Joe Edwards is averaging 1.71 fouls per 90 across Plymouth’s last 30 matches, this rises to 2 per 90 when just looking at 2024/25.

Edwards has played the full 90 minutes in five of Plymouth six Championship matches, and fouled in four of the five fixtures, emphasising his importance and tendency to commit infringements.

He will likely have to defend against the delivery of Alfie Doughty so will be keen to get in challenges before Doughty reaches a danger zone for crossing.

Morgan Whittaker is Plymouth’s key attacking outlet, he is averaging four shots per 90 this season.

He has had six shots in two of the Championship matches so far and is averaging 1.6 shots on target per 90 this season.

Whittaker has also hit at least one shot on target in each of his last five Championship matches, with nine shots on target in five matches in total. He’ll be the man that his teammates are looking for in the final third, and it’s be a surprise to see him fail to test the Luton goalkeeper at least once.

Alfie Doughty averages 1.19 fouls per 90 over Luton’s last 30 matches, with 1.64 fouls per 90 in 2024/25.

In addition, five out of his six Championship matches this term have seen him commit a foul. Doughy will be playing left wing back, which is usually a high foul position due to the 1v1 nature of the role.

It’s his duty to get high up the pitch and attack, which will like see him scrambling back to prevent counterattacks on occasion.

Plymouth have seen two out of three home matches go over this mark  and Luton have had two out of three away matches exceed this line so far this term.

Luton have averaged seven corners away from home in the Championship so far this season, while Plymouth average 6.33 corners at home, so the combined averages push expectations for corners for this match should go into double figures.

This is a big price for a player who has committed at least one foul in five of his six Championship games so far this season, Chong is averaging 0.88 fouls per 90 in 2024/25 to date.

He has started every game for Luton this season, and has played at least 75 minutes in all but one match, so he should be granted plenty of time to commit at least one infringement here.

Plymouth are bottom of the Championship for xG against, conceding over 2 xG per match so far this season.

Meanwhile, Luton are in the top half for xGF and in the top six for xGA at this stage of the season – positive signs so far.

Luton have had an upturn in form with two victories in their last two league matches and, in general, have a much stronger squad. The visitors possess more firepower up top and they should see off Plymouth here.

Whittaker is a key forward for Plymouth, but has contributed fouls on a regular basis. He is averaging 1.08 fouls per 90 over Plymouth’s last 30 matches – a high number for an attacker.

His rate has increased further under Wayne Rooney, now averaging 1.28 per 90 in 2024/25.

He has been ever present in the league under Rooney, and committed at least one foul in five of the six league matches so far, which makes this selection look great value.

Jordan Clark has managed at least one shot on target in each of his last four Championship matches and is averaging 1.25 shots per 90 so far this season.

He will be given plenty of license licence to get forward with Liam Walsh and Tahith Chong in midfield, as well as the back three behind him. He looks a strong pick to fire an effort on goal here.