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Saturday's 7/2 Premier League Fouls Won/Committed Predictions

Saturday's 7/2 Premier League Fouls Won/Committed Predictions

Thursday 14 August, 20256 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

I've picked out five promising looking foul selections for this weekend's Premier League action. Read on to see what's caught my eye.

I’ve locked in my picks on the Premier League predictor game, it’s free to enter and £1M if you get it spot on.

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Saturday's 7/2 Premier League Player Fouls Won/Committed Predictions

Fixtures for: Saturday 23rd August

Brentford v Aston Villa

Premier League

15:00

Yehor Yarmoliuk 1+ Fouls Committed

Brentford committed 15 fouls in their opening game defeat against Nottingham Forest, a massive increase on their average of 8.70 fouls committed per game in the Premier League last season and this could be the start of a consistent increase in the Bees’ foul numbers. 

Yarmoliuk contested seven duels and committed three fouls against Nottingham Forest and he could find himself in a few similar situations against an Aston Villa side that won more fouls than any other side in the Premier League last season (13.3 per game). The majority of Villa’s stronger players when it comes to winning fouls play in midfield:

John McGinn -2.78 fouls won p/90 (24/25 PL) 
Amadou Onana - 1.66 fouls won p/90 (24/25 PL)
Youri Tielemans - 1.66 fouls won p/90 (24/25 PL)
Boubacar Kamara - 1.83 fouls won p/90 (24/25 PL)

With these high foul won numbers in Villa's midfield, it's also worth looking at Yarmoliuk for 2+ fouls committed at 2.62. Brentford committed 15 fouls against Aston Villa in the clash between the sides at Villa Park last season, and also committed 10 in the meeting at the Gtech Community Stadium with both foul totals demonstrating Villa’s ability to force a rise in their opponents foul averages.

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Brentford v Aston Villa

Premier League

15:00

John McGinn 2+ Fouls Won

This selection ties in pretty well with the Yarmoliuk pick in the same game. McGinn and Yarmoliuk are likely to contest a lot of duels and McGinn is one of the strongest players in the Premier League when it comes to winning fouls.

McGinn contested seven duels in Aston Villa’s opening game of the season, he wasn’t fouled in that game which is a tad surprising when considering the aggressive nature of the Newcastle midfield trio, but he was playing in a wider position in that game and should return to a more central role here as Villa lacked speed in the wide areas against Newcastle. 

McGinn averaged 2.78 fouls won per 90 across his 34 appearances in the Premier League last season. This is an incredibly impressive record to maintain over this volume of games and tells us that winning fouls is a core part of McGinn’s game which should continue here, hopefully in a scrap with Yarmoliuk.

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Burnley v Sunderland

Premier League

15:00

Habib Diarra 1+ Fouls Committed

Habib Diarra is the most forward thinking of the Sunderland midfield trio, but he should still be involved in plenty of duels here seeing as he committed a foul against West Ham and engaged in four duels. Diarra committed 26 fouls across his 27 starts in Ligue 1 last season (0.99 per 90).

Diarra will be up against Josh Laurent who won 32 fouls across his 28 appearances in the Championship last season (1.06 per 90). Sunderland committed eight fouls in their 3-0 win over West Ham but we can expect this clash to have a little more bite, especially from the Black Cats’ point of view as the away side in this early six pointer in the relegation battle. 

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Burnley v Sunderland

Premier League

15:00

Eliezer Mayenda 1+ Fouls Won

Mayenda is the perfect striker for Sunderland’s counter attacking system. He scored and was fouled twice in Sunderland's opening game of the season against West Ham. The reason I saw that Mayenda is a perfect fit is due to his strong hold up and carrying ability which can allow Sunderland moments of relief when they are inevitably put under intense pressure at times throughout the season. 

Mayenda averaged 2.09 successful dribbles per 90 and 1.26 fouls won per 90 in the Championship last season and will be lining up against a back three here as a lone striker which also increases the chances of him being hauled down. Sunderland drew 10 fouls from West Ham in their opening game of the season. 

Burnley committed eight fouls in their 3-0 defeat against Tottenham on the opening weekend of the Premier League season but I would expect this to increase here seeing as this is an early relegation six pointer, especially after Leeds and Sunderland took maximum points from their opening games. Two of Burnley’s three centre backs against Tottenham committed a foul and Mayenda should get the same bullish treatment here as Sunderland’s most effective outlet to relieve pressure.

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Bournemouth v Wolves

Premier League

15:00

Matt Doherty to Commit 1+ Fouls

Matt Doherty committed three fouls and was shown a yellow card in Wolves’ opening game of the season against Manchester City. He’s generously priced to commit a foul in Wolves’ first away game of the season against Bournemouth - a fixture that saw 26 fouls, six yellow cards and a red card. Doherty committed a foul in that game, and was also shown a yellow card.  

These were two of the most aggressive sides in the Premier League last season:

Wolves - 12.6 fouls committed per game (2nd in PL)
Bournemouth - 13.8 fouls committed per game (1st in PL)

These numbers indicate that we can expect quite a feisty affair between these two sides at this early stage of the season. Two of the three head to head meetings between the sides last season saw red cards and all three of these matches saw at least 24 combined fouls between the sides.

