There’s a fine line between bravery and stupidity. Some may say that tipping a player who is yet to score a goal this season crosses over into the stupidity side of the line. But there’s method in the madness here, allow us to explain.

Plymouth Argyle have a weakness on the right hand side of their defence. It has been there all season long, and the signs v Oxford on Tuesday night in the first match of Miron Muslic’s managerial reign is that, for now, it remains.

Going through some Plymouth games, looking at shots and goals from the opposition chief threat on the left hand side of the pitch provides us with plenty of evidence.

– 14th January v Oxford: Siriki Dembele – 27 minutes on the pitch. 2 shots on target. 0.13xG.

– 1st January v Bristol City: Anis Mehmeti – 84 minutes on the pitch. 4 shots, 2 on target. 0.57xG. 1 goal scored.

– 26th December v Coventry: Ephron Mason-Clark – 45 minutes on the pitch. 1 shot. 0.50 xG. 1 goal scored.

– 30th November v Bristol City: Anis Mehmeti – 98 minutes on the pitch – 7 shots, all on target. 0.61xG. 2 goals scored.

– 26th November v Norwich: Borja Sainz – 85 minutes on the pitch. 7 shots, 4 on target. 1.20xG. 3 goals scored.

QPR’s Ilias Chair is the exact type of profile of player that Plymouth tend to give up lots of chances too. As alluded to, Chair is yet to score so far this season. But signs are there that this is about to change.

In the 4 seasons prior to this Chair’s goal numbers read 8-9-5-7. Chair’s minutes on the pitch are starting to increase – 322 of his 811 minutes played this season have come since Boxing Day. Keep his low minutes in mind when I tell you that his shot numbers this season read 0-1-3-4-0-3-0-0-1-2-1-0-1-4.

Chair has a season xG of 0.95 and he can get back some of what’s he left out on the pitch this Saturday.

Luton have made a managerial change with Matt Bloomfield replacing Rob Edwards in the dugout, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the solving of their defensive fragilities will be immediate.

Only Plymouth Argyle have conceded more goals than Luton’s 44 in the Championship this season. Luton concede on average 1.69 goals per game and their last clean sheet was 12 games ago. They have had an immobile look to them all season.

Preston may not be goal heavy, but they’ve notched in their last 10 Championship matches.

Preston forward Emil Riis is approaching the end of his contract. He has scored 3-20-10 and 7 goals in the 2 half and 2 full seasons of his time at Preston. He could be a player to look out for late in the transfer window when clubs start to reach panic stations.

Riis has carried a consistent goal threat this season. His 7 goals have come from a 7.81xG. He averages 1.85 shots per 90 with a 50% on target ratio. Unlike most players Riis has some freshness about him at the moment.

He was well rested over the Christmas period, only appearing from the bench at the end of matches. Since coming back into the side he has taken 7 shots in his last 3 games for an xG of 2.27. Back Emil Riis to be a Kenilworth Road party pooper on Saturday afternoon.