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Gem Bet: Arsenal v Brighton

Gem Bet: Arsenal v Brighton

Tuesday 28 October, 20251 min read
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Harry Nye

Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.

💎 Gem Bet: Yasin Ayari - Over 0.5 Shots @ 1.80 (bet365)

bet365 - 1.80
SkyBet - 1.33
Paddy Power - 1.29
Betfair - 1.29

This selection is easily best price with bet365, so in order to access it at these odds, you'll need an account.

Sign up using the link below. You can back this Gem Bet with £10, and not only will you get access to the odds, but also £30 in free bets regardless if it wins or loses

For new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #AD


  • Arsenal v Brighton
  • EFL Cup
  • 19:45
1 Selections @ 1.80

Yasin Ayari - Over 0.5 Shots

Alejandro Catena’s foul selection on Sunday comfortably landed, finishing with two to seal the illustrious 10-Gem streak. The aim now is to carry that momentum into midweek EFL Cup action, where Brighton travel to the Emirates.

Yasin Ayari is generously priced at 1.8 for a single shot, with some bookies as short as 1.29. The price disparity alone highlights the potential for value here, yet when you consider his current output, it only becomes more apparent.

Even when deployed in a slightly deeper role, Ayari continues to show attacking intent. His willingness to drive forward and occupy advanced positions has been a consistent feature of his game this season, averaging 2.1 shots per 90 with recent match returns of 2, 2, 1, 1, 2 (as sub), and 5.

Admittedly, Arsenal have restricted opponents well on home soil, conceding just 6.43 shots per game at the Emirates. However, there is reason to believe Brighton will still pose an attacking threat. They remain one of the most expressive sides in the league, coming into this tie off the back of consecutive 6–0 victories and averaging 14.29 shots per game on the road in all competitions.

Even if Arsenal limit clear openings, Ayari’s ability to shoot from distance keeps this selection firmly in play. Exactly 80% of his league attempts have come from outside the box, proving he does not depend on close-range chances to test the goalkeeper.

He also registered at least one shot in both meetings with Arsenal last season, and given his confidence and Brighton’s attacking style, I’m backing him to repeat that here, and hopefully take the Gem streak to 11.

bet365
A £10 bet on this Gem Bet returns £18 if it wins.
Load bet @ 1.80
18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

For new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #AD


I'm looking to carry on an amazing gem bet streak, unbeaten in 15 with 10 winners and five voids - the winners are below.

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18+ please gamble responsibly.