As underdogs for the upteenth time, Morocco are expected to let France control the game, which increases the chance of making fouls to disrupt their flow. The midfield with Antoine Griezmann leading the way, has been great so far and you would expect the ball to be at his feet whenever they can find him between lines. That’s where Sofyan Amrabat is lurking.

He has so far racked up seven yellow cards in Serie A this season, as a midfield anchor for Fiorentina. With Morocco he often has to protect the defense by himself and saw consecutive bookings against DR Congo and USA earlier this year. He also started off the World Cup with a yellow card against Croatia, but has since managed to contain himself.

But now that previous cards have been erased and he no longer have to worry about a potential suspension, we think the chances of an Amrabat booking increase. He will be put to his hardest test to date, is coming fresh off two incredibly draining knockout matches and is facing some of the greatest players in the world. Smells yellow from a mile off.

The fact that Kylian Mbappe was largely peripheral to France’s win over England should not come as a huge surprise. So much had been made of stopping the PSG man from the Three Lions’ camp, it was inevitable that he would be closely policed. This, though, is the type of match in which he will be expected to make a difference. He may not have the room to run in behind that he loves, but the wide forward has shown a capacity to manufacture shooting spaces for himself even against defensive opponents, which Morocco will surely be. Indeed, this is a match set up for individual talent to shine.

Mbappe should provide that. Prior to being kept quiet against England, he had nine shots on target in his previous 244 World Cup minutes – roughly one every 27 minutes. Expect more of the same here, making Mbappe to have at least one shot on target in each half at 3.00 an attractive price, too.

Hakimi is Morocco’s golden boy and a player they need to perform at his best if they are to see off France. With his excellent attacking qualities from right-back he is given the freedom to burst down the flank, much helped by the left-footed Ziyech who drifts inside. That way Hakimi often manages to receive the ball in behind or with a quick one-two and from there he will not hesitate to go straight on goal.

Few defenders are able to keep up with Hakimi once he’s off and both for Morocco and PSG he likes to test the goalkeeper 1v1 from a tight angle when he’s played through on the wing. For club and country he averages almost a shot per game and more importantly, for the Atlas Lions he also gets to take free-kicks, as we’ve seen on several occasions in this World Cup. Considering the way France pushes their full-backs high and Mbappé unwilling to track back, you can easily see the chances of Hakimi getting the ball in behind when Morocco wins the ball.