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Football

Birmingham v Middlesbrough Bet Builder @ 4.68

I think that the place to start with this bet is to address the fact that this is a huge match for both teams. For either team to drop points here could be devastating to their long-term goal of promotion. High-tension matches can sometimes produce more cards than those with little riding on them.

But there is also enough from the data for both teams, and the referee, to make this line of cards quite gettable.

Starting with the referee, Thomas Kirk. He is averaging over four yellow cards per match across his 16 Championship assignments this season so far, and in his 27 second-tier matches in his career, he is at 4.3 yellow cards given per match.

Birmingham home matches average 4.39 yellow cards in the league, with their opponents averaging well over two cards received.

Middlesbrough away matches average 4.35 yellow cards in the league, and again, they seem to encourage their opponents to get booked, with around 2.5 cards given to their hosts when they visit.

I am simultaneously surprised and pleased that we can get the over 8.5 corner line into the bet builder here.

Birmingham have gone corner crazy in their home matches recently. They won 11 against West Brom alone and 10 against Leicester, which obviously covers this line easily without any contribution from the visitors. They now average over seven corners won at home, and when combining visitor corners, the total average is just over 11.5.

Middlesbrough are also big corner winners. Even away from home, the Teessiders are averaging six corners per match.

Taking the averages across both teams would make 13 corners. We know that football matches don't work that way, of course, but there is a good chance that we will get over the 8.5 line.

The Australian is often trusted by Middlesbrough managers in the big games because of the tactical flexibility and reliability that he offers.

We are interested in his shooting ability, and there is reason to believe that he is being underrated by the layers here in this case.

McGree’s last two starts have seen him hit five shots, last time out against Leicester, and four shots, at league leaders Coventry. Even in between those matches, McGree managed two shots in a 30 minutes sub appearance against Oxford.

He is averaging 2.84 shots per 90. Six of his last seven starts have seen him beat this line.

This is priced up much higher than I think it should be.

Putting aside that Targett will be lining up at left-back, and we know that full-back is one of the most common positions for high foul counts, Targett’s own data and then the fouls drawn of his likely opponent make this a must bet within our bet builder.

Targett has been used in central defence for a good percentage of the campaign, and this has suppressed his foul numbers. This could be having some influence on the misprice because his last eight matches have seen him play LB, and he has committed 12 fouls in this period.

He committed four fouls against Leicester last time out and has committed at least one foul in six of the last eight matches at LB.

There is also the likelihood that he will face Patrick Roberts of Birmingham. Roberts is a regular foul drawer, 1.73 per 90 on average, and he has been fouled at least once in each of his last five starts. He is priced at 1.22 to be fouled in the match.

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Andy’s Bet Club - Free Expert Sports Betting Tips 2025

Andy’s Bet Club is a valuable sports betting tool, designed to help you make smarter and safer betting decisions ahead of the 25/26 sporting calendar.

Founded in 2019 by Andy Robson, the UK’s most popular football tipster, the website started as a way for his social media followers to access his goals betting algorithm automatically, as well as his expert football betting tips

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Andy’s Bet Club Betting Tips

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The types of football betting tips you can expect from Andy are, Premier League acca tips, EFL acca tips, SPFL acca tips, shots/shots on target tips and player fouls predictions as well as a focus on cup competition such as FA cup acca tips & predictions and other Weekend Football Acca Tips.

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Get daily horse racing tips and best bets from Dave, our horse racing tipster, including horse racing each-way tips posted each day via our Hit Rates tool.

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Darts Betting Tips & Predictions

We’ve got plenty of Darts Betting Tips in store for 2025. The next major competitions including World Darts Grand Prix 2025 Tips, Grand Slam of Darts 2025 Tips, 2025 World Matchplay Tips and the PDC World Darts Championships 205/26 Tips will all be free and live from our experts.

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Andy’s Bet Club posts a weekly NFL accumulator tips each Sunday, as well as our weekly Touchdown Treble. Punters can also pick a bet from the NFL Stats tool, a brand new product on ABc.

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Find the latest and best free bets UK from UK-regulated and best UK bookmakers 2025. We also have our list of best new bookmakers for 2026 too.

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While there are a range of free bets to be claimed it's also important to gain real insight from real bettors, which is why over 2,500 Andy Robson followers have voted on the best betting sites for bet builders, the best betting sites for accumulators, the best betting sites for free bets, the best betting sites for odds and the best betting sites for horse racing in the UK.

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Those looking for weekly offers can browse our Premier League Free Bets, Champions League Free Bets and FA Cup Free Bets.

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Andy’s Bet Club Betting Tools & Products

Andy’s Bet Club is an innovative platform, filled with betting tools and products to help you make more informed and smarter betting decisions.

Bet Builder Stats Football Betting Tips

This tool provides you with the stats and data you need to make informed decisions for your Bet Builder.

With official Opta data, you can access team, match, and player statistics for clubs in the Premier League, Champions League, Europa League, English Championship, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, and Ligue 1. If you’re unsure how to read the stats our cheat sheet guide to understand how to use Andy's Football Cheat Sheets.

If your betting style is stats-led we’ve also created an xG football betting guide to help you understand the underlying stats behind our bets. You can also review our other stats and analysis content such as What is PPDA (passes per defensive action)? And our guide to betting on corners.

If you want to brush up on your player prop markets such as player fouls betting & stats or shots vs shots on target betting strategy then make sure to view our selection of betting guides.

Acca Stats

Acca Stats is a data-driven Accumulator Tips & Stats tool to help users pick their football bets.

Acca Stats is a new free tool on Andy’s Bet Club, built for football accumulator fans.

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Racing Ratings Horse Racing Tips

Discover Racing Ratings, one of our most popular features.

It’s an algorithm created by a professional horse racing gambler, providing unique ratings for every horse (-33 to +33).

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Bet Pack Football Betting Tips

This was the original feature on Andy’s Bet Club.

It’s Andy’s football algorithm covering match results, over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score.

The algorithm calculates probabilities and displays them alongside live odds from Paddy Power and Betfair

It covers over 750 football leagues worldwide, with filter options by date, market, competition, and minimum odds or probability.

Hit Rates Horse Racing Each-Way Tips

Hit Rates is our newest betting tool that shows the % of times a horse has won or placed in the top 3,4,5 or 6. The data covers all UK and Irish racing, everyday.

There are various filters for ground conditions and distance too.

Each morning our racing expert posts his horse racing each-way tips courtesy of Hit Rates.

Who is Andy Robson?

Andy Robson is the UK’s leading football tipster. He has a massive following of over 900,000 people on social media and thousands of monthly website users here at Andy’s Bet Club.

Andy began his journey on Twitter in February 2015 (now X) and quickly gained a large following due to his commitment to delivering high-quality betting insights and research, all for free and in a responsible gambling manner.

Follow Andy on X and Instagram, and visit his author page on Andy’s Bet Club to learn more. You can also keep up with Andy Robson’s acca tips here on ABC.