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Chelsea v Tottenham

Below is a full betting preview ahead of this week’s Thursday kick-off between Chelsea and Tottenham, accompanied by betting tips, predictions, team news, and best bets as well as a Cheat Sheet covering the proceedings.

We will have all the best football tips and predictions for the upcoming games and we’ll be covering our usual Premier League betting tips and Premier League accumulator predictions on Andy’s Bet Club.

It’s not just the Premier League we cover, you can also see our both teams to score acca tips covering a range of leagues and our player shots on target tips covering just the player markets.

London rivals Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur meet in the “Mauricio Pochettino Derby” on Thursday evening in what is already shaping up to be a chaotic evening at Stamford Bridge.

The inconsistent Blues need to gather more points between now and the end of May to avoid finishing in the division’s bottom half in Pochettino’s maiden campaign at the club and they will need to hit top gear to topple Spurs in the capital.

Tottenham are seven points behind Aston Villa in the race to secure fourth place in the Premier League, however, Thursday’s fixture at Chelsea is one of the two games in hand Spurs have over their Champions League qualification rivals.

Chelsea v Tottenham Best Bets

➡️ Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals @ 1.38 with Paddy Power
➡️ Over 2.5 Chelsea cards @ 1.73 with Paddy Power

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📂 Chelsea v Tottenham Cheat Sheet

There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets to look for player fouls won stats or any other markets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.

You can find Chelsea v Tottenham match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.

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⚔️ Chelsea v Tottenham Head-to-Head

The reverse meeting between Chelsea and Tottenham in North London on November 6^th was one of the most unusual contests of the 2023/24 Premier League campaign. 

Spurs took an early 6^th-minute lead through a deflected Dejan Kulusevski effort, though a 33^rd-minute red card for Tottenham defender Cristian Romero and the subsequent penalty he conceded, completely changed the complexion of the game.

Tottenham were reduced to nine men early in the second half when Destiny Udogie picked up a second yellow card, however, despite their two-player handicap, Spurs continued to play an adventurous high defensive line and were ultimately picked off, with Nicolas Jackson helping himself to a hat-trick inside the game’s last 15 minutes.

While it’s difficult to extract viable takeaways from such a strange encounter, it’s safe to assume that both Pochettino and his counterpart Ange Postecoglou will be just as committed to attacking football in Thursday’s rematch.

Postecoglou will also be keen to reverse a pattern of poor results for Spurs at Stamford Bridge. Tottenham failed to win on each of their last seven visits to Chelsea’s home, indeed, their last triumph at that venue came under the management of Mauricio Pochettino in April 2018 (3-1).

This week’s derby should also keep referee Robert Jones busy. November’s clash between Tottenham and Chelsea featured a whopping ten cards, 42 tackles and 33 fouls.

Indeed, November’s tempestuous tussle was the most card-laden meeting between the clubs since the infamous “Battle of the Bridge” back in May 2016 when the warring sides earned 12 cards. Pochettino was also in the Spurs hotseat on that occasion.

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📊 Chelsea Form and Stats

Chelsea battled their way back from two goals down to earn a share of the spoils at Aston Villa in their last assignment, and though they were denied a dramatic winner by a late VAR intervention deep into injury time, the manner of their comeback at Villa Park was cause for optimism.

Just four days before that, the Blues were dismantled 5-0 by title-chasing Arsenal and Chelsea’s performance and results have been flying from one end of the spectrum to the other for most of the campaign.

While it has been difficult to forecast the outcome of Chelsea’s Premier League fixtures, their matches do usually come with a guarantee of entertainment and 11 of their last 12 games in the division have featured over 2.5 goals, with an average of 4.66 goals hitting the net per 90 minutes across the same contests.

Chelsea have been both scoring and missing plenty of big chances this term, in fact, only four clubs have registered a higher xGF (63.90) for the campaign. Striker Nicolas Jackson has been spurning plenty of opportunities of late and only four Premier League players have a worse xG differential than the 22-year-old (-5.18).

The Blues have failed to win eight of their last 12 Premier League fixtures, though they have collected 22 of the last 27 points on offer at Stamford Bridge thanks to a haul of seven wins, one draw and one defeat from their last nine outings there.

Cole Palmer has been the architect of most of Chelsea’s positive work this year and the 21-year-old former Man City starlet has provided 15 goal contributions (11G, 4A) in his last nine appearances in league and cup. Red-hot Palmer also racked up 19 shots on target during the same period.

Chelsea have lacked discipline this season and they have been statistically the Premier League’s worst-behaved outfit, picking up a mammoth 97 yellows and three red cards so far, which works out as an average of 3.03 per game.

The Blues are on course to set a new record for the most yellow cards collected in a single Premier League season, with Leeds (101, 2021/22) the current holders of that undesired accolade.

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📊 Tottenham Form and Stats

Despite being the better side for a good chunk of the contest, Tottenham lost a five-goal thriller against Arsenal in the North London Derby last weekend (2-3), though they showed plenty of grit to drag themselves back into contention having gone into the break three down.

Spurs’ defeat to Arsenal followed relatively hot on the heels of a heavy 4-0 loss at Newcastle, and with only five matches of the season left to contest, those back-to-back setbacks might have scuppered Tottenham’s hopes of finishing in the top four.

Ange Postecoglou’s first season in charge of the Lilywhites still has a positive edge, however, results on the road have regressed since November and Tottenham have managed to win only two of their last ten away tests in the division.

Postecoglou’s gung-ho tactics have made Tottenham an attractive watch for neutrals, however, Spurs are a bottom-half team for xGA (53.90), while some models suggest they have collected as much as nine points more than they should have (xPTS -9.77).

Tottenham’s league fixtures have been averaging 3.61 goals per 90 this season and only three clubs’ matches (including Chelsea – 3.70) have seen more goalmouth action. 

Only five teams have been conceding more corners than Spurs (6.15) and in their last five away games alone, Tottenham lost the corner battle four times, conceding 44 corners in total along the way.

16 different Tottenham players have scored in the Premier League this season, though the talismanic Heung-min Son remains their most potent goalscoring threat (16), with Richarlison next in line (10).

The Brazilian has been averaging either a goal or an assist every 107.7 minutes of Premier League action in 2023/24.

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💰 Chelsea v Tottenham Best Bets 

With both Chelsea and Tottenham troubled by inconsistency of late, a plunge into the goals markets could be a more worthwhile pursuit on Thursday and over 2.5 goals and both teams to score is 1.38 with Paddy Power.

A similar bet in that direction would have hit the mark in nine of Chelsea’s last 12 and in 12 of Tottenham’s last 16 Premier League fixtures, while both teams got in on the act when the Blues beat their London rivals 4-1 back in November.

Elsewhere, Chelsea – who could be record card collectors by the end of the campaign – have merit in the over 2.5 team cards market at 1.73 with Paddy Power. The Blues, who could play with heightened aggression against the backdrop of a derby atmosphere, picked up five yellow cards when they visited Spurs before Christmas and they’ve been averaging 2.81 cards per home game this term.  

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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18+ please gamble responsibly.

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