Tomás Araújo to commit 1+ fouls is priced at 1.62 with Paddy Power, offering exceptional value compared to odds as low as 1.18 elsewhere.

The Portuguese man operates primarily on the right-hand side of the pitch, with right-back being his favoured position of late. While his season-long average sits at 0.78 fouls per 90, his recent trend suggests a more aggressive approach.

He has committed at least 1 foul in each of his last 11 games, including in all 4 of his recent European appearances, where he has been deployed at RB.

Araújo faces a significant challenge on Wednesday night against Barcelona’s left-hand side, where multiple players excel at drawing fouls:

– Raphinha: 1.04 fouls drawn per 90
– Alejandro Balde: 1.47 fouls drawn per 90
– Pedri: 1.51 fouls drawn per 90

In their previous league phase meeting, Araújo committed a foul, while both Pedri and Balde successfully drew fouls from their opponents.

Given Araújo’s recent foul trends and the quality of opposition he will face, the likelihood of him committing at least 1 foul aligns more closely with the 84.7% implied probability from other bookmakers, rather than Paddy Power’s 61.7%.