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Chelsea v Brighton
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Kick Off: Sunday 3rd December at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
We’re taking a deep dive into what promises to be a goal-laden affair as Chelsea host Brighton in one of four early kick-offs on Sunday. The weekend only begins here though, with bet builder predictions and a Premier League double to help you navigate the best bets on this Super Sunday.
It is not just Premier League football we have covered, with the site packed full of football tips and the very best expert betting predictions from all of Europe’s top leagues and beyond. That’s not all either, with a collection of free bets and new bookmaker offers for you to dive into, Andy’s Bet Club is always here to help you find the very best value.
This weekend has plenty of Premier League action on Sunday, with four games kicking off at 2pm. Perhaps the most exciting one for neutrals will be Chelsea v Brighton, if any of their previous clashes are anything to go by. In both Premier League games where these two faced off last season, there were at least:
- 3 goals scored.
- 10 corners awarded.
- 34 shots taken.
- 12 shots on target.
- 22 fouls committed.
If you were unsure what game to turn to for betting value, look no further than this one.
Chelsea will be hoping for redemption after last week’s underwhelming performance against Newcastle. Prior to this The Blues put in two great performances, drawing 4-4 against City, in what was perhaps the best game of the season, and won 4-1 away at Spurs.
Brighton, despite starting the season well, have had a poor run of form in the Premier League. The Seagulls have only won one game in their last seven. However they will be in high spirits after last weekend’s away win to Forest, holding on with 10 men for the last 20 minutes of play.
This article aims to help you better digest all the stats and key matchups behind this game with the use of the Chelsea v Brighton Cheat Sheet. If you like the sound of any of our predictions, why not consider adding them into your Chelsea v Brighton Bet Builder?
Chelsea v Brighton Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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You can find Chelsea v Brighton match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚽ Goals stats: Brighton have one of the weakest defensive records in the league
Brighton are one of four teams to have not kept a clean sheet in the Premier League this season, alongside the three newly promoted sides. For a team who are currently sat in 8th position on the table this is comes as a shock, but is also great from a betting perspective as it means they have seen the most match goals of any team in the league (51).
This puts them in a particularly bad position for this game as, although they are ranked 10th, Chelsea have the third highest expected goals in the league (26.23 xG), also creating the 3rd most “big chances” according to Opta (40).
Brighton have almost been as strong up top as they have been weak in defence, scoring the joint 4th highest goals in the league (28), and taking the second highest number of shots on target (77). Last time they played Chelsea away from home in the league, The Seagulls managed 10 shots on target and scored twice.
All of these stats mean that the both teams to score and over 2.5 goals markets look to be great additions into your Chelsea v Brighton Bet Builders.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.50
⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.50
🎯 Shooting stats: Palmer can dominate Brighton’s weak defence
Despite only recently making it into Chelsea’s regular starting XI, Cole Palmer has been one of Chelsea’s best assets this season. He has six goal contributions, The Blues’ joint highest, in just seven starts. He is also on penalties, increasing the chance of him registering an attacking return.
Last week was the first game Palmer was not able to create anything for Chelsea, mainly due to Newcastle’s rock-solid defence. He is expected to have a lot more space against Brighton, as both their first and second choice left-backs are due to be absent with injuries (Pervis Estupinan and Tariq Lamptey). Therefore, he is likely to be facing an out of position Pascal Gross, making him a serious threat.
Predictions:
🎯 Cole Palmer to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.40
🎯 Cole Palmer to have 2+ shots on target @ 2.88
⚽ Cole Palmer to score anytime @ 2.25
🛑 Cards and Fouls stats: An out of position left-back to be exploited & Chelsea’s poor disciplinary record
Following our last angle on Palmer being likely to pose a threat to Brighton’s left-side, there is value in Gross fouls / booking. Gross has committed an average of 0.95 fouls per game this season, but looking at just the games where he has been forced to left-back, this average jumps to 2.30.
Palmer has proven himself to be a tricky customer, winning an average of 1.16 fouls per game. He has drawn five fouls over his last four games, interestingly two of which were challenges that resulted in a booking for the opposition.
Chelsea have picked up 44 yellow cards this season, placing them at the top of the rankings with an average of 3.69 cards per game. Alongside this, they rank 3rd in terms of average fouls per match (12.3). In fact, Chelsea have seen more bookings than their opponents in their last three Premier League games, with an average of 17 fouls committed across these. They are clearly in a vein of high-fouling form.
Brighton average high numbers of cards and fouls drawn, 3.23 and 13.54 respectively, meaning The Blues are likely to continue their aggressive discipline record on Sunday. Further the referee, Craig Pawson, has been averaging 4.29 yellow cards per game, ranking him amongst the harsher referees in the league.
In both Premier League games they played last season, Chelsea had at least two bookings. For them to do repeat history in this one they are priced at 1/6. For them to have three bookings, and match their average this season, they are priced at 7/10. Both represent good picks to add value to your bet builders.
However the market with the best value, given Chelsea’s poor disciplinary form, is in the “Team To Receive The Most Cards” line, where you can back Chelsea for 6/5.
Predictions:
🛑 Pascal Groß to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.44
🟨 Pascal Groß to be shown a card @ 4.0
🟨 Chelsea to receive the most cards @ 2.20
🟨 Over 2.5 Chelsea cards @ 1.70
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
18+ please gamble responsibly.
