Albania have had a good Nations League campaign so far, winning three of their four games and sitting top of the group with nine points.

They’ve won the first half in three of those four games and opened the scoring in every match.

Albania were also ahead at half time in both home games, against Belarus and San Marino, and are averaging 18.5 shots per game.

Finland have been pretty solid defensively, but both goals they’ve conceded in this campaign came in the first half.

They failed to score in either game against Belarus, drawing one and losing the other.

Finland won their meeting with Albania 2-1 in October, although Albania had taken the lead after just four minutes before going down to 10 men in the 22nd minute.

Even with a man down, Albania still finished the game with more shots, more shots on target and a higher xG.

Turkey have lost all four of their Nations League games, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game.

Despite those poor results, they’ve still been creating some good chances, averaging 1.42 xG.

In their meeting with Belgium in October, for example, Turkey lost 3-0 but still managed 23 shots, with eight on target.

The two teams had 40 shots between them, including 18 on target.

There have been at least three goals in four of Belgium’s last five competitive away games, with Belgium averaging 2.6 goals per game during that run.

Kevin De Bruyne, who scored twice against Turkey, and Romelu Lukaku are still among their attacking options, with Jermey Doku now back in the squad too.

Turkey, meanwhile, will have Hakan Çalhanoğlu available again, along with Arda Güler, who’s averaging two shots on target per game.

Performances suggest that there could be a much bigger gap between these two sides in the group than two points.

Finland won the reverse fixture 2-1, but Albania had a man sent off after 22 minutes when they were 1-0 up.

Even in the second half at 11 v 10, Albania had more shots and generated over double Finland’s xG.

The Finnish were massively unconvincing in their last away trip, losing 1-0 to Belarus, conceding in the 1st minute and losing the xG battle 1.02-0.65 even though they had 74% of the ball.

Albania have won every game aside from that defeat in Finland and should make their player quality advantage count on their home patch.

Turkey have not yet recovered from their bitterly disappointing World Cup campaign, and have been brushed aside with ease in their Nations League A group with France, Italy and Belgium.

They have conceded 11 goals in four games, 2.75 per game, Belgium covered this bet in the reverse fixture, winning 3-0, while unconvincing Italy beat them 4-1 (in Turkey) and 3-1.

Belgium have covered this bet in both of their Nations League games that didn't come against France, winning 2-0 impressively in Italy - generating 2.76 xG in that outing.

They also showed some serious firepower at the World Cup, scoring five v New Zealand, three v Senegal and four v USA before going out 2-1 to eventual winners Spain - they were the only side to score against Spain in the tournament.

Belgium could be worth backing on the nose at just under evens, but I'm more comfortable siding with their attacking contingent to find the net twice or more against a Turkey side with little to play for and a vulnerable backline.

Belgium need to win to enhance their chances of progression, one point behind 2nd-placed Italy with two to play.

England won the reverse fixture 7-0 and generated 6.43 xG.

They’ve beaten Croatia in four consecutive meetings now, and need a win to ensure progression - they won't want any jeopardy over their place in the quarter-finals when they head to Spain on Sunday.

Even outside of the thrashing at home to England, Croatia have conceded in every game and have lost three in a row since a narrow 2-1 win in Czechia.

The relationship between Anthony Gordon and the reliable duo of Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham blossomed in the last international break, giving England an extra string to their bow.

England have won six of their last seven competitive home games, with the only defeat in that run coming against world champions Spain.

San Marino have lost all four of their Nations League games, conceding 16 goals, an average of four per match and the worst defensive record in League C.

All four games have had at least three goals, including a 7-0 home defeat to Finland and a 3-0 loss to Albania.

Those two sides had 37 shots between them, with 19 on target.

Belarus beat San Marino 4-0 in October, managing 15 shots, with five on target.

Artem Kontsevoy scored twice in that game, while Kirill Pechenin set up three of the goals, and both are available again on Thursday.

Belarus have picked up seven points from their last three games, leaving them just two points behind group leaders Albania.

San Marino are facing an average of 19.5 shots per game and have conceded at least twice in every match, so Belarus should get plenty of chances again.