These sides have already faced off in the Champions League this season, with BTTS landing on that occasion as Bayern came away 2-1 winners over PSG at the Parc Des Princes. That victory made Bayern one of less than a handful of sides that have managed to come to the Parc Des Princes and win over the last few seasons in the Champions League, and sets up Vincent Kompany’s side to get on the scoresheet again here.

That game earlier in the season saw a combined 14 shots on target and both sides registering an xG in excess of 1.0 (1.95-1.53). Bayern Munich have seen BTTS in three of their last four matches, most recently going 3-0 down to Mainz at the weekend before rallying to win 4-3 - a perfect example of how Kompany’s side can be comfortable in high scoring matches with the elite scoring power they have through Kane, Olise and Diaz.

Bayern come into this game having avoided defeat across their last 19 matches, averaging over 3.0 goals per game in this run of fixtures. I can’t see how this clash stays low scoring, there is the factor of it being a first leg so there may be cagey moments at times - but the attacking quality on display in both camps should lead to both sides being able to get on the scoresheet.

Michael Olise scored another brilliant goal at the weekend, there’s an angle available from the crowd if you haven’t seen it where you can see the curve and dip on the ball when he strikes it - it’s well worth the watch. He’s reached another level this season alongside the likes of Diaz and Kane with the trio forming one of the most well balanced frontlines i’ve seen in the modern game.

Olise has scored 22 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich this season, already eclipsing his tally of 17 he managed in his debut year having played just one game more than he did last term. He’s registered 10 goal contributions across his 11 starts in the Champions League, four of these being goals, which has been achieved from a shot total of 39 (3.90 shots per 90).

Of these 39 efforts from Olise, 16 have found the target (1.60 per 90). These underlying numbers are very impressive, and when paired with the confidence that Olise is currently playing with - there should be opportunities for the former Palace winger to find the target, as he did on two occasions when these sides met in the league phase of the Champions League.

Konrad Laimer is a player that I’ve backed regularly for fouls during this Champions League campaign and he rarely disappoints. The former midfielder now almost exclusively operates as a fullback, and is expected to fill in at left back here where he’ll have a tough test against the likes of Desire Doue and Achraf Hakimi.

Laimer isn’t a bad player, but if you were PSG that’s where you’d be looking to target Bayern as their pressure point. There’s so much attacking quality in this Bayern side that it’s easy to overlook the shortcomings of their backline - which was almost torn apart solely by Vinicius Jr and Mbappe in the second leg of their quarter final clash against Real Madrid.

Laimer has committed 15 fouls across his nine starts in the Champions League this term (1.88 per 90), picking up four yellow cards in the process. I think he’ll struggle to manage Doue in a similar way to how he struggled with Vinicius Jr in the quarter final, Doue has won 14 fouls across his six starts in the Champions League this term (2.08 per 90), and when supported by Hakimi (0.95 fouls won per 90) - the pair should be able to draw at least two fouls from Konrad Laimer.

Ousmane Dembele wins fewer fouls than you may think (0.62 per 90), but this selection mainly focuses on the aggressive and occasionally clumsy nature of the Bayern Munich backline. Vincent Kompany’s side committed 22 fouls across the two legs of their quarter final tie against Real Madrid, with 12 of these fouls being committed by a member of their back four.

Jonathan Tah and Dayot Upamecano both committed 2+ fouls each in the first leg of Bayern’s clash against Real Madrid - struggling to handle the threat of Vinicius Jr and Mbappe. I can see the centre back duo struggling a little again here with the rotations that PSG can put together with how fluid their front three is. Dembele doesn’t just stay in central areas either, he swaps with Doue and Kvaratskhelia - so there will be times where Dembele will be facing up against Laimer (1.88 fouls committed per 90).

This selection landed via Super Sub when the sides met earlier in the campaign. Dembele didn’t really get a chance to test the backline of Bayern as he went off injured after the first 25 minutes of the encounter. He should be able to have a proper run at Tah and Upamecano here - who combine to commit 3.48 fouls per 90 in the Champions League this term.

Luis Diaz sometimes gets missed out when people are discussing the quality of Bayern Munich. Kane and Olise get the majority of the praise, but Diaz is such an effective player and has proven to be a smart signing by Kompany in complimenting the abilities of Kane, Olise and even Gnabry who usually plays just between Kane and Diaz. 

Diaz netted twice when these sides met earlier in the campaign, later being sent off in the game for a nasty challenge. He’s scored six goals across his 10 starts in the Champions League this season, with only Harry Kane (12) scoring more goals for Bayern in the competition than the former Liverpool winger. Diaz also scored in the second leg of Bayern’s quarter final clash with Real Madrid, a goal that would eventually knock out Los Blancos with Olise later applying the finishing touch.

I think Diaz will relish the space he gets in behind here against a PSG side that likes to push forward and allow Hakimi to join the attack. Diaz is quite direct when given these opportunities, so he should look to get into a shooting position as quickly as possible after getting these opportunities in wide areas when Hakimi starts to roam. 

PSG have redefined the role of a fullback (again) with Mendes and Hakimi being the best pairing across all of Europe in my view. Somehow, they manage to contribute to the attacking side of PSG’s approach while still not giving up that much defensively which is partly due to how fit both players are - especially Nuno Mendes, who can run up and down the touchline all evening without looking tired.

Both Hakimi and Mendes push on into forward positions, they like to make an inside run when Doue or Kvaratskhelia have the ball wide which allows them to have a direct route to goal after moving around different pieces of the opposing backline. Hakimi has scored just once in the Champions League this season, but is averaging 1.57 shots per 99 - the majority of which have come from that right hand side of the box where he’s made a run beyond Doue or Kvaratskhelia.

PSG had 25 shots when these sides met earlier in the season, seeing nine of them find the target. Hakimi was replaced at half time in that encounter, so didn’t quite get to make the most of Bayern Munich going down to 10 men, but can offer a different kind of threat for PSG here while all the focus is on the danger that Dembele, Doue and Kvaratskhelia can cause.

Dayot Upamecano has always been a bit of a clumsy centre back. This has probably been his best season to date, but he still has that reckless streak in him - and I can see the Frenchman and his partner in Jonathan Tah struggling with some of the rotations that PSG are able to put together in the final third and through their dynamic midfield.

Luis Enrique noted something really interesting the other day in an interview I saw, where he said that he wants a group of players who can play anywhere - suggesting that it would cause a nightmare for opponents as they wouldn’t know who will play where. I’d argue he’s actually not that far away from this already with this PSG side, who all look comfortable in different areas of the pitch.

Upamecano is averaging 1.61 fouls committed per 90 in the Champions League this season, a fairly substantial increase on his numbers in the Bundesliga. He’ll be up against a front three for PSG who average 5.35 fouls won per 90 in the Champions League this term - with Doue and Kvaratskhelia being the main drivers for this metric.