Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has scored more goals than any other PSG player in the Champions League this season (10), adding two goals to his tally in the first leg as he helped PSG record a 5-4 win over Bayern Munich in Paris.

Interestingly, he’s the most generously priced of the forward players for a shot on target here. The market is understandably quite short in general after the nine goal thriller we had last week, but this is still at a decent price given Kvaratskhelia’s overall shot and shot on target record in the Champions League.

Kvaratskhelia has taken 44 shots across his 12 starts in the Champions League this season (4.10 per 90), seeing 16 of these efforts find the target (1.49 per 90). He’s actually scored more goals in the Champions League than he has in Ligue 1 (7), showing just how much Kvaratskhelia loves this competition and I think he’ll be able to make a positive impact again.

Joao Neves committed a foul in the first leg meeting between the sides last week and generally is the most aggressive of the PSG midfield trio. He’s committed nine fouls across his 11 starts in the Champions League this season (0.87 per 90), and I’d expect him to get through a bit more work here now that PSG are the away side.

PSG employ a counter press which allows them to suffocate the opposition. This doesn’t work as effectively against a side like Bayern who are willing to match that intensity, but it does still lead to Neves and the front three of PSG being roped into challenges to stop the opposition finding a way through their structure. 

I’m particularly interested in Joao Neves’ battle with Jamal Musiala, who has won six fouls across his two starts in the Champions League this season (2.29 per 90). This is a small sample size, but winning fouls is a strong part of Musiala’s game. Bayern drew 14 fouls from PSG in the first leg meeting, committing just four fouls themselves in the game.

Bayern Munich were not that aggressive in the first leg meeting, but that attitude is likely to change here given that they are trailing in the tie and need to win to get through to the final for the first time under Vincent Kompany.

Bayern Munich have collected 22 yellow cards across their 13 Champions League matches this season (1.69 per 90) and have also picked up two red cards. They picked up four cards when travelling to the Parc Des Princes in the league phase of the competition, including a red card which was shown to Luis Diaz.

The referee for this game is Joao Pinherio who has handed out 28 yellow cards across his seven appointments in the Champions League this season (4.00 per game). Context is a real driver here, but Bayern’s card record is still pretty solid in the Champions League and the referee appointment should also help see them collect at least two cards here.

The first leg meeting between the side produced seven corners, we’re after a few more here in another selection where the context should be a key driver with there only being one goal between the sides from the first leg thriller. 

There were exactly 10 match corners when these sides met earlier on in the league phase of the Champions League, with PSG taking advantage of Bayern Munich dropping down to 10 men on that occasion and winning nine of these corners. 

Bayern are seeing 9.31 match corners per game in the Champions League this season, so we’re looking for a small increase in their average numbers which should be able to come with the context that surrounds this game with both European heavyweights being just one game away from a Champions League final, in which they’d likely be favourites against either Arsenal or Atletico Madrid.

Bukayo Saka was brilliant against Fulham over the weekend, registering a goal and an assist as he helped Arsenal to a 3-0 win over Marco Silva’s side. I saw quite a few people asking where this Bukayo Saka has been, but I think that’s a bit harsh on the winger who has been battling with injuries all campaign - and is limited by the instructions of Mikel Arteta.

Saka still finds a way to show his brilliance in this rigid system and beat his man on pretty much every occasion when taking him down that side. He was taken off at half time by Arteta in that game, with this encounter in mind, so I’d expect him to start and continue to build to full fitness against an Atletico Madrid side that have already lost 4-0 to Arsenal at the Emirates this season. 

Saka has registered four goal contributions across his six starts in the Champions League this season (2 goals, 2 assists). His underlying numbers are pretty strong too with the winger averaging 4.12 shots per 90 and 2.64 chances created per 90 in the Champions League this term.

Zubimendi becomes a lot more aggressive when playing in the Champions League, probably because Arsenal play with a bit more freedom in the competition as they don’t have to manage the relentless physical demands of the Premier League. This allows Rice and Odegaard/Eze to push up quite high, leaving Zubimendi as the only defensive presence in the midfield.

This makes Zubimendi particularly vulnerable to tactical fouls leading to cards in the Champions League. He’s committed 19 fouls across his 11 starts in the Champions League this season (1.80 per 90), collecting four yellow cards across these games. This is an increase on the 0.97 fouls committed per 90 that Zubimendi is averaging in the Premier League, confirming that he has extra defensive responsibilities in the Champions League.

Zubimendi committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card when Atletico Madrid visited Arsenal in the league phase of the Champions League, and could end up with a similar record again here given Arsenal’s willingness to send more midfield players forward in the Champions League.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has scored more goals than any other PSG player in the Champions League this season (10), adding two goals to his tally in the first leg as he helped PSG record a 5-4 win over Bayern Munich in Paris.

Interestingly, he’s quite generously priced out of the forward players for a goal contribution here. The market is understandably quite short in general after the nine goal thriller we had last week, but this is still at a decent price given Kvaratskhelia’s overall record in the Champions League this term - he’s registered the most goal contributions of any PSG player in a single season in the Champions League, eclipsing the record set by Dembele last season. 

He’s actually scored more goals in the Champions League than he has in Ligue 1 (7), showing just how much Kvaratskhelia loves this competition and I think he’ll be able to make a positive impact again.

I was pretty impressed with Upamecano and Tah in the first leg, which may be a strange thing to say with Bayern conceding five goals, but they had good moments in between the ridiculous levels of attacking quality we saw and most importantly - did not get roped into a battle with PSG’s frontline, who are all very strong when it comes to winning fouls.

I think this will change slightly here given the dynamic of the game. Bayern are chasing the tie and will naturally take risks, perhaps even more than they did last week as the home side here, leaving Upamecano and Tah at real risk of committing tactical fouls against the likes of Kvaratskhelia and Doue who will relish being afforded the extra space in this encounter. 

Upamecano has collected two yellow cards across his 11 starts in the Champions League the season and has picked up a further four cautions across his 20 starts in the Bundesliga this term.