Saturday's 7/1 Premier League Player Fouls Won/Committed Predictions

Saturday's 7/1 Premier League Player Fouls Won/Committed Predictions

Thursday 1 May, 20251 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid writer, football enjoyer and Mourinho fan boy. My speciality is the Premier League but I’ll watch football wherever it’s on. Made over 430+ points of profit during the 23/24 football season and the EUROs.

Our expert has assembled a fouls five-fold for you to track across four of this Saturday's Premier League fixtures. The acca returns £85 from a £10 stake if it lands.

Saturday's Premier League Player Fouls Tips

Fixtures for: Saturday 3rd May

Aston Villa v Fulham

11:30

Calvin Bassey to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄

Calvin Bassey has committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League games. The centre back can be quite aggressive and also like to step forward with the ball at times, with Fulham being quite strong down their left-hand side, with Bassey supported by Robinson at fullback and Iwobi further up the pitch. 

Bassey was shown a yellow card in the initial meeting between these sides in which Aston Villa ran out 3-1 winners. Fulham committed eight fouls on that occasion but that should be set to rise here considering that they are away from home and are facing a Villa side that are one of the most fouled teams in the Premier League.

His direct opponent is likely to be Ollie Watkins, who was fouled once in the initial meeting between these sides and is averaging 1.15 fouls won per 90 across his 34 appearances in the Premier League this season. 

Aston Villa v Fulham

11:30

John McGinn to be Fouled 2+ Times 🔄

McGinn is an expert when it comes to drawing fouls, he’s won 63 fouls across his 30 Premier League appearances for Aston Villa this season (2.84 per 90). Such standout numbers across a sample size as large as this is really impressive and suggests that McGinn finds himself in plenty of battles over the course of the 90 minutes. 

McGinn is likely to face up against Sasa Lukic who commits fouls with the same frequency as McGinn wins them. Lukic has committed 58 fouls across his 27 Premier League appearances this season (2.50 per 90) which is an average that compliments McGinn’s positive fouls won record in the Premier League this season.

McGinn has been fouled in each of his last five Premier League games, and his opponent here gives this trend a good chance of continuing with what should be a fierce midfield battle between two sides vying for a place in Europe next season. 

Leicester v Southampton

14:00

Boubakary Soumare to be Fouled 1+ Times 🔄

Soumare has been fouled in each of his last five Premier League games. He’s won 21 fouls across his 27 appearances in the Premier League this season (0.97 per 90), and this recent increase suggests that he’s in a good position to be hauled down at the King Power Stadium. 

Southampton committed 10 fouls and were shown a red card in the initial meeting between these sides, which ended in a 3-2 Leicester victory. Soumare didn’t feature in that game, but Oliver Skipp, who started in his place, was hauled to the ground on two occasions in just 45 minutes of action. 

Soumare is likely to face up against Flynn Downes, who has been restored to the Saints side after some disagreements with the previous managers. Downes is averaging 2.26 fouls committed per 90 in the Premier League this season and committed two fouls in the initial meeting between the sides.

Leicester v Southampton

14:00

Taylor Harwood-Bellis to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄

Harwood-Bellis has committed 32 fouls across his 31 Premier League appearances this season, 29 of these have been starts, taking his average to 1.12 fouls committed per 90. 

He’s lived up to this average in recent weeks, having committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League matches. Harwood-Bellis plays on the right side of a back three for Southampton, which means he’s likely to challenge duels against Bobby Reid, who is averaging 1.09 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season. 

Harwood-Bellis was shown a yellow card in the initial meeting between these sides at St Mary’s earlier in the season and has been prone to frustration, as has the entire Southampton side, which could aid him in committing a foul at the King Power Stadium.

Arsenal v Bournemouth

16:30

Tyler Adams to Commit 2+ Fouls 🔄

Adams has committed 2+ fouls in four of his last five Premier League matches. He was fortunate to avoid a red card last time out against Manchester United after what was quite a reckless challenge, which sums up Adams’ instructions when Bournemouth are without the ball. 

Bournemouth are averaging 13.5 fouls committed per game in the Premier League this season - no side is committing more fouls per game than the Cherries in the top flight this season. Bournemouth committed 12 fouls in the initial meeting between these sides, despite having an extra man for the majority of the encounter. Adams didn’t feature in that game but could be in line to carry on this pattern at the Emirates, given his recent record. 

Adams is averaging 2.28 fouls committed per 90 in the Premier League this season, so we’re looking for him to match his average foul rate in the competition against an Arsenal side that drew 12 fouls from Bournemouth with 10 men in the initial meeting between the sides.

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