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Crystal Palace v Southampton
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Kick Off: Sunday 29th December at 15:00
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Competition: Premier League
As we approach the conclusion of 2024 with Round 19 of the Premier League, two struggling teams, Crystal Palace and Southampton, prepare to battle it out at Selhurst Park. Both sides, particularly the visitors, will be eager to end the year on a positive note amidst their challenging campaigns.
⭐ Crystal Palace v Southampton Best Bet
Crystal Palace step into this encounter as clear favourites, buoyed by recent performances that hint at an upturn in form. A commendable display against Bournemouth showcased their potential to even battle it out against strong, in form opposition.
Meanwhile, Southampton, entrenched at the foot of the table, continue to struggle. Winless in their last 6 outings, losing 5 and with just a single away victory all season, the Saints have offered little to inspire confidence.
Last weekend’s draw against Fulham provided a brief glimmer of hope but did little to obscure the structural issues plaguing the team. With a stronger squad and the advantage of playing at Selhurst Park, Palace are well-placed to seize all 3 points here.
🟢 Crystal Palace v Southampton #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Southampton are often outplayed throughout matches. In their 44 halves of league football, they’ve emerged victorious in just 9, while losing 19. Their pattern of falling behind in both halves is a recurring issue, making Palace’s chances of fulfilling this portion of the bet significantly higher.
Winning the corner battle has been inconsistent for Palace, but Southampton’s tendency to concede corners could tilt the scales. Palace’s corner statistics this season show they marginally concede more than they take in the first half (by 1) and second half (by 0.04). Despite this, they’ve won the corner count in 14 of their 44 halves, including 3 complete matches, all against lower-ranked teams in Ipswich, Wolves, and Leicester.
Southampton are particularly poor in this department. They concede 1.5 more corners than they take in the first half and 0.64 more in the second, leading to them losing the corner battle in 24 out of 44 halves this season. Their inability to hold possession whilst under constant defensive pressure leaves them vulnerable to conceding corners, especially against a team like Palace.
This bet relies on Crystal Palace capitalising on Southampton’s weaknesses rather than their own strengths. With Southampton frequently losing both halves and corner battles, Palace are in a strong position to achieve these outcomes, especially with the home advantage at Selhurst Park. At 12/1, the odds provide excellent value.
👕 Crystal Palace v Southampton Predicted XI
🔍 Crystal Palace v Southampton Players to Watch
🔵 Jean-Philippe Mateta
Palace’s joint leading scorer, Mateta remains a consistent offensive presence for the team. Averaging 1.91 shots per game and landing 0.68 on target, Mateta has managed to hit the target in 8 of his last 13 matches.
Given Southampton’s vulnerable defence, Mateta’s ability to capitalise on his own limited opportunities is evident in his recent performances. With his current form, he poses a genuine threat and is well-positioned to test the Southampton keeper once again.
🔴 Cameron Archer
In a struggling Southampton side, Cameron Archer stands out as a rare bright spark amidst the gloom. Despite the team’s limited attacking opportunities, Archer has emerged as their most reliable scorer, netting a team-high 5 goals this season.
Southampton’s lack of consistent attacking threat often leaves them reliant on Archer’s contributions, and once again, their hopes for finding the back of the net may hinge on his ability to deliver.
📂 Crystal Palace v Southampton Cheat Sheet
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💻 Crystal Palace v Southampton Form and Tactics
Palace often adopt a pragmatic, counter-attacking style of play. They willingly concede possession to frustrate their opponents and exploit opportunities on the break. While their Boxing Day 0-0 draw against an in-form Bournemouth side may not have been glamorous, it showcased their resilience and ability to compete against stronger opposition. Against bottom-of-the-table Southampton, Palace will see a chance to convert that defensive resolve into a more commanding performance.
Southampton enter this clash rooted to the bottom of the table, a staggering 9 points adrift of safety. Their struggles are epitomised by a dismal attack, the league’s least productive, averaging just 0.61 goals per game. Winless in their last 9 matches across all competitions – 7 of which have been defeats – the Saints’ prospects look increasingly bleak.
Their away form only deepens the challenge. With no wins and just 2 draws from 9 away games, Southampton narrowly avoid the league’s worst away record, an unenviable title held by Brentford with 1 point.
Southampton’s issues lie as much in creativity as in execution. Their average possession of 52.7% has yielded just 36 big chances this season, ranking them 16th in the league for this metric. They also average the fewest shots on target per game, at a mere 3, and have conceded the most xG in the league (40.7), over three expected goals more than the next worst team. Their lack of attacking firepower and porous defence make them particularly vulnerable heading into this fixture.
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🏁 Crystal Palace v Southampton Ref Watch
- Referee: Michael Salisbury
- Average Cards (Yellows/ Reds): (3.62/0.25)
- Fouls Given: 22.25
- He is yet to award a penalty this season.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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