Derby v Charlton Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

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John Eustace has not yet been able to implement his usual tactic of making his home ground a fortress for Derby County at Pride Park. Can the in-form Charlton under Nathan Jones continue to break down those castle walls and walk away with their third win in a row?
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- Derby v Charlton
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📈 Derby v Charlton Form & Tactics
Derby are very short on wins at this stage of the season. They broke their duck with a 1-0 victory at West Brom on 13th September, but that was very much of the smash and grab mould, having lost the xG battle by over 1.
There is something of a balance issue that Eustace needs to address for Derby. Only twice have they scored more than once in a game this season, but they won neither match.
Derby sit bottom of the league for expected goals (5.1), 22nd for shots on target per match (2.3), and bottom for touches in the opposition area (104), so it is clear to see the issues in terms of getting them into position to win matches. Unfortunately, they are also 19th for xG conceded as well, so there is not much wiggle room to sacrifice structure for freedom.
From a Charlton perspective, things couldn’t be going much better for Nathan Jones. They are in the top half of the league following consecutive wins over Sheffield United (A) and Blackburn (H), and the 3-0 win over Rovers, in particular, will give them great confidence heading into this match.
Charlton have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the league so far (five) and have the highest number of clean sheets (four). This tallies well with the fact that they are 3rd in the league for xG conceded (5.5), which means that this great defensive record is no fluke; they are denying teams goalscoring opportunities and reaping the benefits of that.
📔 Derby v Charlton Formation & Team News
Derby have been using a 3-4-3 regularly this season, but in an attempt to change things, Eustace went for a 4-4-2 shape at the weekend, and allowed big-money summer signing Patrick Agyemang his first start. The use of Carlton Morris, Ben Brereton Diaz, and Andreas Weimann all in the same team could seem adventurous to many; however, we could easily see the same XI on Tuesday night.
Left back Owen Beck is close to a return to action for Derby, but there is unlikely to be much change in the squad from Saturday’s match.
Nathan Jones is flexible in his team selections. He used a 4-3-3 formation last time out against Blackburn, and it was very effective. He probably used this as he sensed an opportunity at home to change the balance of the team somewhat, but it is unknown now whether he will switch back to his more usual 3-5-2. Miles Leaburn is a potential option to partner Charlie Kelman and/or Tyreece Campbell in that shape.
Josh Edwards is a doubt after having to leave the Blackburn match early, Macaulay Gillesphey is likely to deputise if Edwards can’t make it. Luke Berry, Will Mannion, and Matty Godden are likely to be missing for Charlton.
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