Doherty only started one of these head to head clashes which was the game in which he was booked. He committed 18 fouls across his 25 Premier League starts last season (0.77 per 90) and is likely to line up against Antoine Semenyo here who was a real handful against Liverpool in the opening game of the season, scoring twice as well as winning one foul from the 19 duels he contested. Brooks and Semenyo switched wings often against Liverpool which also means that Doherty will be faced up by David Brooks at times here who averaged 1.71 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League last season. 

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Fouls Acca FAQs

What is a Fouls accumulator?

An accumulator (acca) is a single bet that links together multiple Fouls selections. All selections must win for the bet to payout, whether it be a player to foul or a player to be fouled.

An accumulator, often called an ‘acca’, combines four or more separate bets into one wager. These bets can include match results (win, draw, or loss), both teams to score, over/under goals, or specific player props from different matches.

The Fouls market is often equipped with a bookmaker's substitute feature, meaning certain bookmakers will allow your bet to stay alive even if your selected player is subbed off.

To win an accumulator, every selection must be correct; if even one bet fails, the entire wager is lost. Because of this higher risk, accumulators offer much larger potential payouts than single bets. The odds of each selection are multiplied together, creating a combined total that can lead to substantial returns.

Who selects Fouls accumulator tips?

Our Fouls accumulator tips are put together by our resident player props expert, Oli Nixon.

Oli Nixon

Oli brings valuable experience from hosting his own betting podcast and writing for several well-known football tipping sites. In the past two years, he’s placed 2,200 bets and achieved a profit of over 200 units, delivering a 12% return on investment (ROI).

How many legs should I include in my acca?

Like other accas, Fouls accumulators are no different. A betslip must include a minimum of four selections from different matches. Three selections make up a treble, while two are known as a double.

For those new to accas, it’s wise to start modestly. You don’t need a 10-leg accumulator to enjoy betting or see returns. Focus on strong, well-researched picks, be mindful of the odds, and avoid chasing unlikely outcomes just for a potential jackpot. Successful accumulators are built on balance, not just big wins.

What is the best bookmaker for a Fouls accumulator?

As previously mentioned, many of the top-tier bookmakers offer a substitute feature. Paddy Power offer ‘Super Sub’, bet365 offer ‘Sub On’, and Betfair offer ‘Sub On Play On’.

This means that even if a player is substituted, the bet is still alive with the player subbed on. This can apply to not just 1+ fouls markets, but 2+, and 3+ as well.

What are the best bookmaker promotions for Fouls accumulators?

As noted earlier, several leading bookmakers provide a substitute feature to keep your bet in play. For example, Paddy Power offers ‘Super Sub’, bet365 has ‘Sub On’, and Betfair features ‘Sub On Play On’.

With these tools, your bet remains valid even if your selected player is substituted; your stake simply transfers to the incoming sub. This applies not just to 1+ fouls markets, but also extends to 2+ and 3+ fouls, giving you broader coverage and a better shot at a return.

When should I cash out an accumulator?

There’s no definitive right or wrong moment to cash out an accumulator. If the offer on the table looks appealing and you're happy with the return, it can be a smart move to take it. Locking in a profit is often the wisest choice.

At the end of the day, betting should always be approached with responsibility and a clear head. Sensible decisions are key to enjoying it safely.

Can I build Fouls accas using same-game markets?

Fouls accumulators are often built using same-game markets. Most bookmakers offer a wide variety of players in both the foul and to be fouled markets to add to your Fouls acca. Users can also mix up the selections across a number of games. These are usually fun to track during Champions League gameweeks when there are sometimes 20+ games all kicking off at the same time.

How often do your accas win?

The chances of an accumulator winning largely depend on the combined odds. For instance, if an acca is priced at 10.0, it implies a win roughly once in every ten tries.

Our goal is always to finish each week in profit across all the accumulators we feature on the site.

Can I get notified when the next acca goes live?

We publish weekly content focused on the latest Fouls markets and accumulators, and the best way to stay updated is by subscribing to Andy’s Bet Club Weekly Newsletter.

Delivered by email at least once a week, it highlights the best betting offers and free fouls-related tips available on the site.

What happens if one leg loses – is there acca insurance?

In most cases, all your selections need to win for the accumulator to pay out. However, some bookmakers occasionally run promotions that offer a safety net, often in the form of a cash refund if your acca narrowly misses.

Do I need a specific bookmaker to use your acca?

You can use any bookmaker, but the likes of Paddy Power, bet365, and Betfair offer substitute features to keep your bet alive.

For instance, Paddy Power’s ‘Super Sub’, bet365’s ‘Sub On’, and Betfair’s ‘Sub On Play On’ are all features designed to keep your bet alive, even if your chosen player is subbed off. In these cases, the bet shifts to the player coming on.

This doesn’t just apply to 1+ foul markets, it also covers 2+ and 3+ fouls, offering wider protection and increasing your chances of a successful outcome.