💎 Gem Bet: Mbeumo 1+ Shot On Target @ 1.67 (PaddyPower)

Bryan Mbeumo has had 33 shots on target across his 30 Premier League appearances this season (1.10 per 90) which is a record that has returned 16 goals for the 25 year old with his most recent coming during the week against Newcastle from the penalty spot - a game in which he had three shots in total.

Mbeumo has made a habit of turning up against the traditional big six sides, especially the London clubs. He’s already scored against Arsenal and Chelsea in the Premier League this season as well as finding the target against City, Liverpool and Tottenham. Brentford have scored plenty of goals at home this season, notching 30 across their 15 games at the Gtech Community Stadium this season (2.0 per game). Only City and Liverpool have scored more goals at home than the Bees this campaign.

Mbeumo had two shots on target in Brentford’s 2-1 defeat to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge earlier in the season in which Mbeumo scored a late consolation. Chelsea may have come away 1-0 winners against Tottenham during the week but looked disorganised on a few occasions at the back, something that will be exploited by the dangerous pairing of Wissa and Mbuemo here. 

This same selection is as low as 1.3 on some bookmakers making the 1.67 offered here a decent price when considering Mbeumo’s shot record this season and his tendency to save his best performances for the traditional top six sides.