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Atalanta v Juventus
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Kick Off: Wednesday 15th May at 20:00
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Competition: Coppa Italia
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Watch Live: Premier Sports 1
Wednesday’s Coppa Italia final pits Atalanta against Juventus at Rome’s Stadio Olimpico.
Although Atalanta have not won the Coppa Italia since 1962/63, in some ways this is a bigger match for Juve. The Old Lady’s season hinges on this game.
Ahead of this key showdown, we have a breakdown of all the best Atalanta v Juventus tips, stats and betting tips. Along with a Cheat Sheet displaying the key player stats is also be included.
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We’ve got you covered with the best free bet offers, top bet builder sites and a Sunday European football accumulator article this weekend. At the same time, our btts acca tips and corners betting guide may pique your interest also.
Each of these predictions are priced up on Paddy Power, and for more information on the pros and cons of Paddy Power, you can read our in-depth bookmaker review here.
Massimiliano Allegri’s side are destined to finish a disappointing and distant fourth in Serie A, and though Gian Piero Gasperini’s thrilling outfit are one spot and four points behind, they will still have the Europa League final to look forward to.
So with the pressure on Juve, will they respond to win a record-extending 15th Coppa Italia title, or will the latest chapter in the fairytale story of La Dea be written?
Atalanta v Juventus Best Bets
➡️ Juventus to Lift the Cup @ 1.91 on Paddy Power
➡️ Federico Chiesa to have 3+ shots @ 1.67 on Paddy Power
➡️ Federico Chiesa to have 4+ shots @ 2.80 on Paddy Power
📂 Atalanta v Juventus Cheat Sheet
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⚔️ Atalanta v Juventus Head-to-Head
In keeping with the recent history of this fixture, both matches between the clubs this season have been drawn. Indeed, six of the last 10 between these clubs have ended all square, with two wins apiece. Juventus’ 2-0 triumph in Bergamo almost exactly a year ago is the only time in this four-and-a-half-year sequence there has been more than a single goal between the clubs.
But if historically this rivalry is tight, what can be gleaned from the matches between the clubs this season?
Both games were tight. Even the 2-2 tie in March, in which Teun Koopmeiners scored twice for Gasperini’s side in Turin produced just 1.8 xG in total. The previous meeting, a scoreless October draw in Bergamo, had just 1.2 xG.
Atalanta have looked marginally the more dangerous side across the two games, leading the xG count 1.7-1.5. They have managed only five shots on target across these games, with Koopmeiners’ double accounting for two of these. The Netherlands international midfielder is 4.0 to have another couple of shots on target or 4.5 to score anytime.
Another couple came from substitute Luis Muriel in a 26-minute cameo in their home fixture.
Juventus’ Federico Chiesa is the only player to manage shots on target in both matches between the clubs. The attacking midfielder produced six shots in total the last time these sides met and three in Bergamo. He is 1.67 to have another shot on target in this game.
It is also worth pointing out that Weston McKennie assisted both goals for Allegri’s side against Atalanta this season. He is 5.5 to repeat this feat.
In terms of corners, there have been seven in each game, with eight of these falling the way of La Dea.
Similarly, there is little to pick between the teams in terms of cards. They have shared the four cards that have been shown in this rivalry evenly this season.
No player has committed multiple fouls across these games but Charles De Ketelaere has been fouled on multiple occasions in both fixtures.
📊 Atalanta Form and Stats
Atalanta come into this match as the form team. La Dea have won six of their last seven matches in all fixtures and should be on a high after overcoming Roma 2-1 on Sunday evening – a result that should seal their place in the Champions League next season.
De Ketelaere has been their leading light over the past couple of games in an offensive sense. The Belgian did not only score twice against Roma at the weekend but he also claimed the assist for the opening goal in the 3-0 win over Marseille in the Europa League last Thursday.
Koopmeiners, meanwhile, is also in good nick. He has a goal and two assists in his previous three starts.
Indeed, Atalanta, though in the midst of a manic run of fixtures, are in their best form for three months. La Dea have 1.5 xG or more in five of their last six matches, while they have reduced their opponents to a smaller number than them in this period.
This has been achieved despite a relatively high foul count. Four times in their last six games, Gasperini’s side have accrued 16 fouls or more. They seem to have a knack for being cute about such high figures – they have only picked up six bookings across these matches.
It is also notable that their corner count has been higher over this period. In five of their last eight, they have won at least six corners. In their previous eight matches, they failed to hit this figure even once.
📊 Juventus Form and Stats
Juventus have been on a drawing spree lately. Five of their last six matches have ended all square, while the other was a defeat to Lazio. Although this is a bleak run of form by the Turin side’s lofty standards, there were testing matches against Milan and Roma in this sequence.
A 1-1 draw against bottom side Salernitana was unimpressive at the weekend, even allowing for the rotation that Allegri employed ahead of this match. Chiesa was notably left on the bench and it took a late Adrien Rabiot goal to secure a share of the points. Juventus, though, managed to create 2.3 xG to their opponents’ 0.8.
Juve, meanwhile, are on a run of mustering six shots on target for three successive matches. Prior to this sequence, they had not even done that in back-to-back matches. They have given up only seven in total in this same time period.
While the Bianconeri’s shots tend to be dominated by Chiesa and Dusan Vlahovic, their efforts on goal are more evenly distributed. Across these last three games, their 18 shots on target have come from 12 different players. Aside from the aforementioned pair, substitute forward Arkadiusz Milik and Rabiot are the others to manage multiple shots on target.
Juventus, meanwhile, consistently give away 10 or 11 fouls per match. In their last 10 outings, they have given up one of these figures on six occasions but have also given up 15 or more three times.
💰 Atalanta v Juventus Best Bets
There is nice value in backing Juventus to lift the cup at 1.91 on Paddy Power. They have been able to focus on this fixture, notably resting key figure Chiesa at the weekend, while Atalanta come into this match after a string of big matches and at some point that will take a toll.
Physically, Juve should be in a better place than their rivals, and given the history of tight matches between the teams, that should favour them if the match goes to extra time.
Look for Chiesa to come to the fore, too. The attacking midfielder has nine shots in his two appearances against Atalanta this season (two on target). He also has nine shots in his last 120 minutes of competitive action, indicating that he fancies his chances of scoring. Rested at the weekend, he looks well priced you can get 1.67 on Paddy Power for Chiesa to have 3+ shots or at 2.8 on Chiesa to have 4+ shots also with Paddy.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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