💎 Gem Bet: Quinshon Judkins: 80+ Rushing Yards @ 1.76 (bet365)

The Dolphins have been a run funnel over recent weeks and the young Browns offense, whilst struggling, are putting a lot of faith in their rookie running back. With that in mind I love the odds on him to have himself a big Sunday.

One of the rookies I loved in this year’s NFL Draft was Ohio State’s Quinshon Judkins, a big, powerful running back, who was drafted in the second round by the Browns. He missed training camp due to off-field drama, but returned to the tea,m and since his first appearance in Week Two, he’s continued to impress me.

There are three things that really matter in this bet, which are why I’m backing Judkins to have over 80 rushing yards. Firstly, it’s how efficient he’s been. Despite being a rookie, who missed camp and playing in an offense that now has an incredibly high amount of rookies occupying key roles, he’s been efficient, averaging an impressive 4.6 yards per carry.

Then there’s volume. He’s a player that looks strong when you watch him on the field and it’s clear that the Browns believe that too, because despite having Jerome Ford and Dylan Sampson on the roster, they are really feeding Judkins the ball. He’s cemented his spot as the starting running back and has 18+ carries in three of his four most recent games. When it comes to taking overs on rushing yards, I really want to do so by backing players who are workhorses.

Then the final piece of the jigsaw is this Miami Dolphins defense, who have frankly been an embarrassment against the run. They’ve given up more rushing yards than anybody in the entire NFL and are averaging a staggering 168.5 per game. Last week, Kimani Vidal, a poor running back in comparison to Judkins, turned 18 carries into 124 yards and only the week before, Rico Dowdle put up 206 yards.

Judkins has real talent, is playing a terrible defense, and is part of a team who are really putting their faith in rookies on offense this season. He is set for a huge Sunday.