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Burnley v Bournemouth Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Burnley v Bournemouth Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Saturday 2 March, 20242 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Burnley v Bournemouth

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Kick Off: Sunday 3rd March at 13:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event

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The clock is certainly ticking for Burnley’s escape from the Premier League relegation zone and in the hope of keeping that dream alive, they face an out-of-form Bournemouth side who are without a league win so far in 2024. 

Vincent Kompany’s side are second-bottom in the table and sit 11 points from safety going into this weekend’s fixtures. There's no doubt that this is a significantly huge mountain to climb and if it were to be successful, go down as one of the biggest achievements in the Premier League, especially in terms of relegation battles. But the Clarets have fought hard week after week and certainly aren't a side to give up before the very end. 

Bournemouth are in a slump of their own. They are without a Premier League win since Boxing Day, eight games ago, and have picked up only three points since, which has seen them relegated down to 16th place. Fortunately, they have an eight-point cushion from the drop zone but Bournemouth will be hoping to get back to winning ways, and a redemption performance here after their FA Cup exit to Championship side Leicester City is the best place to start.

Burnley v Bournemouth Cheat Sheet

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You can find Burnley v Bournemouth match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you're looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.

🏆 Match stats: The Cherries to add more misery for Burnley

Neither of these sides have demonstrated any inspiring performances since the turn of the New Year and as the bottom half of the table builds more pressure each week, one team here will be looking for that awaited diamond performance. Despite the continued absence of results, Bournemouth have proved a very capable side away from home this season, last failing to score on the road in October and netting in ten consecutive league games. This extends out to 2+ goals for the Cherries on six of those occasions which will frighten a Burnley side who detest playing at home. Burnley have lost 10 of their 13 Premier League home games this season, the worst home record in the league and Burnley’s joint-most home defeats they have ever suffered in a single Premier League campaign. Burnley conceded five goals last time out against Arsenal, which was indeed a fortunate tally for the home side, and have conceded 16 goals across their last five league outings. Burnley have had a real tough time this season and it's likely that Bournemouth will extend this misery and propel themselves back up the table. Considering the Cherries love for scoring goals and Burnley’s pitiful defensive form, Bournemouth to score 2+ goals on Sunday looks strong value in a game which we expect them to get the job done.

Predictions:

⚽ Bournemouth to win @ 1.91

⚽ Over 1.5 Bournemouth goals @ 1.73

🎯 Shooting stats: Great value for Bournemouth sharpshooters

Burnley’s persistent defensive struggles go beyond just their total goals conceded as the Clarets are struggling to deter all efforts on goal in recent weeks, especially shots on target. This has opened up good value in the Bournemouth total shots on target. Burnley are conceding an average of 5.92 shots on target per 90 so far this season which on its own gives merit to these markets for any team that plays them. The Clarets have conceded 29 total shots on target across their last four games on home soil, as well as conceding 5+ shots on target in 10 of their last 11 across all competitions - Man City were the only team kept at bay. Bournemouth have managed to register 4+ shots on target in four consecutive matches, with this selection landing in six of their last seven. The Cherries are recording 4.36 shots on target per 90 so far this campaign and considering Burnley’s continued struggles at home, they’re likely to exceed that target. With Bournemouth in fighting style at the moment recording 27 shots on goal midweek in the FA Cup, we expect them to keep the hosts backline busy.

Predictions:

⚽ Bournemouth to have 5+ shots on target @ 1.50

⚽ Bournemouth to have 6+ shots on target @ 2.10

🛑 Fouls stats: No one likes a sour cherry

The Cherries have shown their sourness in recent weeks having racked up some pretty hefty fouls totals and with so much at stake for both sides here, this could easily spill into more miscellaneous behaviour. Bournemouth are averaging a respectable 13.20 fouls per so far this campaign, figures that certainly fit their current affinity for a mistimed challenge. Bournemouth have made 11+ fouls in 7 consecutive matches across all competitions including 19 (v Nottm Forest), 23 (v Newcastle) and 16 (v Leicester) - some big totals. They haven't registered fewer than 10 fouls in a Premier League game since gameweek 13 against Sheffield United. Burnley have drawn eight fouls in two consecutive league games and were on the end of 11 fouls against Liverpool a few weeks ago. Although those totals may seem short, Burnley saw only 29% of the possession against Liverpool and 34% in their battering to Arsenal, and with Sunday’s game likely to be more contested and scrappy in the midfield, there is definitely potential for these selections. Another strong selection in the fouls department is targeting the Cherries main man Dominic Solanke. His raw goal scoring ability isn't the only part of his game giving defenders headaches as the Englishman is very talented at drawing fouls - something we can target here. Solanke is drawing in an average of 1.13 fouls per 90 this season and has been fouled at least once in 6 of his last 8 matches for Bournemouth, extending out to 8 in his last 11. He is also no stranger to committing a foul having racked up 5 fouls across his last three games so this could play into our favour as things get heated in front of the Burnley defence. Burnley are committing just over 11 fouls a game so far this campaign and with Solanke being in such hot form of late, he may become too big of a handful for the Clarets.

Predictions:

⚽ Bournemouth to commit 10+ fouls @ 1.33

⚽ Bournemouth to commit 11+ fouls @ 1.50

⚽ Dominic Solanke to be fouled 1+ times @ 1.50

🟨 Cards stats: High card count to come

Keeping in theme with the lack of discipline, both sides have shown a recent love for picking up the bookings and in fact only one booking separates these two in the total card tally during this campaign. Despite a fairly composed start to the season, Bournemouth have racked up the cards in recent fixtures - which is understandable considering their affinity for fouls. The Cherries have picked up 2+ bookings in seven consecutive matches across all competitions with four of those games seeing at least 3 bookings. Away fixtures certainly seem to bring out the worst in this Bournemouth team as they have been shown 3+ bookings in five of their last six games on the road, a trend that eludes their home fixtures. There have been some large card tallies in Cherries’ recent matchups with four of their last six seeing 4+ cards, a stat that is replicated by Sunday’s hosts, including their seven card brawl against Nottingham Forest a few weeks ago. Burnley have proved to be fairly consistent in the bookings department with the Clarets picking up 2.00 yellow cards per 90 so far this campaign. These figures are a great representation of their current form having picked up 2+ yellows in seven of their last nine outings. Bournemouth are drawing in a decent 2.24 bookings per 90 and Burnley are likely to be that next victim in their journey to Premier League survival. With patience and time running out across the Burnley camp, they may be forced into taking desperate measures on Sunday to salvage anything they can.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 3.5 total cards @ 1.20

⚽ Over 4.5 total cards @ 1.53

⚽ Over 2.5 Bournemouth cards @ 1.95

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