💎 Gem Bet: Porro 1+ foul won
Denmark v Spain
This price looks very generous from Paddy Power.
Pedro Porro has generally been kept out of the Spanish first team by the continued excellence of Real Madrid’s Dani Carvajal, but the unfortunate injury that Carvajal has suffered should mean that the door is open for the Tottenham right-back to make a claim to be the near future of this position for the first set of World Cup qualifiers at least.
The lack of data in a Spain shirt may have confused the model or traders at Paddy Power, but they are a much bigger price than their rivals at Sky Bet, who make this a 1.36 chance. Certainly, the small sample size that Porro has accrued for Spain would suggest that he is more likely to be fouled than not.
Porro has made three starts and been fouled six times for Spain this year. These have been divided between two matches out of the three, fouled three times against Colombia in a March friendly, and then three times again against Serbia in the last Nations League match.
The fouls against average for Porro for Spain is currently 1.71 fouls against per 90, which, for an almost even money price, is a good number.
From a Danish perspective, the players that have been playing on the left do have fouling records. Patrick Dorgu is favourite to play at left wing-back, in direct opposition to Porro, and he committed two fouls last time out, and Victor Kristiansen had committed three fouls in the match previous, so it is a consistent area of fouling for Denmark.
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