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Barcelona v PSG 2/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Barcelona v PSG 2/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Tuesday 30 September, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

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One of the most exciting games of the league phase sees the reigning champions of Europe travel to one of the favourites for the competition this time around.

Barcelona will see this as a real opportunity to put down an early marker in the competition, with the Parisians facing an injury crisis in the final third at the moment.

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Barcelona v PSG Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Barcelona v PSG
  • Champions League
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 2.79

Achraf Hakimi to be Fouled 1+ Times

Hakimi is one of the best full backs in Europe and regularly flies forward, making him an appealing option to back to win fouls. He’s won four fouls across his four starts in Ligue 1 this season (0.81 per 90), and his record in the Champions League last term is particularly notable.

Hakimi won 23 fouls across his 17 appearances in the Champions League last season (1.34 per 90). This record, paired with the nine goal contributions he managed in the competition, shows how strong Hakimi is when it comes to getting forward and impacting the game, whether that be through winning fouls or registering goal contributions.

The Moroccan will be faced up by Marcus Rashford and Gerard Martin down his side of the pitch. Both players committed a foul on Matchday 1 of the league phase, where they were up against Anthony Elanga and Kieran Trippier. Barcelona ended up committing 12 fouls in that game, so they do have an aggressive side to them.

Lamine Yamal to have 1+ Shots on Target

Yamal has been battling with an injury in recent weeks which caused him to miss the opening game of the Champions League campaign against Newcastle. He came off the bench in Barcelona’s 2-1 win over Real Sociedad last time out and registered an assist in his 32-minute cameo, showing the effectiveness of the 18-year-old.

He should be fit enough to start here and will relish the opportunity of taking on a PSG side which could be missing as many as six key players, mainly from the midfield and attacking setup which are the strongest elements of Luis Enrique’s side.

Yamal has spoken multiple times in interviews about wanting to shoot more often and score more goals. It’s probably the only real criticism that can be levelled at Yamal, that his level of talent should result in more goals - he netted just five in the Champions League last season, but he’s capable of nearing double digits. 

He’s scored twice across three starts already this season, managing 20 shots across those games (5.96 per 90) with seven finding the target (2.09 per 90).

Over 2.5 Goals

Whenever Barcelona play, goals usually come. Hansi Flick’s side have scored 21 goals across their seven league games already this season (3.0 per game) which is a record that suggests that the home side could end up covering this line on their own here.

I did have a brief look at BTTS, but I’d prefer to back goals with the injuries that PSG are currently facing. They’ll be without Desire Doue and Ousmane Dembele for this game, as well as there being doubts around the fitness of Vitinha, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Fabian Ruiz and Joao Neves. I do think some of those players will start, but the biggest misses are in the PSG frontline, so they could be a bit blunted here. 

That being said, Luis Enrique will have a plan in place and be actively aware of the high line that Barcelona play, which can be comical at times. PSG should get a few chances if they are direct, which is what may be the preferred method of the former Barcelona boss, as he is missing his best players in the final third.

Barcelona have seen over 2.5 goals in seven of their eight matches across all competitions this season, including their opening game of the league phase campaign against Newcastle. They’ve only kept three clean sheets across this period, so it’s fair to say that Barcelona’s focus is on outscoring the opposition rather than defensive stability.

Barcelona Double Chance

I can’t see PSG getting a positive result here with the players that are missing from the side. Of the 11 players that started the Champions League final against Inter a few months ago, seven are doubts for this game. Doue and Dembele are confirmed as injured for this encounter but the entirety of the midfield, which is crucial to Luis Enrique’s style, all face late fitness tests for this clash.

I assume some of them will play, even if they are carrying a slight knock, due to the magnitude of the occasion, but it won’t be the free-flowing PSG side we saw run rampant on their path to the Champions League trophy last season. The goalkeeper is also an interesting one, Donnarumma left the club over the summer, and Lucas Chevalier has stepped in, but he has looked a little uncomfortable at times. Donnarumma being absent as well means that PSG could potentially line up with only three players who started the Champions League final.

Barcelona have not lost a game this season, winning seven of their eight matches. They do have injury concerns themselves, mainly in goal, but not to the same scale as PSG. Barcelona’s main strength is their scoring power. There isn’t another side in Europe that can match the early scoring ability of Barcelona this season, and I’d expect that to continue here with Hansi Flick’s side making the most of the injury issues currently plaguing PSG.

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Barcelona v PSG Best Longshot Bets
  • Barcelona v PSG
  • Champions League
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 22.73

Marcus Rashford to Score

Marcus Rashford was brilliant against Newcastle on Matchday 1 of the league phase, netting a brace at St James’ Park which came in the form of a superb header and a wonderful strike from outside the box, vintage Rashford.

Rashford gets a lot of criticism, but one area where he is amongst the best players in the world is ball striking. Not many players can hit a ball cleaner, with the power he can generate behind his strikes, also setting him apart from other attackers. Hansi Flick revealed after the Newcastle game that he was ‘desperate’ for the club to sign Rashford, likely because of his elite ball-striking ability.  

He’ll fancy his chances of adding to his tally here against a weakened PSG side. Barcelona have scored 21 goals across their seven league games this season, so we can expect them to generate chances with ease. 

