Brighton v Crystal Palace

Brighton enter the M23 derby without a win in their last 3 matches, a disappointing run that has seen them drop to 7th in the Premier League table. They trail Manchester City, who occupy the final Champions League slot, by 3 points.

Crystal Palace, on the other hand, have been in solid form, losing just once in their last 8 matches across all competitions. The visitors head into this clash on the back of a commendable 2-2 draw against Man City.

With bragging rights and crucial points on the line, this derby promises to be an intense affair between two evenly matched sides.

⭐ Brighton v Crystal Palace Best Bet

Will Hughes is a key figure in Crystal Palace’s midfield and is known for his combative approach, making this bet a strong value. The midfielder averages 2.06 fouls per 90 minutes and has committed multiple fouls in 4 of his last 6 matches.

With 23 fouls in his last 13 starts, Brighton’s fluid and high-paced style of play will likely force Hughes into defensive action, increasing the chances of him committing at least two fouls. Given Brighton’s ability to dominate possession and attack from all areas of the pitch, Hughes is expected to be heavily involved defensively.

🟢 Brighton v Crystal Palace #WhatOddsPaddy Tip

These sides average 3.13 and 2.82 goals per game, respectively, with seven of Brighton’s last eight games featuring at least three goals. Corner activity is another highlight, with both teams combining for averages of 9.87 and 10.18 corners per game. Although their card averages are slightly below five (Brighton 4.81, Palace 3.97), there have been at least 5 cards shown in 5 of their last 8 combined games.

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👕 Brighton v Crystal Palace Predicted XI

🔍 Brighton v Crystal Palace Players to Watch

🔵 Joao Pedro

João Pedro’s return from injury has revitalised Brighton’s attacking output. The Brazilian forward has been involved in 5 goals in 5 games since his comeback, showcasing his importance to the team.

With an average of 1.27 shots on target per 90 minutes, Pedro has consistently tested opposition goalkeepers, registering a shot on target in 4 of his last 5 appearances. Crystal Palace’s defence concedes over 4 shots on target per match, presenting Pedro with a great chance to add to his tally.

🔴 Eberechi Eze

Eberechi Eze’s return has been a significant boost for Crystal Palace, with the midfielder immediately resuming his role as the team’s creative engine. Eze averages 3.60 shots per 90 minutes and has taken at least 3 shots in 15 of his last 20 starts.

Brighton’s defence allows an average of 11.92 shots per game, providing ample opportunities for Eze to make an impact. His ability to find space and attempt shots from various areas makes him a constant threat.

🔵 Jan Paul Van Hecke

Brighton’s Dutch centre-back Jan Paul van Hecke has emerged as an offensive threat in set-piece situations. With 7 shots across his last 7 matches, van Hecke has managed at least 1 attempt in 6 of those games.

Crystal Palace’s defence, known to struggle with aerial duels, could provide him with further opportunities in this encounter.

📂 Brighton v Crystal Palace Cheat Sheet

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💻 Brighton v Crystal Palace Form and Tactics

Brighton’s statistics underline their superiority in this matchup, as the Seagulls average more shots (14.47 vs. 12.42), shots on target (5.24 vs. 4.42), and corners (5.41 vs. 4.75) than Crystal Palace.

They also dominate possession, averaging over 8% more than their opponents. Despite committing fewer fouls (10.84 vs. 11.55), Brighton receive more cards per match (2.37 vs. 1.98), likely due to the type of fouls committed.

Both teams are involved in high-card fixtures, with Brighton's matches averaging 4.81 cards and Palace’s 3.87.

🏁 Brighton v Crystal Palace Ref Watch

• Referee: Michael Oliver
• Oliver has distributed 23 cards in his last 4.6 Premier League matches, an average of 5 cards per game.
• He has awarded no penalties and shown no red cards in his last 10 league fixtures.
• There has been an average of 19.4 fouls per game during his last 10 games.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.