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Saturday's 14/1 Premier League Fouls Predictions

Saturday's 14/1 Premier League Fouls Predictions

Friday 7 November, 20256 min read
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Oli Nixon

Oli is a tipster with a reputation for nailing the props and goalscorer markets in football. He writes for a wide range of companies and hosts a weekly show ‘The Propcast’ as well as tipping for AMOK Betting.

Here are my five best player foul tips across Saturday's Premier League slate.

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Saturday's Premier League Fouls Tips

Fixtures for: Saturday 22nd November

Bournemouth v West Ham

Premier League

15:00

Crysencio Summerville to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.36

As he was part of our winning acca last time out, it would be rude not to back Crysencio Summerville again, especially as he has now committed eight fouls in his last five games under his new boss, landing this bet in all of those. Nuno Espirito Santo appears to have demanded more physicality from the winger and as it is not something which comes naturally to Summerville, he’s making plenty of errors. 

Down the same side as Summerville for Bournemouth will be Antoine Semenyo and Alex Jimenez who have drawn 1.91 fouls per 90 between them this season. Jimenez is happy to get forward from full back and will need to be tracked by the Hammers midfielder and with his recent data, at least one foul looks likely.

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest

Premier League

15:00

Andy Robertson to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.66

After celebrating Scotland’s first World Cup qualification since 1998 in midweek, we can expect Andrew Robertson to have a slightly sore head on Saturday. The left back has committed 0.96 infringements per 90 across all competitions this season, and added a further two for his country on Tuesday, so is in decent fouling form. 

Robertson will face the difficult task of shackling Dan Ndoye who, having been fouled 4.23 times per 90 in Serie A last season, had been struggling to re-produce those numbers in England.

However, the Swiss winger appears to have been re-energised by Sean Dyche, and has drawn 1.67 per 90 under his new boss, with his opposition left back making at least one foul in each of Forest’s last 11 games, Robertson will do well to avoid bringing him down.

Brighton v Brentford

Premier League

15:00

Lewis Dunk to be Fouled 1+ Times @ 2.25

Another angle that has been profitable for us in recent weeks has been backing defenders against Brentford to be fouled. The Bees front line of Igor Thiago, Dango Ouattara and Kevin Schade have now committed 5.99 fouls per 90 between them, with the majority being as part of a high press, and therefore on opposition defenders. Across Brentford’s last six games in all competitions, opposing centre backs have been brought down 16 times, and so it makes sense to target a Brighton player in that role.

Lewis Dunk is a mainstay in the Seagulls’ backline and whilst he’s only drawn three offences all season, his average of 0.5 per 90 during the last campaign is more promising. As the stronger centre back aerially, Dunk will be tasked with containing Thiago who loves a clumsy duel in the air and with such consistent numbers for centre backs against Brentford, we have to take this price.

Wolves v Crystal Palace

Premier League

15:00

Jorgen Strand Larsen to be Fouled 1+ Times @ 1.66

Usually associated with offences of his own, Wolves forward Jorgen Larsen has been fouled 0.89 times per 90 this season, and has drawn at least one foul in six of his eight league starts. New manager Rob Edwards will demand plenty of physical work from the Norwegian, and he’ll no doubt relish the constant physical duels.

Up against Larsen will be Palace’s defensive trio of Maxence Lacroix, Chris Richards and Jaydee Canvot, with Marc Guehi likely to miss out with injury. That trio have committed over three offences per 90 between them across all competitions this season, and so will be happy to mix it physically with Larsen, in what looks to be an intriguing battle.

Newcastle v Man City

Premier League

17:30

Nico Gonzalez to be Fouled 1+ Times @ 1.72

Gonzalez is a player who has been good to us in recent weeks. The Spaniard appears to have settled into his role in Pep Guardiola’s set-up and has drawn five fouls across his last three domestic starts. He’s averaging 88 touches of the ball per game and so will get plenty of attention from Newcastle’s combative midfield, and should be able to draw late contact at least once.

In that Newcastle midfield will be Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes and Joelinton, who average 4.52 fouls per 90 between them, and so there should be lots of opportunities for Gonzalez to go down. Across the Magpies last six matches in all competitions, opposition central midfielders have been fouled 16 times, so it’s clearly an area of the pitch where we can expect plenty of infringements.

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Load bet @ 14.72
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Fouls Acca FAQs

What is a Fouls accumulator?

