The pick of the Tuesday night clashes sees Barcelona make the journey from Catalunya to Munich’s Allianz Arena. That famous night in Lisbon where Bayern dispatched Barcelona 8-2 is a night fans of each team will never forget, and while such an outlandish scoreline presumably won’t happen again, this should definitely be a game worth watching for the neutral, and for those of us who fancy a Bet Builder.
Rumours of issues in the dressing room are casting a shadow over Julian Nagelsmann’s side at the minute, so this could be a great time for Barcelona to face their hosts. Bayern have now drawn three consecutive games in the Bundesliga, and find themselves third in the table, two points adrift of Union Berlin. Barcelona meanwhile are going along nicely, having now posted five consecutive wins since their opening day 0-0 draw with Rayo Vallecano.
Both clubs came out with a win in the Champions League last week, with Barcelona coasting to a 5-1 win at home to Viktoria Plzen, meanwhile Bayern ground out a hard-fought win against Inter Milan at the San Siro, a marked contrast to their domestic form.
Bayern Munich v Barcelona Bet Builder Tips
Both Teams to Score – Yes
As much as Barcelona have had an excellent defensive record so far this season, conceding only twice in six games, they will be fortunate to escape Munich with a clean sheet. The hosts have scored in every game so far this season, with both sides finding the net in 5 of their 9 games in all competitions in 2022-23.
Bayern also look shaky defensively however, with no clean sheets in their last three Bundesliga games and a defence which has seemed so imperious for so many years is now suddenly looking very porous. There can be no worse sight for a defence that has been run ragged at the weekend than Robert Lewandowski’s name on the opposition teamsheet, and he will be all too aware of the weaknesses of a side he spent so many years at.
Barcelona arrive with impressive goalscoring and xG stats to underline just how much the activation of their ‘economic levers’ has allowed them to improve the squad this summer. 20 goals and 15.4xG from 6 games is an impressive return, and though this is certainly a step up in the level of the opposition, they will definitely create chances.
The same goes for the hosts, who have 21 goals in 7 games, with an xG of 17.4. Both sides are outperforming their xG, a testament to the quality of finishers they have on the pitch, and this should lead to an open, end-to-end affair with plenty of chances and more than likely plenty of goals too.
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Prediction: Both Teams to Score
Robert Lewandowski to have 2+ Shots on Target
Returning to face his former club for the first time since his summer move, Lewandowski has continued the form that made him one of the Bundesliga’s greatest ever strikers at his new home. He may be 34 years old but he is just as lethal as ever, and his demand that the attack runs through him means he takes more shots than almost any of his peers, his 4.27 shots per 90 over the last year putting him in the top 2% for strikers across Europe’s top 5 leagues.
Barcelona’s Polish number 9 has 9 goals in 6 La Liga and Champions League games this season, and he will no doubt be desperate to score at his old stomping ground. His last 5 games for Barcelona have seen him hit 4 shots on target 3 times, 3 on one occasion, and even managed 1 shot on target last weekend despite only coming on around the hour mark.
Bayern concede an average of 9 shots per game and given the high percentage of the team’s shots that are taken by Lewandowski, coupled with his incredible efficiency (4 of his 6 Barcelona games have seen him hit the target with 100% of his shots) means he is highly likely to have at least 2 shots on target assuming he lasts the full 90 minutes.
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Prediction: Robert Lewandowski to have 2+ Shots on Target
Matthijs De Ligt to be Shown a Card
Fresh from Juventus this summer, Bayern’s new Dutch centre-half has had some mixed performances this season, sometimes looking assured and at other times being totally panicked. The weekend saw a case of the later, where Serhou Guirassy was able to walk all over the 23-year-old, ultimately conceding a penalty with a clumsy foul that went on to cost Bayern two points which would have seen them return to the top of the table.
He has now been booked in consecutive games, and has committed more fouls per 90 than any other player in the Bayern side, his 2.19 per 90 being more than 0.5 more than the second-highest, Ryan Gravenberch at 1.67. He will spend much of the game marshalling Lewandowski, not an ideal matchup when you are struggling to find your feet at a new club. Not only do you have to be on your guard all game such is the threat Lewandowski poses, he also draws more fouls than almost anyone else at Barcelona, his 2.86 fouls per 90 putting him third in the squad.
Barcelona’s opponents this season have seen their centre-backs be forced to commit fouls more than any other position, with 12 fouls across the 6 games. These numbers may not sound too high, but of the 12 centre-backs, 5 received yellow cards, way more than any other position, no doubt owing to the emphasis on playing centrally and attempting to set up Lewandowski at all times.
De Ligt is in for a tough night here, and his tendency to make tactical fouls, as well as being paired up against possibly the greatest striker of this century make a card seem much more likely than the odds of 4.20 would suggest.
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Prediction: Matthis De Ligt to be Shown a Card
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Bayern Munich v Barcelona Predicted Line-ups:
Bayern Munich predicted XI (4-2-3-1) : Neuer; Pavard, de Ligt, Upamecano, Davies; Kimmich, Sabitzer; Gnabry, Muller, Sane; Mane
Barcelona predicted XI (4-3-3) : ter Stegen; Kounde, Araujo, Garcia, Alba; Gavi, Busquets, Pedri; Raphinha, Lewandowski, Dembele
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing *
How to watch Bayern v Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League
📅 When is Bayern v Barcelona? / Tuesday, 13th September 2022, 20:00
🏟 Where is Bayern v Barcelona? / Allianz Arena (Munich)
📺 What TV channel is Bayern v Barcelona? / BT Sports 4
🟨 …And who is the referee for Bayern v Barcelona? / Danny Makkelie 🇳🇱
