Here is a breakdown of some of the best betting angles for Brazil ahead of the World Cup. We have looked at the stats to give you an edge on the goals, shots and shots on target markets.
Brazil come into the tournament as the bookmaker’s favourites. The five-time winners have a wealth of world-class players available. Recent tournaments highlight how they don’t always live up to expectations.
The Selecao only reached the last four once since they won the tournament in 2002. There has been a series of disappointing exits, none more brutal than in 2014. That night in Belo Horizonte will go down in the annals of football history. Only another World Cup win could wash away that disappointment.
Top 3 – Goal Contributions In Qualifying
Brazil’s talisman was in fine form during their qualifying campaign. He scored 8 and assisted 8 across the 10 matches he played. The forward has played as a winger, a striker and a number 10 in recent matches for the national team. So it’s difficult to predict exactly where he will play. What is certain is that he will be instrumental to any success Brazil have this winter.
Neymar has also been in fine form for PSG this season. He has 12 goals and 10 assists in his 17 appearances for the Parisians. Neymar has shown how adept he is at aiding the star-studded cast that accompanies him in the French capital. This part of his game could prove to be pivotal in Qatar, and Neymar looks set for a great tournament.
A player who will benefit from Neymar’s creative spark is Richarlison. The Tottenham forward failed to register a single assist in the qualifying campaign. But he did find the net 6 times in 8 appearances. Richarlison didn’t feature from the start in all of those matches, and he averaged 1.02 goals per 90 minutes.
Richarlison has only made 8 starts for Spurs across both the league and the Champions League. He has failed to hit the heights that earned him the move in the summer, but there have been glimpses. Richarlison netted a brace in his team’s 2-0 win over Marseille in the Champions League. He also scored 3 and assisted 1 in Brazil’s 2 most recent international friendlies.
Tite knows he can rely on Richarlison to deliver in Qatar. Despite the player not yet earning Conte’s trust at the club level.
Raphinha ranks third on goal contributions in Brazil’s qualifying campaign. The winger played in 7 matches after battling his way into the side. He looks to be the man in favour heading into the tournament. The winger contributed with 3 goals and 2 assists in those matches. An average of 1.07 goals or assists in every 90 minutes he featured.
It remains to be seen how Tite will set up his forward line. Vinicius, Rodrygo, and Jesus are all vying for a place. But Tite has opted for Raphinha in recent internationals and the winger has delivered.
Coming into this tournament, Brazil have been shooting for fun. Tite’s men are averaging 18.2 shots per game in their last 10 internationals. So they are the ones to watch in terms of shots this winter.
Top 3 – Shots In Qualifying (Per 90 Minutes)
During qualifying, Neymar had 41 shots excluding penalties. He converted 4 penalties and missed none, so he averaged a whopping 4.5 shots per game. Neymar also averaged 5.2 shots per game in Russia 2018.
Despite developing the more selfless side of his game in recent years, Neymar still has an eye for goal. He is not afraid to shoot from distance. He is averaging just short of one shot from outside of the box per game this season.
In the national team, he doesn’t share freekick-taking duties. This should inflate his shot outside of the box numbers in Qatar. In the last World Cup, Neymar averaged 2 shots per game from outside of the box.
The midfielder often features next to Fred and Casemiro for Brazil. This means that he is the most advanced midfielder and more likely to find himself in a position to shoot. Paqueta had 23 shots throughout qualifying.
Paqueta secured a move to West Ham this summer, but he did feature in 2 games for Lyon before the switch. He is averaging 3.1 shots per 90 minutes of club football this season. The midfielder should find pockets of space in front of the opposition defence in Qatar. He likes to shoot from this position. Pacqueta is averaging over 1 shot per game from outside the box in the Premier League this season.
Raphinha replaced Gabriel Jesus in the starting eleven towards the back end of qualifying. So I’ve included the Barcelona forward in this list despite him having 1 fewer shots than the Arsenal man. Raphinha had 16 shots in qualifying; an average of 3.19 per game.
Raphinha is averaging 2.2 shots per game and 3.9 shots per 90 minutes at Barcelona this season. If he remains on the field, he is a constant threat for opponents and not shy about shooting from distance. He averages 2 shots from outside the box per 90 minutes for his club this season.
The winger scored two goals in Brazil’s last match, and featured as part of a front 3 with Neymar and Richarlison. The former Leeds’ man has also featured as one of the 3 players in behind the striker for the national team; with Vinicius entering the fray. What is certain is Brazil have a wealth of options going forward, and Raphinha looks set to start.
Shots on Target
Brazil are averaging 7.3 shots on target per game in their last 10 internationals; meaning just over 40% of their shots have found the target over this period.
Top 3 – Shots On Target In Qualifying (Per 90 Minutes)
Neymar had 25 shots on target during qualifying; this includes his 4 successful penalty kicks. He is averaging 2.7 shots on target per game for PSG. This is despite the fact he is not the lone focal point. Messi and Mbappe also take their fair share of shots on goal.
At the last World Cup, Neymar averaged 2.6 shots on target per game. I expect the attacker to be amongst the tournament’s best players and look to drag his country to the world crown. Neymar should have a heap of shots on target as a result, and the stats for both club and country reflect this.
Raphinha 8 shots on target in qualifying. Over half of his overall attempts found the target and he averaged 1.7 shots on target per 90 minutes. He has been less efficient for Barcelona. He averages just 0.6 shots on target per game for his club, despite the fact he is averaging 3.9 shots per game.
Tite will be hoping Raphinha has his shooting boots on in Qatar. The winger has the potential to be lethal. He will need to show the level of conversion he has for Brazil as opposed to Barcelona.
Antony has come off the bench in the two most recent internationals for Brazil. He averaged 1.67 shots on target per 90 minutes throughout Brazil’s qualifying campaign. So he is one to watch coming off the bench in Qatar.
Antony is averaging 1.6 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season. His average is 1.3 per 90 minutes of club football. I don’t think he will feature from the start of the tournament. However, he is in fine form for his club and he could play his way into the starting 11 for Brazil in Qatar.
Antony is definitely one to look out for when he is brought on from the bench. The in-play shot on target prices can often bring value as a team hunts for another goal with fresh legs.
18+ please gamble responsibly. All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.