Firpo is averaging 0.94 shots per 90 in 2024/25 for Leeds. However, he has been more of a threat in the last few weeks as his instructions seem to have been to attack the centre of the box more than he was doing in the early part of the season.

This has resulted in more goals, including one on Easter Monday in the rout of Stoke, but also, more shots, with an average of 1.13 per 90 when taking only Leeds’ last 10 matches. There should be a degree of freedom in the Leeds performance knowing their fate is to be a Premier League team again next season, so shots could be the order of the day.

Jayden Bogle has actually been more prolific in terms of shots than Firpo of late, 1.07 per 90 over the Championship season as a whole, but 1.24 in Leeds’ last 10 matches.

Bogle’s last three matches have seen him take seven shots in total, and has scored twice in the last 10 matches as well, so that confidence should see him likely to hit at least one shot here.

This is a very interesting price and perhaps demonstrates the power of motivation being baked into the prices like few other markets.

This is because Leeds have actually gone 22/22 in terms of winning this market in the Championship this season. They also won this market in their two home FA Cup ties and one League Cup tie as well, so in total that is 25 times in 25 matches that Leeds have won more corners than their opponents.

Bristol City will have some onus to attack, but they will know that to do so will also leave them open to being attacked themselves, there is no guarantee that they will earn many more corners than any of Leeds’ other opponents this season, Leeds have averaged only 2.72 conceded and 7.96 corners for at home this season.

Again, this is an interesting price at the moment, as Leeds’ average home price in the Championship has been 1.38, and though this is against a team currently 5th in the standings, the only times that Leeds have been greater than this price were against Burnley, Sheffield United, and Middlesbrough.

All those matches were also in the first half of the season, so things did change as the market re-evaluated Leeds’ form and dominance, especially at Elland Road.

The only thing that is making the price bigger here is the consideration of motivation. Leeds will still likely want to put on a display at home, and there are still the potential accolades of a 100 point season and the Championship title to win.

McCrorie has been used as an option at LWB for Liam Manning recently, but also on the right if the need arises. It was a match from the right that McCrorie scored and had five other shots against Sunderland at home, so this could be an even bigger value bet if McCrorie does play on the right.

Regardless, he averages 1.3 shots per 90 for the season as a whole, so the price quoted for McCrorie here looks generous based on that seasonal average.

The West Ham loanee is probably in a battle with Anis Mehmeti for who will play on the left side of the attack here. When Earthy has played that role he has been a major contributor to the attack, with four consecutive starts yielding eight shots, and then three off the bench on Easter Monday.

Earthy is likely to start on the right of the attack though with Mark Sykes missing. Having grown in confidence through his loan spell, he looks a big price to continue his shot taking run here.

McCrorie has a really high yellow card rate of 0.45 yellow cards per 90 over Bristol City’s last 30 matches. He has two in his last three starts, both for fouls, and likely being up against Jayden Bogle and Wilfried Gnonto looks to be something of a recipe for more fouls being committed by the left wing-back.

He is averaging 2.32 fouls per 90 over Bristol City's last 30 matches, and he committed four away at Luton and three away at QPR in his last two away matches.

Leeds have seen their last three matches at Elland Road go over 2.5 goals, and they have shown last week that they are in good attacking form, as well as potentially able to turn it on given the lack of pressure they must now be feeling after guaranteeing promotion.

Four of Bristol City's last five matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Manning’s team have shown a mixture of strong character and profligate nature to see all five of their recent matches see both teams scoring, too.