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Saturday's 10/1 Premier League Player Fouls Won/Committed Predictions

Saturday's 10/1 Premier League Player Fouls Won/Committed Predictions

Thursday 10 April, 20251 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid writer, football enjoyer and Mourinho fan boy. My speciality is the Premier League but I’ll watch football wherever it’s on. Made over 430+ points of profit during the 23/24 football season and the EUROs.

Our expert has assembled a fouls five-fold for you to track across four of this Saturday's Premier League fixtures. The acca returns £111.40 from a £10 stake if it lands.

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Saturday's Premier League Player Fouls Tips

Fixtures for: Saturday 12th April

Southampton v Aston Villa

Premier League

14:00

Morgan Rogers to be Fouled 2+ Times 🔄

Rogers has won 43 fouls across his 30 Premier League appearances for Aston Villa this season (1.53 per 90). He’s excellent with the ball at his feet in central and wide areas, with his imposing frame allowing him to carry the ball effectively and draw fouls from the opposition when he enters into danger zones.

Rogers contested 14 duels and was fouled once in the initial meeting between the sides. He also lost more duels than any other player on the pitch (9), suggesting that with a similar volume of duels again, he should be able to increase his foul won average slightly. 

Southampton committed 15 fouls in the initial meeting and are averaging 12.5 fouls committed per game in the Premier League this season - only Bournemouth and Wolves have a higher average. Aston Villa are the most fouled side in the league, too.

Brighton v Leicester

Premier League

14:00

Boubakary Soumare to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄

Leicester have looked all over the place, especially in midfield, which is worrying seeing as Brighton have one of the most dynamic midfield setups in the Premier League.

Soumare has been partnering Ndidi in Leicester’s midfield in recent weeks, and the pair have been left exposed with a lack of bodies in central areas allowing the opposition to overload the Foxes in the middle. Soumare has committed 20 fouls across his 24 Premier League appearances this season (1.04 per 90).

He will be regularly tested here by Joao Pedro, who is quite skilled when it comes to winning fouls. Joao Pedro has won 42 fouls across his 25 Premier League appearances this season (2.10 per 90) and will cause Soumare and Ndidi plenty of problems, which should force Soumare into committing a foul or two.

Nottingham Forest v Everton

Premier League

14:00

James Tarkowski to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄

Tarkowski has committed 34 fouls across his 31 Premier League appearances for Everton this season (1.10 per 90). The centre back is very aggressive, as we’ve seen in recent performances against Arsenal and Liverpool. He was very fortunate not to be sent off in the Merseyside Derby after a reckless challenge on Alexis Mac Allister.

Tarkowski committed two fouls and picked up a yellow card in the initial meeting between the sides, as did his centre-back partner in Jarrad Branthwaite. The pair struggled to deal with the speed of the Forest attack in moments of transition and had to make tactical fouls to ensure that Forest could not move the ball forward quickly. 

It’s likely that the pair struggle again with that aspect of the game here. Forest are still without Chris Wood which could mean that Tarkowski and Branthwaite face up against a more dynamic attacking line, which could see the quick and direct Anthony Elanga spearheading the hosts' attack.

Arsenal v Brentford

Premier League

16:30

Jakub Kiwior to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄

Kiwior has had to step in following a season-ending injury suffered by Gabriel, and with Ricardo Calafiori also absent, the young Polish centre back is the only option for Mikel Arteta at left centre back at the moment.

Kiwior played well and committed a foul in Arsenal’s 3-0 win over Real Madrid during the week and will have a tough task in managing Wissa here. He also committed a foul at Goodison Park in his first league start since Gabriel picked up his injury.

Kiwior is averaging 1.11 fouls committed per 90 across his 10 Premier League appearances this season. Yoane Wissa has won 42 fouls across his 28 Premier League appearances this season (1.64 per 90) and is likely to attach himself to Kiwior, seeing as he is the most vulnerable member of the Arsenal backline.

Arsenal v Brentford

Premier League

16:30

Christian Norgaard to be Fouled 1+ Times 🔄

Norgaard has won 25 fouls across his 27 Premier League appearances this season (1.02 per 90). He sits right at the base of Brentford’s stubborn midfield, which can be difficult for the opposition to break down. Norgaard is intelligent when it comes to winning fouls, he understands that his team can be put under constant pressure and relieving it by drawing a foul is invaluable.

Arsenal are averaging 11.3 fouls committed per game in the Premier League, which is higher than Brentford’s 8.6 fouls committed per game - only Man City (7.6) are committing fewer fouls per game than the Bees. Arsenal committed eight fouls in the initial meeting between the sides at the Gtech Community Stadium, Norgaard didn’t draw a foul on that occasion but is likely to live up to his season average here with his ability to win fouls to lift the pressure off of his side, who are likely to be regularly pegged back.

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