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Chesterfield v Notts County
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Kick Off: Saturday 12th October at 12:30
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Competition: League Two
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Chesterfield have enjoyed a solid but unspectacular start to life back in League Two after winning the National League title last season. The Spireites currently sit in mid-table and come up against a Notts County outfit in possession of a play-off position ten matches in.
The away side also came out of the National League the season before last and achieved a top-half finish in 2023/24. Although seven places currently separate the two in the standings, both have lost exactly two league matches each. However, the two teams have also netted 17 league goals, meaning goals may be on the cards this weekend.
⭐ Chesterfield v Notts County Best Bets
The likelihood of goals in this encounter appears an obvious call. The fact both are ranked joint second-highest scorers in League Two reflects this. The pair also sit inside the league top-four for xGF, so they know how to create big chances.
Chesterfield and Notts County are averaging 1.70 league goals in this campaign, proving their clinical instinct in front of goal, too. Both teams to score has featured in every Chesterfield home match in all competitions this season. As for County, five of their seven on the road in all competitions has also done so.
🔍 Chesterfield v Notts County Players to Watch
⚫️ Alassana Jatta
The 25-year-old striker hasn’t had it all easy since joining the club due to injury issues, however he has proved with a run of games he can score goals. Across his 16 league appearances for County (nine of which were starts), Alassana Jatta has returned nine goals. This works out as an average of 0.81 goals per match.
Focusing purely on 2024/25 in all competitions, the former Viborg frontman has five goals over seven appearances. These have come over the space of a few months, and having started the last two league clashes, including one goal scored, he should only improve the more he plays. His fitness should be getting better and better, which makes him a big threat to Chesterfield on Saturday.
Jatta is also one of four players in Stuart Maynard’s squad to have scored three or more league goals in this campaign. Within this foursome includes Jodi Jones, who is out with a broken leg, and veteran David McGoldrick, who has missed the last three with injury. Therefore, there is a real need for Jatta to turn up and deliver here, knowing his team are likely missing two key offensive players once more.
📂 Chesterfield v Notts County Cheat Sheet
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💻 Chesterfield v Notts County Form and Tactics
Chesterfield are one of only three teams in League Two to have an average ball possession of over 60%. They are an effective pressing team as well given their PPDA stands at 8.34, with only two other clubs having a smaller figure. The club average 10.29 shots in league action, of which 33.3% on average work the opposition goalkeeper.
Paul Cook’s side are at least effective at winning dead ball situations as their average of 5.33 corners earned is ranked only second to Tranmere. The Spireites also concede the fewest corners in the division with an average of 2.80. However, only two league clean sheets suggests they aren’t bulletproof at the back.
Notts County top the league average ball possession with 64.8%, and this way of playing is clearly a big reason for them being the joint second-highest scorers in League Two. The Magpies are averaging 1.70 goals per league encounter so far, meaning their league-high xGF of 18.56 further enhances their offensive capabilities.
Being tidy on the ball largely contributes to why they’re being fouled on average 11.90 times per league fixture in 2024/25. They are however ranked joint-top in the league for goals from outside the box, so they aren’t afraid to take a chance form distance.
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🏁 Chesterfield v Notts County Ref Watch
- Matt Corlett has been a busy referee this season when it comes to awarding cards. He began the campaign by issuing a red card in his opening fixture, which has contributed to him averaging 6.17 cards per match in 2024/25. In five of those contests each team received 20+ booking points.
- Corlett is also awarding an average of 19.83 fouls across the three competitions he has officiated in across this campaign. However, Notts County average a league-low 8.60 fouls per league match, with Chesterfield just higher at 10.3. Both are in the League Two bottom-four for fouls committed, meaning Corlett may not be as busy as he’d necessarily expect.
- Last season, this official awarded eight penalties over 27 matches that covered five domestic competitions. This worked out as a penalty awarded once every 3.375 matches. He has already issued one this season over his six refereeing assignments. Also, Notts County are joint-top of League Two when it comes to earning penalties this season.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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