The 27-year-old has registered three assists as well as his two goals for Barcelona this season, so he has been regularly involved in the attacking phase for Hansi Flick’s side. His shot volume is also notable in the early parts of the season; he’s averaged 3.85 shots per 90 in La Liga and managed six shots against Newcastle on Matchday 1.

PSG GK to Make 4+ Saves

Lucas Chevalier will be in for a busy evening on Wednesday as he faces up against the best attacking side in Europe, without the usual protection in front of him. PSG’s defensive strength comes from counter-pressing, they don’t actually end up having to do much defensive work as they keep the opposition penned in their own half and limit transitions with an effective pressing setup. 

This won’t be the case here with that system slightly affected by the absences that PSG are contending with, particularly in midfield. Chevalier was tested twice in PSG’s 4-0 win over Atalanta on Matchday 1 and now faces up against a Barcelona side that had five shots on target against Newcastle and are averaging 8.60 shots on target per game in La Liga, comfortably more than any other side.

Pau Cubarsi to be Shown a Card

It’s no secret that Barcelona play with a high line and that defensive setup puts their centre backs at direct risk of committing a foul and picking up a card. This is due to the fact that Cubarsi and his centre back partner are often forced into making tactical fouls to stop the opposition breaking on them quickly when they’ve overcommitted bodies forward.

Cubarsi is naturally quite an aggressive centre back and has committed five fouls across his four appearances in La Liga this season (1.33 per 90). This record hasn’t produced a card yet, but this is the perfect game for the 18-year-old to lose a bit of composure and give away a few cheap fouls. 

Cubarsi picked up two yellow cards and one red card across his 13 appearances in the Champions League last season. He also received three yellow cards across his 35 appearances in La Liga last term. I’d expect PSG to go quite direct at times here to try and find a way to expose Barcelona’s aggressive defensive line.

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📂 Barcelona v PSG Cheat Sheet

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📈 Barcelona v PSG Form & Tactics

Barcelona have started the season as you would have expected them to, with seven wins from eight matches and no losses in that period. They’ve scored 23 goals across those matches (2.8 per game) but have only managed to keep three clean sheets. This makes Barcelona’s philosophy quite clear; they try and outscore the opposition with the array of talent they have in the final third. 

This has largely been successful for Hansi Flick’s side, though Inter would tell you that their defensive vulnerabilities can be exposed with the right setup and a lot of luck. It would take the defensive performance of the decade to keep Barcelona out at the moment. The last time Hansi Flick’s side failed to score was back in December 2024, when they were beaten by Leganes, still generating an xG of 2.63 on that occasion.

PSG have also started the season well with six wins from their seven matches so far. The only blemish on this record was a 1-0 defeat to Marseille, which was a derby and also a bit of a personal grudge match involving Roberto De Zerbi. PSG won their opening game of the Champions League 4-0 against Atalanta without the likes of Doue and Dembele.

Luis Enrique has led this side to back-to-back finals in the Champions League and the Club World Cup, so it’s also worth considering the fatigue element when betting on PSG this season. Some of those players have played nearly 70 games over the last year, which is bound to affect the side at some point in the campaign.


📔 Barcelona v PSG Formation & Team News

Barcelona will line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape with an aggressive high line. This has been the model under Hansi Flick, and it won’t be changing any time soon. A lot of the focus in discourse around Barcelona is rightly on the devastating effectiveness of the attacking players, but the most impressive element for me is the midfield duo of Pedri and Frenkie de Jong. 

They showcased their quality at St James’ Park, with Newcastle unable to get near them in the second half. Pedri, in particular, is one of the best players in Europe and can control a game on his own, as well as offering a threat in the final third to supplement the likes of Yamal, Robert Lewandowski and Rashford. Raphinha is a doubt for this game, as is starting goalkeeper Joan Garcia, but Barcelona have alternatives they can call upon in those positions.

PSG have an injury crisis heading into this game, with Marquinhos, Kvaratskhelia, Neves and Ruiz all doubts, as well as Doue and Dembele being confirmed absentees. Luis Enrique won’t deviate from his style too much, but it will be less effective without some of those key players. 

PSG can still carry a threat in transition, but my worry would be the lack of effective counter-pressing if the usual midfield trio of Vitinha, Neves and Ruiz are missing. The Club World Cup has clearly had a part to play in PSG’s current injury crisis, and it’ll be interesting to see how the increased load of matches over the summer affects Luis Enrique’s side over the course of the season.


📊 Barcelona v PSG Key Stats

  • Barcelona have scored 23 goals across their eight matches in all competitions this season, but have only kept three clean sheets.

  • PSG could be without as many as seven starters for this game.

  • Barcelona welcome back Lamine Yamal to the squad after a brief spell on the sidelines.

  • Both sides won their opening game of the league phase.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, as well as Champions League Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club.

Check out these Barcelona v PSG Betting Stats for further insight.

For Wednesday's football, we also have a Champions League AccumulatorUnion Saint-Gilloise v Newcastle Bet Builder TipsArsenal v Olympiacos Betting Tips, and Monaco v Man City Bet Builder Tips.

There are BTTS TipsPlayer Shots on Target TipsPlayer Fouls Tips and Over 2.5 Goals Acca Tips, too.

We recommend both the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer, there's a range of Free Bet Offers on site too, as well as the Best Odds Boosts.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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