the table is mainly due to their defensive frailties, only Tottenham and Brentford have scored more goals than Wolves in the bottom half of the Premier League this season suggesting that their attacking play is actually quite solid and more reflective of a mid table position. They’re averaging 4.4 shots on target per game and have scored 17 goals across their 11 away fixtures this campaign.
Wolves have had 4+ shots on target in 4 out of their last 5 Premier League games, they covered this line comfortably in both recent defeats against Nottingham Forest and Newcastle with 13 shots on target across these 2 games.
Chelsea have been struggling defensively ever since the injury to Wesley Fofana, his pace gave Chelsea the opportunity to play a high line which helped them to contain the opposition in their own half. There is less confidence in this defensive line without Fofana which gives the opposition the ability to push Chelsea back and take advantage of a tentative backline.
Robert Sanchez is having to make 3.42 saves per 90 in the Premier League this season suggesting that there isn’t that much defensive cover for the Spaniard. Chelsea are conceding 4.33 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this campaign and conceded 4 shots on target in the initial meeting between the sides which ended 6-2 to the Blues.
👕 Chelsea v Wolves Predicted XI
🔍 Chelsea v Wolves Players to Watch
🔵 Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson is on a frustrating run of form at the moment with the Senegalese striker without a goal in his last 5 Premier League matches but there are signs that this run could be coming to an end.
Jackson has scored 9 goals across his 20 Premier League games this season from an xG of 10.8 which is a decent record considering he was a fair few goals below his xG last season. He was very unlucky not to score against Bournemouth last time out, he had 7 shots and hit the post from close range. He scored against Wolves in Chelsea’s comprehensive 6-2 win at Molineux earlier in the campaign and can once again take advantage of Wolves’ shocking defensive record which has seen them concede more goals than any other Premier League side.
🔵 Enzo Fernandez
Enzo Fernandez is looking really settled in this Chelsea side at the moment, Enzo Maresca has settled on Fernandez playing in a box-to-box role which sees him cover a lot of ground and involved in a lot of the action. He’s averaging 1.43 fouls committed per 90 and 1.43 fouls won per 90 across his 20 Premier League appearances this season, further evidencing his busy role.
He was fouled 4 times and committed 1 in Chelsea’s 2-2 draw against Bournemouth last time out and will be in for another battle here against a Wolves side who are averaging 12.8 fouls committed per game and 10.5 fouls won per game in the Premier League this season.
🟡 Jorgen Strand Larsen
Strand Larsen has impressed as Wolves’ striker this season. He’s had 33 shots (1.73 per 90) with 22 of these finding the target (1.15 per 90). This record suggests that Strand Larsen is pretty clinical when chances come his way with 66% of his total shots finding the target. This record has translated into 7 goals for the striker who is only 2nd to Matheus Cunha (10) for goals in the Wolves squad. Larsen scored in Wolves’ 6-2 defeat to Chelsea earlier in the season and can take advantage of a struggling Chelsea backline to find the target at least once in this encounter.
📂 Chelsea v Wolves Cheat Sheet
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💻 Chelsea v Wolves Form and Tactics
Chelsea’s approach under Enzo Maresca has become quite clear as the season has progressed. Chelsea’s aim is to control the game with 2 clear phases of build-up before finding the attacking players in pockets and overloading the opposition all over the pitch.
They’ll line up in a 4-2-3-1 on paper but this will take on a 3-2-4-1 shape when they have the ball with either one of the full backs or a member of the midfield pivot pushing up to support the attacking line.
Chelsea are winless in their last 5 Premier League games, worryingly for Enzo Maresca these fixtures have been against Bournemouth, Crystal Palace, Ipswich, Everton and Fulham so there is room for improvement as they welcome Wolves to Stamford Bridge. Chelsea have only won 4 of their 10 home games this season so there are likely to be some nerves around the stadium, especially if Chelsea start slowly.
Vitor Pereira has tended to use a 3-4-3 system in his games as Wolves manager so far. This will likely become more of a back 5 against Chelsea with the wing backs only pushing forward in moments of transition. Wolves like to use these wide areas in their attacking play, particularly on the left-hand side with Rayan Ait-Nouri who has registered 8 goal contributions this season.
Wolves have been inconsistent throughout the campaign but do have the ability to hurt sides with their attacking combinations. Expect Wolves to commit bodies forward when they can as they can’t rely on defensive solidity alone to take something from Stamford Bridge.
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🏁 Chelsea v Wolves Ref Watch
- Referee: Simon Hooper
- Hooper’s metrics are around average for Premier League referees this campaign but worth noting that both of these sides can have disciplinary issues. Wolves are averaging 12.8 fouls per game (2nd in PL) whilst Chelsea have collected 60 yellow cards this term (2nd in PL).
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.54 / 0.15 |
| Fouls Given | 21.08 |
| Penalties | 0.08 |
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