An accumulator (acca) is a single bet that links together multiple Fouls selections. All selections must win for the bet to payout, whether it be a player to foul or a player to be fouled.

An accumulator, often called an ‘acca’, combines four or more separate bets into one wager. These bets can include match results (win, draw, or loss), both teams to score, over/under goals, or specific player props from different matches.

The Fouls market is often equipped with a bookmaker's substitute feature, meaning certain bookmakers will allow your bet to stay alive even if your selected player is subbed off.

To win an accumulator, every selection must be correct; if even one bet fails, the entire wager is lost. Because of this higher risk, accumulators offer much larger potential payouts than single bets. The odds of each selection are multiplied together, creating a combined total that can lead to substantial returns.

Who selects Fouls accumulator tips?

Our Fouls accumulator tips are put together by our resident player props expert, Oli Nixon.

Oli Nixon

Oli brings valuable experience from hosting his own betting podcast and writing for several well-known football tipping sites. In the past two years, he’s placed 2,200 bets and achieved a profit of over 200 units, delivering a 12% return on investment (ROI).

How many legs should I include in my acca?

Like other accas, Fouls accumulators are no different. A betslip must include a minimum of four selections from different matches. Three selections make up a treble, while two are known as a double.

For those new to accas, it’s wise to start modestly. You don’t need a 10-leg accumulator to enjoy betting or see returns. Focus on strong, well-researched picks, be mindful of the odds, and avoid chasing unlikely outcomes just for a potential jackpot. Successful accumulators are built on balance, not just big wins.

What is the best bookmaker for a Fouls accumulator?

As previously mentioned, many of the top-tier bookmakers offer a substitute feature. Paddy Power offer ‘Super Sub’, bet365 offer ‘Sub On’, and Betfair offer ‘Sub On Play On’.

This means that even if a player is substituted, the bet is still alive with the player subbed on. This can apply to not just 1+ fouls markets, but 2+, and 3+ as well.

What are the best bookmaker promotions for Fouls accumulators?

As noted earlier, several leading bookmakers provide a substitute feature to keep your bet in play. For example, Paddy Power offers ‘Super Sub’, bet365 has ‘Sub On’, and Betfair features ‘Sub On Play On’.

With these tools, your bet remains valid even if your selected player is substituted; your stake simply transfers to the incoming sub. This applies not just to 1+ fouls markets, but also extends to 2+ and 3+ fouls, giving you broader coverage and a better shot at a return.

When should I cash out an accumulator?

There’s no definitive right or wrong moment to cash out an accumulator. If the offer on the table looks appealing and you're happy with the return, it can be a smart move to take it. Locking in a profit is often the wisest choice.

At the end of the day, betting should always be approached with responsibility and a clear head. Sensible decisions are key to enjoying it safely.

Can I build Fouls accas using same-game markets?

Fouls accumulators are often built using same-game markets. Most bookmakers offer a wide variety of players in both the foul and to be fouled markets to add to your Fouls acca. Users can also mix up the selections across a number of games. These are usually fun to track during Champions League gameweeks when there are sometimes 20+ games all kicking off at the same time.

How often do your accas win?

The chances of an accumulator winning largely depend on the combined odds. For instance, if an acca is priced at 10.0, it implies a win roughly once in every ten tries.

Our goal is always to finish each week in profit across all the accumulators we feature on the site.

Can I get notified when the next acca goes live?

We publish weekly content focused on the latest Fouls markets and accumulators, and the best way to stay updated is by subscribing to Andy’s Bet Club Weekly Newsletter.

Delivered by email at least once a week, it highlights the best betting offers and free fouls-related tips available on the site.

What happens if one leg loses – is there acca insurance?

In most cases, all your selections need to win for the accumulator to pay out. However, some bookmakers occasionally run promotions that offer a safety net, often in the form of a cash refund if your acca narrowly misses.

Do I need a specific bookmaker to use your acca?

You can use any bookmaker, but the likes of Paddy Power, bet365, and Betfair offer substitute features to keep your bet alive.

For instance, Paddy Power’s ‘Super Sub’, bet365’s ‘Sub On’, and Betfair’s ‘Sub On Play On’ are all features designed to keep your bet alive, even if your chosen player is subbed off. In these cases, the bet shifts to the player coming on.

This doesn’t just apply to 1+ foul markets, it also covers 2+ and 3+ fouls, offering wider protection and increasing your chances of a successful outcome.