Blackburn Rovers v Preston North End
How about a Lancashire derby to bring the Championship back after the World Cup break?
Whilst the battle between Rovers and the Lilywhites is nowhere near as fierce as the Blackburn v Burnley rivalry that closed the Championship programme before the break, there will still be a sense of anticipation and antipathy for this match at Ewood Park.
Rovers will not want to be reminded of that Turf Moor display in November though. It was a feeble attempt to tackle the Clarets and their 3-0 defeat was well deserved. Rovers showed a lack of control with the ball that meant that they fired away only one shot in the entire match. In truth, the performance was reminiscent of many away from home this season and it is the inconsistency of performance that Jon Dahl Tomasson would have wanted to try and get to the bottom of over the break.
However, Rovers are very strong at Ewood Park this season. Eight wins from ten matches and a +10 goal difference attest to that and whilst Blackburn have yet to draw a match this season, this is a stat that is bound to turn at some time soon. It therefore feels sensible to have the draw playing for us in this bet builder as well as taking the home side.
Though Preston have a better win rate away from Deepdale they have collected quite a lot of draws. A number of these came as 0-0s in that remarkable run at the start of the season where goals in Preston matches were very scarce.
That has changed somewhat more recently but still, Preston are down in 19th for overall xG created this season. Combine this with Blackburn who surprisingly sit bottom of the entire league for their overall xG then the data points towards a low chance affair, keeping the draw in the market but also suggesting that it could be a low-scorer.
Despite leaning towards there being few goals in the match, there are some interesting prices available for shots in the match.
Blackburn concede an average of 4.24 shots on target in the Championship this season, whilst Preston hit an average of 3.33 shots on target. Preston’s chances on the break may be limited but they will have enough possession in the match to get opportunities, plus the likelihood of getting some decent set piece chances means that it is worthwhile taking the quote for Preston to have 3 shots on target for the bet builder.
In addition there are a couple of individual player shot angles that might be worthwhile. Ched Evans and Ben Brereton are the most likely shot takers on either side but both are prohibitively short in the market. Instead take a chance on Emil Riis getting a couple of shots away for Preston, he is a target for crosses as well as being capable on the ground. In the Rovers camp there is one outstanding bet, however, it is not certain that Scott Wharton starts the game. The elder Wharton brother has by far the highest shot per 90 ratio at 0.91 than the likes of Dan Ayala and Dom Hyam. If the local lad plays then he is a cracking price to get a shot away.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets *
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing *