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Wolves v Newcastle
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Kick Off: Saturday 28th October at 17:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
This Saturday evening sees Newcastle take a trip to Molineux to face Wolves. Wolves come into the fixture in very good form. They haven’t lost a game since September 16th versus Liverpool. In that time, they have defeated Man City and Bournemouth, whilst being held to draws against Luton Town and Aston Villa.
Newcastle will be looking to get some more points on the board after a fairly mixed start to their domestic campaign. They haven’t lost in the Premier League since September 2nd when Brighton beat them 3-1 at The Amex. Since then the only defeat they have suffered in all competitions came against Borussia Dortmund.
The two sides have very different aspirations this season. Newcastle will be looking to find a way into the top four once again, whilst Wolves will be looking to get themselves back up to mid table and as far away from a relegation battle as possible.
Today we’ll be looking into the stats behind this game and giving you some picks that we believe to have the best value going into the game.
Wolves v Newcastle Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
For more detailed stats upon team announcements, head to the Wolves v Newcastle section of my Bet Builder stats tool for free on site.
Now, for my breakdown and preview with recommended bets…
🐺 Wolves stats: O’Neil has Wolves back on track
Last season was one to forget for Wolves supporters. They finished 13th, just seven points clear of the drop zone. They had two managers across the season, these being Bruno Lage and Julen Lopetegui. The latter was the manager at the end of the season but he departed the club to make room for Gary O’Neil who had been relieved of his duties at Bournemouth, despite keeping them in the Premier League against the odds.
O’Neil’s arrival has sparked change at Wolves. They’re back to being a side that look threatening. You could see it from the first game of the season. They were unlucky not to get at least a point away at Man United and they’ve since beaten Man City. They won’t be afraid of Newcastle in the slightest.
⚫ Newcastle stats: Howe has a big job to do
Eddie Howe’s Newcastle have been one of the best sides in the league since the beginning of last season. Getting top four was an immense achievement for his side, but it may hinder their Premier League ambitions slightly.
These games require a lot of energy and there are not many players in the Newcastle side that are used to playing Champions League football as well as Premier League matches week in and week out. The knock-on effect of defeats in that competition could also play a part. Heads can drop, confidence can be knocked and it remains to be seen how they’ll bounce back.
🎯 Wolves offensive stats: Neto the danger man
Wolves have had plenty of promising attackers throughout their time in the Premier League. Adama Traore, Raul Jimenez, and Diogo Jota all spring to mind. The latest players to take the mantle are Matheus Cunha, Pedro Neto, and Hwang Hee-Chan. The three have all been very dangerous so far this season.
Pedro Neto has been one of the most exciting dribblers to watch and has been a dribbling machine. The scenario we’ve seen all too often is Neto working down the flanks and finding Hwang in the box. Neto has provided six assists already whilst Hwang has scored five goals, meaning they both could play a pivotal role for Wolves Saturday night.
Prediction: Pedro Neto to assist anytime @ 4.33
Prediction: Hwang Hee-Chan to score anytime @ 4.50
🎯 Newcastle offensive stats: Gordon loves to shoot
Anthony Gordon has been excellent in a Newcastle shirt this season. He has had the joint-most shots for the Magpies with Isak and one more than Callum Wilson. Gordon may operate from the left flank but he will often come inside with or without the ball to find positions to shoot. He isn’t the type of winger to hug the touchlines.
He’s managed 17 shots in the league this season, eight of which have been on target which is very impressive. He’s also scored three, only strikers Wilson and Isak have more goals. With Isak a huge doubt to play this weekend after his injury against Dortmund, Gordon will need to step up even more.
Prediction: Anthony Gordon to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.53
🛑 Wolves defensive stats: Semedo the usual suspect
Nelson Semedo is an absolute menace when it comes to fouls, he’s committed 15 so far this season for an average of 1.90 per game. What makes him even more of a solid pick for this game is the winger who he’ll be facing. The man we were just discussing, Anthony Gordon. The way he plays sees him draw a lot of fouls for Newcastle on the left flank.
In the Premier League alone he has been fouled 19 times for an average of 2.79 per game. Gordon and Semedo are a match made in heaven for this fixture. One foul looks a little short on price, so two fouls or a card for the Portuguese left back could be a shrewd play.
Prediction: Nelson Semedo to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.73
Prediction: Nelson Semedo to be shown a card @ 3.60
🛑 Newcastle defensive stats: Look out for Brazilian duo
Newcastle are one of the most aggressive teams in the Premier League, especially in midfield. With the ten-month suspension for Sandro Tonali, it is likely that we see Bruno Guimaraes and Joelinton play in more defensive roles than box-to-box, with someone like Willock potentially playing one ahead of them.
Guimaraes and Joelinton are both in the top two for fouls conceded at Newcastle this season. Guimaraes averages 1.51 fouls per game with Joelinton averaging 2.44. The two are both great shouts for fouls. Guimaraes is a card away from suspension which is also something to keep in mind.
Prediction: Bruno Guimaraes to commit 1+ foul @ 1.20
Prediction: Bruno Guimaraes to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.0
Prediction: Joelinton to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.40
Prediction: Bruno Guimaraes to be shown a card @ 3.10
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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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