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Bournemouth v Liverpool
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Kick Off: Saturday 1st February at 15:00
🏆
Competition: Premier League
High-flying Bournemouth welcome title challengers Liverpool in a face off between two of the most in-form sides in the Premier League. Bournemouth are unbeaten across their last 12 games in all competitions, while Liverpool sit 6 points clear at the summit of the Premier League with a game in hand against chasers Arsenal.
Arne Slot’s side are unbeaten across their last 18 Premier League games, a run that stretches all the way back to September. They comfortably ran out 3-0 winners in the meeting between these sides at Anfield earlier in the campaign.
⭐ Bournemouth v Liverpool Best Bet
Justin Kluivert has been Bournemouth’s standout player on this remarkable run of form of late. He’s registered 15 goal contributions across his 22 Premier League appearances this season whilst averaging 1.49 shots on target per 90.
He’s found the back of the net at least once in each of his last 3 Premier League appearances and is on penalties for Bournemouth, aiding his chances of finding the target at least once in this one. Bournemouth are averaging 6.0 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season – a record only bettered by Man City, Chelsea and Liverpool.
Kluivert had 3 shots with 1 finding the target in just 45 minutes of football against Liverpool in the initial meeting between the sides at Anfield earlier in the season. Kluivert has also had at least 1 shot on target in 4 of his last 5 games in the Premier League, making this price seem generous.
🟢 Bournemouth v Liverpool #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Liverpool have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 games, whilst Bournemouth have seen it in 3 of their last 5. Both sides enter this game in great form and have found goalscoring form along these brilliant stretches of form. Liverpool have only failed to score in 1 Premier League games this season and Bournemouth put up a valiant display at Anfield, drawing 6 saves from Kelleher and generating an xG of 1.08.
Bournemouth are averaging 6.26 corners per game in the Premier League this season, they see a small rise in the corner count at home with this total rising to 6.45 corners per game. Liverpool are averaging 7.26 corners per game across their 11 away games in the Premier League this season.
Bournemouth have been shown 59 yellow cards in the Premier League this season (2.56 per game), only Southampton and Chelsea have collected more cautions than the Cherries this campaign, a record informed by their high foul rate this season (13.4 per game).
Liverpool are averaging 1.95 cards per game in the Premier League, but should see a rise in this metric here against an aggressive Bournemouth side that has drawn at least 1 card from their opponents in each of their last 5 Premier League games. 10/1 represents good value here.
👕 Bournemouth v Liverpool Predicted XI
🔍 Bournemouth v Liverpool Players to Watch
⚫ Antoine Semenyo
Semenyo has committed 43 fouls across his 22 Premier League appearances this season (2.0 per 90). This record isn’t necessarily a result of individual clumsiness, but rather an approach embedded into Bournemouth by Andoni Iraola, which sees them press the opposition almost into suffocation, especially at home.
This approach has resulted in Bournemouth committing more fouls per game than any other side in the Premier League (13.4 per game).The Cherries committed 12 fouls in the initial meeting between these sides at Anfield earlier in the campaign.
Semenyo has committed at least 1 foul in each of his last 5 Premier League starts, as you can imagine there isn’t much value in backing him for a single foul with these numbers, but the price is slightly more appealing for Semenyo to haul down a Liverpool player in the first half.
🔴 Mohamed Salah
Salah’s record speaks for itself this season, the 32-year-old has registered 32 goal contributions across his 22 appearances in the Premier League this season – topping the Premier League charts for both goals and assists.
He’s scored in each of his last 2 appearances against Lille and Ipswich and provided an assist in the initial meeting between these sides which Liverpool won 3-0. Salah has had a hand in 59% of Liverpool’s goals in the Premier League this season, further underlining how crucial he is to Arne Slot’s side.
🔴 Alisson
Bournemouth are averaging 6.0 shots on target per game across their 23 Premier League fixtures this season, only Chelsea, Man City and their opponents here in Liverpool boast a better record in the division.
Bournemouth drew 6 saves from Kelleher in their 3-0 defeat to Liverpool at Anfield, a scoreline that is quite harsh when looking through the underlying numbers, including how often Bournemouth managed to unsettle one of the most consistent defences in the Premier League this season. Bournemouth have drawn 3+ saves from the opposition goalkeeper in 17 of their 23 Premier League matches this season (74%).
📂 Bournemouth v Liverpool Cheat Sheet
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💻 Bournemouth v Liverpool Form and Tactics
Bournemouth’s playing style revolves around an intense press, mainly orchestrated by the front 4 players, but the 2 midfielders sitting behind also have a crucial role to play. These factors inform Bournemouth’s high foul record per game and also allow them to sustain a high shot volume.
Andoni Iraola doesn’t want his side passing the ball passively, especially when near the goal, every pass should have an intention in ending in a shot on goal or a chance created. It’s worth noting that the only team to dismantle this relentless press was Liverpool in the initial meeting between these sides at Anfield. They may find this task more difficult in this game with Bournemouth’s style being particularly effective at home with a tighter pitch.
Arne Slot’s side are far and away the most dangerous attacking force in the Premier League, they’ve scored more goals than anyone else in the division and have only lost 1 game all season. Liverpool also top attacking metrics such as shots on target per game (6.9) and xG (52.2) further evidencing how hard it is to stop Liverpool with such a wealth of attacking talent.
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Liverpool aren’t the same high-tempo team they were under Klopp, Slot emphasises control over anything else. Bournemouth will attempt to make this game as chaotic as possible to suit their style of play but expect Liverpool to go with the approach that worked so effectively in the initial meeting in setting traps for the Bournemouth press before hitting them directly with the attacking players to cause real damage.
A result is hard to call in this one, both sides are on imperious unbeaten runs in the Premier League but Liverpool’s away record really stands out. Arne Slot’s side are yet to lose a game on the road this season, winning 8 of their 11 assignments in what has been a masterclass in efficiency. Bournemouth have only lost 2 of their games at the Vitality Stadium this season, but this is a really tough task, even with their current run of form.
It’s also worth noting that Bournemouth are still without 8 first team players due to injury, this hasn’t affected them yet but with their playing style it’s bound to become an issue at some point, especially in the latter stages of the game where Liverpool can still call on attacking quality from the bench as they did against Brentford recently.
🏁 Bournemouth v Liverpool Ref Watch
- Referee: Darren England
- Bournemouth currently sit in the top 3 in the Premier League for both fouls committed per game (13.4) and yellow cards (59).
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 3.90 / 0.20 |
| Fouls Given | 23.60 |
| Penalties | 0.10 |
📺 How to Watch Bournemouth v Liverpool in the Premier League
📅 When is Bournemouth v Liverpool? / Saturday, 1 February 2025, 15:00
🏟 Where is Bournemouth v Liverpool? / Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)
🟨 …And who is the referee for Bournemouth v Liverpool / Darren England 🏴
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