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Andy Robson

Andy's Angle: Manchester City v Brentford 🧐 @ 2.10

Kevin Schade has gone under the radar for Brentford in the Premier League this season due to the brilliance of Igor Thiago, but he’s been an active contributor in Brentford’s success this season - registering 10 goal contributions across his 30 starts in the Premier League this season.

His record makes his price for a shot on target appealing (2.00), but I’m actually focusing on him to win a few fouls here. Schade was fouled four times when these sides last met in the EFL Cup, and also drew two fouls when Brentford welcomed Manchester City in the Premier League earlier on in the campaign. 

He accounted for half of the total fouls that Manchester City committed in their EFL Cup triumph over Brentford, and a third of the fouls that City committed at the Gtech Community Stadium. Schade also notably drew yellow cards from his direct opponents in both games, Khusanov and Nunes - so it’s clear that Schade can pose a threat to City in transition here with his speed and direct nature.

Schade has been fouled in four of his last five Premier League matches, drawing 4+ fouls in one of these games. He’s averaging 1.48 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season, but we’ve already seen how these numbers can rise when Schade lines up against a side that will give him space to run in behind. 

It’s also worth keeping an eye on Nunes and Khusanov for fouls or cards here when they have to haul down the speedy winger, but the selection i’m focusing on is Schade to win 2+ fouls, which is available at 2.10. 

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Football
Andy Robson

Andy's Sunday Euro Accumulator 🇪🇺 @ 3.70

There are two games of the Eredivisie season remaining, and Feyenoord are looking to cling onto their Champions League qualifying spot, with both Ajax and Nijmegen in close pursuit of Robin van Persie’s side.

Feyenoord have seen 3+ goals in each of their last two games, winning both of these matches, and have seen 60 goals across their 16 home games this season (3.75 per game). The initial league meeting between the sides produced six goals as the sides played out a 3-3 draw, and Alkmaar have something to fight for here too with a potential Champions League spot available.

Alkmaar have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their 16 away games in the Eredivisie have produced 42 goals (2.62 per game), and their most recent away trip to Feyenoord produced five goals as the home side came away 3-2 winners in that clash

The last nine head to head meetings between these sides in a competitive setting have produced 44 goals, just shy of five goals per game. The most recent meeting between the sides produced five goals as Barcelona came away 3-2 winners over Real Madrid in the Super Cup, marking the 13th consecutive meeting between the sides that has seen at least three goals. 

Barcelona have won each of their last five matches in LaLiga as they march towards the title, seeing 3+ goals in three of these games. They most recently came away 2-1 winners over Osasuna on the road to set up this clash as one where they can win the title with three games of the season still remaining.

Real Madrid are a bit of a mess at the moment if recent reports of training ground scuffles are to be believed, it’s not totally surprising that the club has fallen apart this season given the changes in the dugout and repeated claims of player power poisoning the squad. They do however, have the firepower to hurt Barcelona having netted 31 goals across their 17 away matches this season (1.82 per game).

Como ran out 3-1 winners over Hellas Verona when these sides met earlier in the season, and Cesc Fabregas’ side now make the trip to face the side with the worst home record in Serie A this season.

Hellas Verona have only managed to win one of their 17 home matches in Serie A this season, losing 11 of these games and conceding 25 goals in the process. What stands out the most to me is the fact that they’ve only scored 12 goals across these matches, which is a record that is unlikely to trouble a Como side who have kept 17 clean sheets in Serie A this term - the joint best record of any side in the division.

Only Napoli and the two Milan sides have picked up more points on the road than Como in Serie A this season (29). They’ve avoided defeat in 13 of their 17 away matches this term, and should have enough to get past a Hellas Verona side who have already been relegated from the Italian top flight.

There are only two games remaining of the Ligue 1 season, and both of these sides are locked in a battle for a spot in Europe next season. Lille have the slight advantage at the moment, sitting four points clear of Monaco, but the home side could close that gap to just one with three points here - and have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches in Ligue 1.

It’s actually quite impressive that Monaco find themselves in contention for a European spot in Ligue 1 as they’ve only managed to keep seven clean sheets all season. Only three sides have kept fewer shutouts than Monaco this term, and all three of those sides are battling towards the bottom of the table. Monaco have seen 49 goals across their 16 home matches this term (3.06 per game), promising another end to end affair here.

Lille boast the second strongest away record in Ligue 1 this season, only PSG (32) have picked up more points on the road than Lille (29) in the French top flight. They saw BTTS last time out as they were held by Le Havre, which could prove to be two crucial dropped points in the battle for a spot in the Champions League, or the Europa League, next season.

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