In this article…
Brazil v Colombia
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Kick Off: Wednesday 3rd July at 02:00
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Watch Live: Premier Sports 1
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Competition: Copa America
Matchday 3 in Group D sees a huge match-up between two of South America’s giants. Brazil come into this game having all but qualified. However, they will want to avoid a potential quarter-final match-up against Uruguay and want a win over Colombia to secure top spot in the group.
The drama continues over in the United States as the Copa America enters the second half of its final group stage matchday on Wednesday morning, and as always, Andy’s Bet Club has got you covered for football betting tips.
We have also collated our favourite free bet offers for you to get the most value for your money throughout this summer of sport, as well as a list of the best bet builder bookmakers for you to use in the process.
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Colombia have had a great start to the tournament and a draw will secure top spot and potentially the kinder draw in the quarter-finals. They’ve won the Copa America just once in their history but will have high hopes with this current generation adding to their trophy cabinet.
Although Colombia don’t possess the star quality of other sides in the tournament, they have been thoroughly impressive and a strong contender to win the competition. Brazil were derided after a poor start against the Costa Ricans but bounced back in style with an impressive victory over Paraguay, with Vinicius Junior the star of the show.
The game will be played in the sunshine of Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.
Brazil v Colombia Best Bets
Brazil are currently ranked 5th in the world and Colombia 12th, but the rankings are somewhat misleading when it comes to form over the past few years. With the USA’s defeat to Panama, there is a good chance that the winners of Brazil and Colombia’s group will face the Panamanians in the quarter-finals and avoid Uruguay, which gives Colombia added motivation to not lose this game. A draw will be enough for them but with their incredible unbeaten run and with 10 wins on the bounce, they are a very dangerous opponent who Brazil shouldn’t underestimate. They are also unlikely to fully rotate their team, as the scalp of a win against Brazil is always significant.
Although Brazil are rightly considered favourites for the game, we don’t think they should be anywhere near the odds being offered for them to win. They impressed against a poor Paraguay side but the Colombians will offer far more threat in the future and be much tougher to break down. As such, Colombia Draw No Bet at 3.20 with Paddy Power is a very generous price with the way the two sides are performing at the moment.
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📊 Brazil Form and Stats
Brazil’s 4-1 win over Paraguay was their highest win margin since a 5-1 defeat of Bolivia in September of 2023. Fans of Vinicius Junior will be relieved, with his brace the first goals he has scored for Brazil in a barren run of 9 appearances without a goal.
The Brazilians were worthy winners of the game, with an xG of 4.22, and missed a penalty early on. They’ll be encouraged they’ve found their shooting boots just in time for this Colombia game. They’ll be wanting to dominate possession in this game, and Marquinhos, Joao Gomes, and Eder Militao place 1, 2 and 5 for players with the highest pass completion percentages in the tournament.
Although Brazil lost to Colombia in November of last year, there has been a change of management since then and Brazil have demonstrated an ability to pick up results against difficult opponents, albeit in friendly games, with a win against England at Wembley and a 3-3 draw with Spain.
📊 Colombia Form and Stats
Colombia’s 3-0 victory over Costa Rica was their 10th straight win, a current streak unmatched in world football. It also marks a continuation of a 25-match unbeaten streak only broken by a game against Argentina in February of 2022.
James Rodriguez tops the assist charts in the Copa America with three assists in his two games so far and has the 8th highest pass completion rate of any player in the tournament which is very impressive considering his advanced attacking position on the pitch.
Goals have come from five different players, showing the goal threat across the side. Patrick Sequeira has been relatively unchallenged in the Colombian goal so far, with 6 saves to make in his opening two games, but likely to face a tougher test against this Brazilian side.
⚔️ Brazil v Colombia Head-to-Head
The two sides have met on 36 occasions with Colombia only winning four of those and Brazil winning 21 of the encounters. However, Colombia won their most recent encounter with a 2-1 win in World Cup qualifying and there have been three draws in the last six matches between the two sides.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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