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Saturday's 47/1 Premier League Fouls Predictions

Saturday's 47/1 Premier League Fouls Predictions

Monday 29 September, 20255 min read
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Oli Nixon

Oli is a tipster with a reputation for nailing the props and goalscorer markets in football. He writes for a wide range of companies and hosts a weekly show ‘The Propcast’ as well as tipping for AMOK Betting.

Six games into the Premier League season, the pressure is beginning to ramp up and as games start to become more important, the weight of expectations can take its toll on players and the end result is plenty of foul play.

Fortunately, we can take advantage by backing them for infringements this weekend.

The Best Accumulator Bookmakers are worth a browse if you're having a punt on this week's Champions League fixtures.


Saturday's 47/1 Premier League Player Fouls Predictions

Fixtures for: Saturday 4th October

Leeds v Tottenham

Premier League

12:30

Mohammed Kudus to Commit 2+ Fouls @ 2.75

Six fouls in his last two Premier League matches mean that Mohammed Kudus has now averaged 1.92 fouls per 90 in starts across all competitions for his new club. The winger isn’t known for his defensive contributions and has found himself attracting the attention of the officials regularly with late challenges, landing this bet in three of his last four games.

Up against Kudus will be Leeds left back Gabriel Gudmundsson, who has drawn 1.19 fouls per 90 this season. He was fouled 2.12 times per game in Ligue 1 action last season, and so is clearly adept at drawing contact from his opposition. Given that Kudus is no stranger to a poorly timed challenge, he looks a nice price for two more fouls.

Arsenal v West Ham

Premier League

15:00

Declan Rice to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.80

Declan Rice has been getting stuck in this season, making at least one foul in all six of his starts, at an average of 1.14 per 90. The England midfielder seems to be getting through more defensive work when partnered with Martin Zubimendi, and the added edge of this being against his former club, where he’ll be desperate to perform, make a foul even more likely.

In the middle of the park, Rice is likely to be up against Lucas Paqueta, Mateus Fernandes and Soungoutou Magassa, and with that trio having drawn 5.8 fouls per 90 between them last season, he could be in for a busy afternoon. He’s made fouls in two of his four games against his old club and given his fouling form this season and the opposition, this looks a good opportunity to take advantage of.

Arsenal v West Ham

Premier League

15:00

El Hadji Diouf to Commit 2+ Fouls @ 2.37

Another player who looks to be in for a tough time at the Emirates is Hammers left back El Hadji Diouf, who will be tasked with containing Bukayo Saka. The Senegalese international was up against a similarly tricky opponent in Iliman Ndiaye on Monday night, and was forced into three infringements - we can expect another foul-laden performance against Saka.

Arsenal’s number seven has consistently been one of the most fouled players in the Premier League across his career, and despite missing much of this season through injury, he’s still drawn 2.09 fouls per 90. Three of the last four left backs to face the Gunners have made at least two fouls, and this looks a mouthwatering contest which should be full of fouls.

Man United v Sunderland

Premier League

15:00

Chemsdine Talbi to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 2.25

A regular angle of attack when backing player fouls is to take on the direct opponent of Man United wing back Patrick Dorgu, who has drawn 3.12 fouls per 90 this season. The Dane’s agility and speed make him incredibly different to oppose, as Bournemouth winger Dango Ouattara found last weekend when he made three fouls against him.

Sunderland’s right winger all season has been new signing Chemsdine Talbi, who has so far made just one foul in Premier League action. However, the Moroccan was more prolific for fouls in his spell in Belgium, and we have to take the price on offer given his opponent in this game.

Chelsea v Liverpool

Premier League

17:30

Moises Caicedo to Commit 2+ Fouls @ 1.83

A player who is no stranger to the sound of the referee’s whistle is Chelsea midfielder Moises Caicedo, who has a career average of 1.5 fouls per game. He’s not been as prolific in this campaign as he was last season when he made 1.88 fouls per 90, however, his record of eight fouls in four games against Liverpool for Chelsea shows that he’ll have a difficult evening on Saturday.

Caicedo will be directly opposing Liverpool’s midfield trio of Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister and Florian Wirtz, who have drawn 4.06 fouls per 90 between them this season. Five of the last six defensive midfielders to come up against the Reds have made at least two fouls and with Caicedo’s reputation, he looks likely to add his name to that list.

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Fouls Acca FAQs

What is a Fouls accumulator?

An accumulator (acca) is a single bet that links together multiple Fouls selections. All selections must win for the bet to payout, whether it be a player to foul or a player to be fouled.

An accumulator, often called an ‘acca’, combines four or more separate bets into one wager. These bets can include match results (win, draw, or loss), both teams to score, over/under goals, or specific player props from different matches.

The Fouls market is often equipped with a bookmaker's substitute feature, meaning certain bookmakers will allow your bet to stay alive even if your selected player is subbed off.

To win an accumulator, every selection must be correct; if even one bet fails, the entire wager is lost. Because of this higher risk, accumulators offer much larger potential payouts than single bets. The odds of each selection are multiplied together, creating a combined total that can lead to substantial returns.

Who selects Fouls accumulator tips?

Our Fouls accumulator tips are put together by our resident player props expert, Oli Nixon.

Oli Nixon

Oli brings valuable experience from hosting his own betting podcast and writing for several well-known football tipping sites. In the past two years, he’s placed 2,200 bets and achieved a profit of over 200 units, delivering a 12% return on investment (ROI).

How many legs should I include in my acca?

Like other accas, Fouls accumulators are no different. A betslip must include a minimum of four selections from different matches. Three selections make up a treble, while two are known as a double.

For those new to accas, it’s wise to start modestly. You don’t need a 10-leg accumulator to enjoy betting or see returns. Focus on strong, well-researched picks, be mindful of the odds, and avoid chasing unlikely outcomes just for a potential jackpot. Successful accumulators are built on balance, not just big wins.

What is the best bookmaker for a Fouls accumulator?

As previously mentioned, many of the top-tier bookmakers offer a substitute feature. Paddy Power offer ‘Super Sub’, bet365 offer ‘Sub On’, and Betfair offer ‘Sub On Play On’.

This means that even if a player is substituted, the bet is still alive with the player subbed on. This can apply to not just 1+ fouls markets, but 2+, and 3+ as well.

What are the best bookmaker promotions for Fouls accumulators?

As noted earlier, several leading bookmakers provide a substitute feature to keep your bet in play. For example, Paddy Power offers ‘Super Sub’, bet365 has ‘Sub On’, and Betfair features ‘Sub On Play On’.

With these tools, your bet remains valid even if your selected player is substituted; your stake simply transfers to the incoming sub. This applies not just to 1+ fouls markets, but also extends to 2+ and 3+ fouls, giving you broader coverage and a better shot at a return.

When should I cash out an accumulator?

There’s no definitive right or wrong moment to cash out an accumulator. If the offer on the table looks appealing and you're happy with the return, it can be a smart move to take it. Locking in a profit is often the wisest choice.

At the end of the day, betting should always be approached with responsibility and a clear head. Sensible decisions are key to enjoying it safely.

Can I build Fouls accas using same-game markets?

Fouls accumulators are often built using same-game markets. Most bookmakers offer a wide variety of players in both the foul and to be fouled markets to add to your Fouls acca. Users can also mix up the selections across a number of games. These are usually fun to track during Champions League gameweeks when there are sometimes 20+ games all kicking off at the same time.

How often do your accas win?

The chances of an accumulator winning largely depend on the combined odds. For instance, if an acca is priced at 10.0, it implies a win roughly once in every ten tries.

Our goal is always to finish each week in profit across all the accumulators we feature on the site.

Can I get notified when the next acca goes live?

We publish weekly content focused on the latest Fouls markets and accumulators, and the best way to stay updated is by subscribing to Andy’s Bet Club Weekly Newsletter.

Delivered by email at least once a week, it highlights the best betting offers and free fouls-related tips available on the site.

What happens if one leg loses – is there acca insurance?

In most cases, all your selections need to win for the accumulator to pay out. However, some bookmakers occasionally run promotions that offer a safety net, often in the form of a cash refund if your acca narrowly misses.

Do I need a specific bookmaker to use your acca?

You can use any bookmaker, but the likes of Paddy Power, bet365, and Betfair offer substitute features to keep your bet alive.

For instance, Paddy Power’s ‘Super Sub’, bet365’s ‘Sub On’, and Betfair’s ‘Sub On Play On’ are all features designed to keep your bet alive, even if your chosen player is subbed off. In these cases, the bet shifts to the player coming on.

This doesn’t just apply to 1+ foul markets, it also covers 2+ and 3+ fouls, offering wider protection and increasing your chances of a successful outcome.